Kellen StrahmRF
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 29
R/R
6'0" / 215 lbs
AAA
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .299 / .314
PA250
HR4
SB13
K%26
BB%10
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
40→40
SPD
60→60
EYE
54↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.2peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-11M | $-11M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 228 | 201 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 82 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .229 | .314 | .373 | .687 | .144 | .351 | 36 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 493 | 425 | 106 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 139 | 9 | 12 | 1 | .249 | .342 | .365 | .707 | .115 | .338 | 28 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 517 | 459 | 100 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 53 | 148 | 2 | 9 | 3 | .218 | .302 | .303 | .604 | .085 | .309 | 29 | 10 | .268 | 63 | -21 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +15 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | 2 teams | 466 | 419 | 99 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 123 | 2 | 29 | 1 | .236 | .306 | .317 | .623 | .081 | .318 | 26 | 9 | .280 | 73 | -14 | +5 | +0 | -5 | +13 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 429 | 379 | 79 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 106 | 1 | 32 | 5 | .208 | .291 | .298 | .589 | .090 | .267 | 25 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -19 | +4 | +0 | -5 | +12 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 74 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .194 | .270 | .224 | .494 | .030 | .289 | 30 | 9 | .223 | 29 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | HOU | 176 | 156 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 1 | 8 | 1 | .224 | .305 | .314 | .619 | .090 | .297 | 27 | 10 | .276 | 69 | -6 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +5 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 29 | MLB | HOU | 250 | 223 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 69 | 1 | 13 | 1 | .215 | .294 | .287 | .581 | .072 | .301 | 28 | 10 | .260 | 57 | -12 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB 20% | HOU | 323 | 287 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 73 | 1 | 14 | 1 | .226 | .306 | .314 | .620 | .087 | .285 | 23 | 10 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB 33% | HOU | 329 | 292 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 76 | 1 | 13 | 1 | .226 | .307 | .322 | .629 | .096 | .284 | 23 | 10 | .284 | 76 | -9 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB 43% | HOU | 324 | 288 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 76 | 1 | 11 | 0 | .226 | .305 | .323 | .628 | .097 | .283 | 23 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -10 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB 52% | HOU | 303 | 269 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 73 | 1 | 9 | 0 | .219 | .300 | .309 | .609 | .089 | .282 | 24 | 10 | .277 | 71 | -10 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB 64% | HOU | 266 | 237 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 67 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .211 | .292 | .291 | .583 | .080 | .280 | 25 | 10 | .271 | 66 | -10 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3854 | 3412 | 770 | 124 | 14 | 57 | 380 | 1010 | 22 | 149 | 13 | .226 | .307 | .320 | .628 | .095 | .301 | 26 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -113 | +25 | -17 | -41 | +109 | -3.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 130 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 64 | 170 | 4 | 25 | 2 | .226 | .308 | .322 | .630 | .096 | .300 | 26 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -19 | +4 | -3 | -7 | +18 | -0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 228 | 192 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 60 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .281 | .389 | .448 | .837 | .167 | .378 | 26 | 14 | .373 | 143 | +11 | +1 | — | — | +6 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 433 | 354 | 98 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 65 | 95 | 6 | 11 | 1 | .277 | .398 | .407 | .804 | .130 | .345 | 22 | 15 | .361 | 134 | +17 | +2 | — | — | +12 | 3.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | 60 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .180 | .317 | .200 | .517 | .020 | .273 | 28 | 12 | .260 | 57 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 517 | 438 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 115 | 2 | 9 | 3 | .247 | .358 | .336 | .694 | .089 | .323 | 22 | 14 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 166 | 136 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 37 | 1 | 14 | 0 | .265 | .387 | .368 | .754 | .103 | .347 | 22 | 16 | .341 | 119 | +4 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 1.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 300 | 262 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 61 | 1 | 15 | 1 | .279 | .366 | .389 | .755 | .111 | .343 | 20 | 12 | .341 | 119 | +6 | +3 | — | — | +8 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 28 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 429 | 363 | 88 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 59 | 91 | 1 | 32 | 5 | .242 | .350 | .344 | .694 | .102 | .299 | 21 | 14 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +4 | — | — | +12 | 1.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kellen Strahm (OGILVIE) | 29 | 45 | 40 | 60 | 60 | .222/.299/.314 | .093 | .297 | 4 | 10 | 26% | 10% | 74 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Delino DeShields 2022 · MLB |
29 | 48→53 | 40→45 | 57→65 | 52 | .227/.308/.324 | .097 | .300 | 8 | 26 | 25% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .209/.302/.281 | .072 | .304 | 5 | 29 | 29% | 11% | 67 | -0.5 | .199/.301/.240 | .040 | .320 | 1 | 35 | 33% | 12% | 54 | -0.7 |
|
✕John Andreoli 2019 · MLB |
