Mason Barnett — OGILVIE

Mason Barnett P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 218 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION107 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.38

FIP4.69

K%18.2%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 121 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL3550

CMD4045

K†4550

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5795.0

Whiff%

p2822.2%

p3820.5%

xwOBA vs

p180.350

SL+0.9 (34%)

CU (10%)

CH (7%)

FB (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	1	8	24	12	1	0	25%	2.0	50.0%	4.2%	45.8%	0.0%	0.00	-0.59	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	1	8	24	12	1	0	25%	2.0	50.0%	4.2%	45.8%	0.0%	0.00	0.48	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	115	476	137	50	5	100%	5.0	22.5%	12.0%	10.6%	1.3%	3.30	3.45	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	115	476	137	50	5	100%	5.0	22.5%	12.0%	10.6%	1.3%	3.30	3.45	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	115	476	137	50	5	100%	5.0	28.8%	10.5%	18.3%	1.1%	3.30	2.59	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	23.1%	9.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.20	3.97	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	23.1%	9.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.20	3.97	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	28.5%	8.7%	19.8%	2.3%	4.20	3.05	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	18.7%	10.7%	7.9%	2.9%	6.24	4.48	+0.7
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	18.7%	10.7%	7.9%	2.9%	6.24	4.48	+0.7
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	3.1%	6.24	4.54	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			23	9	63	289	56	34	15	39%	2.7	19.4%	11.8%	7.6%	5.2%	7.00	6.04	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Athletics	32	18	107	483	88	59	20	56%	3.3	16.5%	11.5%	5.0%	4.4%	5.89	5.56	-0.8
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Athletics	32	18	107	483	88	59	20	56%	3.3	16.5%	11.5%	5.0%	4.4%	5.89	5.56	-0.8
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	OAK	14	14	66	298	50	36	8	100%	4.7	16.8%	12.1%	4.7%	2.7%	5.16	4.69	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	OAK	18	4	41	185	38	23	12	22%	2.3	20.5%	12.4%	8.1%	6.5%	7.08	6.50	-0.9
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	OAK	18	4	41	185	38	23	12	22%	2.3	20.5%	12.4%	8.1%	6.5%	7.08	6.50	-0.9
ROS	25	MLB MLE	OAK	2	2	14	57	10	6	2	100%	6.8	18.2%	11.1%	7.1%	3.1%	4.38	4.69	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	OAK	2	2	14	59	11	7	2	100%	7.0	18.2%	11.1%	7.1%	3.1%	4.38	4.69	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	OAK	—	—	121	540	98	65	22	—	—	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	4.0%	5.72	5.46	-0.8
FULL	25	MLB A+C	OAK	—	—	54	229	98	65	22	—	—	43.0%	28.5%	14.4%	9.5%	12.71	8.31	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	OAK	28	28	168	711	146	79	28	100%	6.0	20.6%	11.1%	9.5%	3.9%	5.16	5.27	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	OAK	28	28	170	717	148	78	28	100%	6.1	20.7%	10.9%	9.8%	3.9%	5.17	5.23	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	OAK	28	28	170	717	148	78	28	100%	6.1	20.6%	10.9%	9.8%	3.9%	5.20	5.26	-0.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	OAK	27	27	162	685	137	75	28	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	4.0%	5.31	5.40	-0.9
2031	30	MLB MLE	OAK	25	25	152	644	125	73	27	100%	6.1	19.4%	11.3%	8.1%	4.2%	5.49	5.60	-1.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	OAK	27	27	160	676	139	75	26	100%	5.9	20.6%	11.1%	9.5%	3.9%	5.16	5.27	-0.7
2028	27	MLB CTX	OAK	27	27	161	680	141	74	26	100%	6.0	20.7%	10.9%	9.8%	3.9%	5.17	5.23	-0.6
2029	28	MLB CTX	OAK	27	27	161	680	140	74	27	100%	6.0	20.6%	10.9%	9.8%	3.9%	5.20	5.26	-0.7
2030	29	MLB CTX	OAK	26	26	154	650	130	72	26	100%	5.9	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	4.0%	5.31	5.40	-0.9
2031	30	MLB CTX	OAK	24	24	145	612	119	69	26	100%	6.0	19.4%	11.3%	8.1%	4.2%	5.49	5.60	-1.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		156	142	858	3646	736	404	148	91%	5.5	20.2%	11.1%	9.1%	4.1%	5.37	5.03	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	33	200	850	172	94	34	91%	5.5	20.2%	11.1%	9.1%	4.1%	5.37	5.03	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		115	95	504	2196	450	237	63	83%	4.4	20.5%	10.8%	9.7%	2.9%	4.86	4.31	-4.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	38	200	871	179	94	25	83%	4.4	20.5%	10.8%	9.7%	2.9%	4.86	4.31	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Barnett (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	19.8%	11.0%	3.0%	—	5.25	20.6%	9.7%	508	+0.38	—	—	—
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.44	20.8%	11.9%	382	+0.06	2.77	544	73
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	72
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	72
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	72
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	71
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	71
Matt Magill R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP	4.98	16.6%	12.2%	3.2%	.435	4.86	18.6%	8.4%	195	-0.12	3.40	259	71
James McArthur R 2022 · 5.19 FIP	25	SP	5.19	20.3%	11.0%	4.4%	.352	3.71	22.2%	15.5%	137	-1.48	3.53	352	70
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	70
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	382	69
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	69
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	69
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	69
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	69
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	69
Stolmy Pimentel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.0%	10.5%	2.5%	.338	3.87	13.6%	3.1%	72	-0.60	3.87	143	68
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	68
Griffin Canning R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP	5.21	22.4%	10.1%	5.0%	.295	4.55	21.1%	13.3%	299	-0.66	3.60	801	68
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	68
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.9	162	20.2%	11.0%	1.48	5.15
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58