Kellen Strahm — OGILVIE

Kellen StrahmRF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION218 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .298 / .317

PA145

HR2

SB7

K%27

BB%10

BABIP291

ISO101

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	200	45	7	2	6	24	83	2	5	0	225	314	370	684	145	348	36	11	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	192	54	10	2	6	32	60	2	5	0	281	389	448	837	167	378	26	14	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	493	426	111	16	0	13	50	137	9	12	1	261	351	390	740	129	348	28	10	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	493	404	107	17	0	10	72	112	9	12	1	265	388	381	769	116	337	23	15	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	460	102	21	2	5	52	146	2	9	3	222	304	309	612	87	313	28	10	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	438	108	18	3	5	74	115	2	9	3	247	358	336	694	89	323	22	14	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	2 teams	—	466	421	102	13	4	5	38	119	2	29	1	242	308	328	636	86	321	26	8	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	2 teams	—	466	398	109	15	5	6	61	98	2	29	1	274	373	382	755	108	344	21	13	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	429	377	81	15	0	8	45	100	1	32	5	215	300	318	619	103	267	23	10	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	429	363	88	13	0	8	59	91	1	32	5	242	350	344	694	102	299	21	14	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	HOU	—	218	194	35	6	2	2	20	65	2	13	2	180	264	263	527	82	256	30	9	241	43	-14	+2	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
YTD	29	AAA	HOU	—	218	186	42	8	2	3	28	50	2	13	2	226	333	339	672	113	289	23	13	307	93	-2	+2	+0	-2	+6	0.4
ROS	29	AAA	HOU	10%	145	129	28	5	1	2	14	39	1	7	1	216	298	317	615	101	285	27	10	272	67	-5	+1	+0	-2	+4	-0.2
ROS	29	MLB	HOU	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	214	267	286	552	71	287	27	7	270	65	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	AAA	HOU	—	233	208	38	7	2	2	21	69	2	14	2	183	264	264	528	82	259	30	9	243	44	-15	+2	+0	-2	+7	-0.9
TOT	29	AAA	HOU	—	363	323	63	11	3	4	34	104	3	20	3	195	278	285	562	90	270	29	9	254	52	-20	+3	+0	-4	+10	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	HOU	27%	323	288	62	11	2	5	30	86	2	14	2	215	294	319	613	104	284	27	9	275	68	-12	+2	-2	-3	+9	-0.6
2027	30	MLB	HOU	27%	88	79	16	3	0	1	8	23	1	4	1	203	284	278	563	76	286	26	9	273	67	-3	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	103	93	19	4	0	1	9	27	1	5	1	204	282	280	561	75	277	26	9	272	67	-4	+1	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	119	25	0	6	57	170	6	32	6	203	280	276	556	73	275	26	9	272	67	-25	+4	-4	-7	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2601	2301	531	88	11	44	253	710	19	108	13	231	312	336	648	105	311	27	10	287	78	-65	+16	-2	-28	+74	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	133	22	3	11	63	177	5	27	3	231	313	337	650	106	311	27	10	287	78	-16	+4	-1	-7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	24	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	228	192	54	10	2	6	32	60	2	5	0	281	389	448	837	167	378	26	14	373	143	+11	+1	—	—	+6	1.9
2022	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	433	354	98	16	0	10	65	95	6	11	1	277	398	407	804	130	345	22	15	361	134	+17	+2	—	—	+12	3.2
2022	25	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	60	50	9	1	0	0	7	17	3	1	0	180	317	200	517	20	273	28	12	260	57	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	26	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	517	438	108	18	3	5	74	115	2	9	3	247	358	336	694	89	323	22	14	320	103	+2	+1	—	—	+15	1.8
2024	27	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	166	136	36	5	3	1	26	37	1	14	0	265	387	368	754	103	347	22	16	341	119	+4	+3	—	—	+5	1.1