29 | 45→55 | 43→45 | 57→60 | 47 | .216/.293/.331 | .114 | .309 | 9 | 26 | 31% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .205/.293/.327 | .122 | .316 | 12 | 16 | 35% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .163/.271/.294 | .132 | .266 | 16 | 17 | 41% | 12% | 56 | -0.8 |
|
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 59→60 | 41 | .223/.280/.338 | .115 | .304 | 9 | 28 | 29% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.270/.321 | .111 | .305 | 10 | 21 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .154/.224/.233 | .079 | .248 | 9 | 18 | 39% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Tyler Saladino 2018 · MLB |
29 | 47→46 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 45 | .229/.284/.327 | .099 | .280 | 9 | 20 | 21% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.287/.353 | .134 | .282 | 16 | 15 | 27% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .206/.280/.357 | .150 | .264 | 20 | 17 | 29% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Kristopher Negrón 2015 · MLB |
29 | 44→50 | 43→45 | 54→55 | 39 | .217/.269/.330 | .112 | .294 | 10 | 18 | 29% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .214/.268/.322 | .108 | .281 | 10 | 16 | 27% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .225/.289/.349 | .123 | .323 | 14 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Darin Mastroianni 2015 · MLB |
29 | 47→57 | 39→40 | 57→60 | 45 | .224/.281/.305 | .081 | .288 | 7 | 29 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .221/.268/.295 | .074 | .280 | 5 | 22 | 22% | 5% | 54 | -1.4 | .218/.263/.278 | .060 | .276 | 2 | 24 | 21% | 5% | 44 | -1.4 |
|
✕Matt Lipka 2021 · AAA |
29 | 45→53 | 41→45 | 54→60 | 42 | .218/.270/.320 | .101 | .287 | 8 | 22 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .233/.286/.348 | .115 | .332 | 11 | 35 | 31% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .232/.288/.342 | .110 | .333 | 11 | 46 | 32% | 6% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Kenny Wilson 2019 · AAA |
29 | 46→50 | 39→40 | 53→60 | 43 | .214/.282/.300 | .086 | .307 | 6 | 24 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .214/.277/.335 | .121 | .331 | 11 | 17 | 36% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .181/.243/.311 | .130 | .294 | 13 | 16 | 41% | 6% | 45 | -0.6 |
|
✕Anthony Seratelli 2012 · AA |
29 | 46→48 | 39→45 | 55 | 47 | .219/.286/.301 | .083 | .293 | 7 | 22 | 27% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .230/.299/.345 | .115 | .297 | 12 | 20 | 25% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .230/.303/.350 | .119 | .297 | 13 | 20 | 25% | 9% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Greg Golson 2015 · AAA |
29 | 46→51 | 43→45 | 60→55 | 36 | .226/.263/.344 | .118 | .311 | 9 | 23 | 30% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .263/.318/.358 | .095 | .361 | 6 | 24 | 27% | 5% | 92 | +1.2 | .289/.346/.366 | .076 | .401 | 2 | 28 | 26% | 5% | 100 | +0.7 |
|
✕Pedro Florimón 2016 · MLB |
29 | 43→52 | 42→45 | 57→55 | 42 | .208/.262/.315 | .107 | .285 | 8 | 22 | 29% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .221/.274/.334 | .113 | .321 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .224/.280/.339 | .115 | .329 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA |
29 | 42→45 | 45 | 56→55 | 45 | .205/.290/.325 | .121 | .298 | 12 | 25 | 33% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .214/.291/.328 | .114 | .349 | 12 | 22 | 38% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .184/.261/.252 | .069 | .349 | 8 | 20 | 45% | 8% | 38 | -0.9 |
|
✕Paulo Orlando 2015 · AAA |
29 | 50→60 | 40→45 | 56→55 | 42 | .241/.280/.332 | .091 | .296 | 7 | 22 | 21% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .249/.281/.360 | .111 | .310 | 9 | 18 | 22% | 3% | 76 | +0.1 | .255/.286/.368 | .112 | .317 | 9 | 14 | 22% | 3% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Chris Basak 2008 · AAA |
29 | 45→46 | 44→45 | 55 | 44 | .224/.272/.341 | .117 | .269 | 11 | 20 | 21% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.261/.331 | .112 | .270 | 10 | 16 | 22% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .212/.250/.317 | .104 | .261 | 9 | 16 | 22% | 4% | 50 | -1.0 |
|
✕Matthew Batten 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→49 | 41→45 | 55 | 45 | .219/.285/.311 | .092 | .306 | 9 | 23 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.270/.305 | .104 | .274 | 11 | 22 | 29% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .182/.250/.282 | .099 | .246 | 11 | 22 | 29% | 7% | 42 | -1.9 |
|
✕Jonathan Davis 2021 · MLB |
29 | 47→52 | 45 | 55 | 45 | .230/.307/.357 | .127 | .294 | 12 | 19 | 25% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .214/.306/.328 | .114 | .289 | 11 | 22 | 27% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .221/.303/.332 | .112 | .308 | 10 | 22 | 29% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Luis Bolivar 2010 · AAA |
29 | 46→54 | 42→45 | 59→55 | 39 | .225/.266/.338 | .113 | .286 | 9 | 26 | 24% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .209/.250/.309 | .100 | .280 | 9 | 21 | 28% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .195/.237/.276 | .081 | .272 | 7 | 18 | 30% | 4% | 33 | -1.8 |
|
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB |
30 | 47→57 | 38→40 | 59→70 | 49 | .223/.289/.303 | .080 | .290 | 5 | 34 | 24% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .197/.252/.293 | .096 | .291 | 8 | 34 | 33% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .159/.211/.231 | .072 | .255 | 4 | 47 | 37% | 6% | 12 | -1.0 |
|
✕Garrett Hampson 2023 · MLB |
28 | 43→53 | 44→45 | 55→60 | 46 | .215/.277/.330 | .116 | .278 | 11 | 21 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .236/.300/.330 | .094 | .316 | 6 | 18 | 25% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .253/.313/.333 | .080 | .340 | 3 | 18 | 24% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Drew Ferguson 2021 · AAA |
28 | 50→49 | 43→45 | 53→55 | 49 | .235/.322/.351 | .115 | .318 | 11 | 20 | 27% | 9% | 93 | +1.3 | .213/.284/.318 | .105 | .330 | 10 | 21 | 35% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .152/.242/.192 | .040 | .277 | 4 | 35 | 42% | 11% | 16 | -0.8 |