Mason Barnett
P
Las Vegas Aviators
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 218 lbs
AAA
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.7 · 2027
ERA5.59
FIP4.74
xFIP5.83
SIERA6.49
K%20.9%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%9.7%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2027
K†5050
FB Velo
p4794.3
Whiff%
p2121.2%
K%
p1617.3%
xwOBA vs
p550.307
SL+0.9 (47%)
CU (14%)
CH (2%)
FB (37%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 4 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 12 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 23 | 23 | 115 | 476 | 137 | 50 | 5 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 1.3% | 3.30 | 3.43 | +2.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 26 | 25 | 133 | 565 | 161 | 49 | 13 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 3.94 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Athletics | 30 | 28 | 141 | 648 | 142 | 76 | 20 | 19.6% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 6.24 | 4.63 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 3 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 19.6% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 3.07 | 7.39 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 42 | 23 | 7 | 20.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 5.58 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 63 | 266 | 56 | 33 | 11 | 21.1% | 12.3% | 4.0% | 4.99 | 5.50 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 23 | 23 | 127 | 536 | 113 | 58 | 17 | 21.1% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 5.11 | 4.83 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 24 | 24 | 130 | 549 | 116 | 58 | 18 | 21.2% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 4.90 | 4.80 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 24 | 24 | 130 | 549 | 116 | 58 | 18 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.82 | 4.79 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 23 | 23 | 127 | 537 | 111 | 56 | 18 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 3.3% | 4.84 | 4.86 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 22 | 123 | 521 | 105 | 55 | 17 | 20.2% | 10.6% | 3.3% | 4.90 | 4.95 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 22 | 22 | 119 | 503 | 98 | 54 | 17 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 4.99 | 5.05 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 21 | 21 | 114 | 483 | 91 | 52 | 17 | 18.9% | 10.9% | 3.5% | 5.10 | 5.17 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 20 | 20 | 109 | 461 | 84 | 51 | 16 | 18.3% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.29 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 19 | 104 | 438 | 77 | 49 | 16 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 5.35 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 18 | 18 | 98 | 413 | 69 | 47 | 16 | 16.8% | 11.5% | 3.8% | 5.49 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 17 | 17 | 91 | 385 | 62 | 45 | 15 | 16.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 5.65 | 5.75 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 80 | 412 | 1776 | 389 | 202 | 46 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.12 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 39 | 200 | 863 | 189 | 98 | 22 | 21.9% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.12 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Mason Barnett (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.92 | 20.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% | — | 4.81 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 387 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Manny Barreda R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.08 | 21.2% | 14.7% | 3.5% | .286 | 3.67 | 19.6% | 9.5% | 186 | -1.41 | 3.25 | 376 | 86 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .316 | 2.74 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.38 | 1.98 | 862 | 81 |
| Ronel Blanco R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 22.6% | 12.9% | 4.1% | .342 | 4.63 | 27.8% | 18.6% | 90 | -0.45 | 3.21 | 667 | 78 |
| Matt Magill R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 16.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .435 | 4.76 | 18.6% | 8.4% | 195 | -0.22 | 3.43 | 259 | 78 |
| Jordan Leasure R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.37 | 18.3% | 12.7% | 4.0% | .283 | 4.52 | 30.1% | 19.3% | 64 | -0.85 | 4.45 | 193 | 77 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .335 | 4.48 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.11 | 3.69 | 509 | 77 |
| Tyler Bashlor R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .222 | 4.52 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 97 | -0.20 | 2.55 | 253 | 77 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.48 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.53 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -0.95 | 1.94 | 131 | 77 |
| Joe Harvey R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .183 | 3.92 | 25.0% | 12.7% | 107 | +0.10 | 2.56 | 197 | 76 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.4% | .450 | 4.64 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.12 | 4.02 | 187 | 76 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.53 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .380 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.04 | 4.37 | 119 | 76 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 76 |
| Cameron Gann R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.37 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.16 | 3.60 | 146 | 76 |
| Carlos Alvarado R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.87 | 16.3% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .342 | 4.09 | 24.3% | 14.8% | 78 | -0.78 | 2.67 | 102 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2029 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 76 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.17 | 23.4% | 17.9% | 58 | +0.16 | 4.01 | 142 | 76 |
| Will Latcham R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.42 | 18.8% | 11.5% | 2.6% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 134 | 75 |
| Jake Lemoine R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.93 | 17.7% | 8.9% | 2.2% | .349 | 5.12 | 15.5% | 3.0% | 109 | +1.19 | 3.81 | 290 | 75 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.98 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.8% | .305 | 7.30 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.32 | 3.48 | 153 | 75 |
| Vinny Nittoli R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.66 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 3.8% | .286 | 4.20 | 19.0% | 12.1% | 61 | -0.46 | 3.68 | 331 | 75 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2030
First FA Year 2027
DEF 10%
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.0M | +0.2 | $0.8M | +$0.8M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2028 | Arb-1 | $2M | +0.7 | $3M | +$0.9M |
| 2029 | Arb-2 | $4M | +0.7 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-3 | $5M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $9M | $12M | +$4M | ||