2024	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	300	262	73	10	2	5	35	61	1	15	1	279	366	389	755	111	343	20	12	341	119	+6	+3	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	28	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	429	363	88	13	0	8	59	91	1	32	5	242	350	344	694	102	299	21	14	317	101	+0	+4	—	—	+12	1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kellen Strahm (OGILVIE)	29	45	40	60	60	195/278/285	90	270	4	20	29%	9%	52	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Andreoli 2019 · MLB	29	47→57	44→45	57→60	47	226/300/350	124	311	10	25	29%	9%	83	+0.6	206/292/329	123	320	12	15	36%	10%	75	-0.0	164/270/300	136	268	17	17	41%	12%	57	-0.8
✕Delino DeShields 2022 · MLB	29	48→55	40→45	56→65	52	228/311/321	93	302	7	25	25%	10%	80	+0.4	210/300/280	70	305	5	29	29%	11%	66	-0.6	197/300/240	43	317	1	35	33%	12%	54	-0.7
✕Darin Mastroianni 2015 · MLB	29	47→57	39→40	55→60	44	224/280/305	81	288	7	26	24%	6%	62	-0.9	221/270/292	71	279	4	22	21%	6%	54	-1.4	219/266/274	55	275	2	24	20%	5%	44	-1.4
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	45→49	42→45	59→60	40	217/273/330	112	295	9	29	29%	6%	66	-0.6	207/268/318	111	304	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	148/223/226	79	244	8	18	40%	7%	18	-1.1
✕Anthony Seratelli 2012 · AA	29	45→49	40→45	56→55	46	216/282/303	87	287	8	23	26%	8%	63	-0.9	229/297/347	118	297	12	20	26%	8%	81	+0.4	229/300/350	121	298	13	20	26%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Wynton Bernard 2021 · AAA	30	45→55	42→45	56→60	43	220/268/329	110	279	9	25	24%	6%	63	-0.8	222/272/341	119	283	11	29	24%	6%	69	-0.4	241/291/361	120	296	11	37	22%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Kenny Wilson 2019 · AAA	29	46→51	40	54→60	42	215/282/308	93	310	7	23	31%	7%	65	-0.7	210/270/328	118	331	11	16	37%	7%	65	-0.7	164/223/274	110	278	10	16	43%	6%	27	-0.9
●Greg Golson 2015 · AAA	29	45→51	44→45	59→55	36	222/261/340	119	307	10	23	31%	4%	63	-0.8	272/325/367	95	368	5	23	26%	5%	97	+1.5	305/359/384	79	416	2	28	25%	5%	110	+0.9
✕Tyler Saladino 2018 · MLB	29	47	41→45	51→55	46	226/282/321	95	280	8	18	22%	6%	68	-0.5	217/285/357	140	282	17	15	28%	8%	79	+0.3	205/278/359	154	264	20	17	30%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Matt Lipka 2021 · AAA	29	44→54	41→45	54→60	41	216/265/319	104	290	8	22	28%	6%	59	-1.1	237/292/356	119	338	12	35	31%	6%	81	+0.4	239/297/356	116	343	12	46	32%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA	28	50→49	44→45	54→55	48	240/322/359	120	321	12	21	27%	9%	95	+1.4	213/282/319	106	334	10	21	36%	8%	68	-0.5	147/237/187	40	274	4	35	43%	11%	12	-0.8
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→56	39→40	60→65	44	230/292/318	89	291	6	33	22%	6%	71	-0.3	230/274/310	80	286	7	28	21%	4%	61	-1.0	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Tim Locastro 2021 · MLB	29	50→53	44→45	61→60	47	240/335/368	128	288	10	27	19%	6%	105	+2.1	210/291/332	122	257	12	24	23%	5%	76	+0.1	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jeff Kobernus 2017 · AAA	29	45→55	37→40	53→65	44	214/266/281	68	279	5	20	24%	6%	50	-1.7	214/263/285	71	295	5	17	27%	6%	50	-1.8	202/244/226	24	284	0	27	27%	4%	23	-0.9
✕Jason Repko 2009 · MLB	28	47→48	44→50	54→55	44	227/300/348	121	296	11	19	26%	7%	83	+0.6	227/285/353	126	287	14	21	25%	6%	78	+0.2	224/280/344	120	279	14	24	24%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/286/306	86	285	5	34	24%	8%	65	-0.7	196/250/295	99	293	8	34	33%	7%	47	-1.9	161/212/239	78	258	4	47	37%	6%	14	-0.9
✕Todd Donovan 2008 · AAA	29	50→53	39→40	61→65	46	236/293/324	88	288	6	38	20%	6%	72	-0.2	233/306/311	78	304	4	35	22%	9%	75	-0.0	234/314/303	69	308	3	42	23%	10%	74	-0.1
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	47→52	41→45	57→55	51	224/319/322	98	304	9	27	27%	10%	85	+0.7	224/300/352	128	310	12	17	30%	8%	84	+0.6	213/288/347	134	298	13	14	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB	28	41→51	42→45	56→60	46	202/267/311	109	263	9	22	26%	8%	59	-1.1	242/305/337	95	325	6	18	25%	8%	81	+0.4	244/299/335	90	331	5	17	26%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Kramer Robertson 2023 · AAA	28	43→51	44→45	54→55	50	211/304/325	114	268	12	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	200/298/284	84	273	7	21	27%	10%	67	-0.5	173/285/221	48	247	3	23	28%	11%	45	-1.8