Mason Barnett

P Las Vegas Aviators

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 218 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AAOAK	26	25	133	4.20	3.05	28.5%	8.7%	—	K 23.1% · BB 9.5% · FIP 3.97
2025	24	MIX2 levels	30	28	141	6.24	4.54	21.9%	11.7%	1.4	K 19.2% · BB 10.7% · FIP 4.43
2026	25	MIX2 levels	34	20	116	5.96	5.52	19.0%	12.3%	-0.2	K 17.6% · BB 11.7% · FIP 5.50
2027PROJ	26	MLBOAK	8	8	47	5.29	5.37	19.4%	11.7%	0.0
2028PROJ87% MLB	27	MLBOAK	8	8	49	5.25	5.30	19.6%	11.4%	0.1
2029PROJ90% MLB	28	MLBOAK	8	8	46	5.25	5.30	19.7%	11.2%	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo55

K%47

xwOBA vs24

Form9.24 ERA (proj 5.29) · K 21.8% (proj 19.4%) · BB 13.7% (proj 11.7%) · last 90d · 25 IP through Oct 27

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Alejandro Martinez (age 26) · Britt Reames (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.29

FIP5.37

K%19.4%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%7.6%

Proj IP57

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Statcast · Contract

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5594.9

Whiff%

p2922.3%

p4721.8%

xwOBA vs

p240.343

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	1	8	24	12	1	0	25%	2.0	50.0%	4.2%	45.8%	0.0%	0.00	-0.59	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	1	8	24	12	1	0	25%	2.0	50.0%	4.2%	45.8%	0.0%	0.00	0.48	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	115	476	137	50	5	100%	5.0	22.5%	12.0%	10.6%	1.3%	3.30	3.45	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	115	476	137	50	5	100%	5.0	28.8%	10.5%	18.3%	1.1%	3.30	2.59	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	23.1%	9.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.20	3.97	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	23.1%	9.5%	13.5%	2.9%	4.20	3.97	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	26	25	133	565	161	49	13	96%	5.1	28.5%	8.7%	19.8%	2.3%	4.20	3.05	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	19.2%	10.7%	8.5%	2.9%	6.24	4.43	+1.6
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	19.2%	10.7%	8.5%	2.9%	6.24	4.43	+1.6
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	28	141	648	142	76	20	93%	4.7	21.9%	11.7%	10.2%	3.1%	6.24	4.54	+1.4
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	20	116	527	100	65	22	59%	3.4	17.6%	11.7%	6.0%	4.4%	5.96	5.50	-0.1
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	20	116	527	100	65	22	59%	3.4	17.6%	11.7%	6.0%	4.4%	5.96	5.50	-0.1
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	20	116	527	100	65	22	59%	3.4	19.0%	12.3%	6.6%	4.2%	5.96	5.52	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			25	11	72	333	68	40	17	44%	2.9	20.4%	12.0%	8.4%	5.1%	6.97	5.93	-1.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	OAK	8	8	47	198	38	23	7	100%	5.9	19.4%	11.7%	7.6%	3.7%	5.29	5.37	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	56	236	46	27	9	100%	6.2	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.7%	5.25	5.30	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	52	217	43	24	8	100%	5.7	19.7%	11.2%	8.4%	3.8%	5.25	5.30	+0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	OAK	7	7	43	180	35	20	7	100%	6.1	19.2%	11.3%	7.9%	3.9%	5.33	5.41	-0.0
2031	30	MLB MLE	OAK	5	5	33	138	26	16	6	100%	6.5	18.6%	11.5%	7.0%	4.0%	5.47	5.59	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	49	207	41	24	8	100%	6.1	19.6%	11.4%	8.2%	3.7%	5.25	5.30	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	46	194	38	22	7	100%	5.8	19.7%	11.2%	8.4%	3.8%	5.25	5.30	+0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	OAK	6	6	39	165	32	19	6	100%	6.5	19.2%	11.3%	7.9%	3.9%	5.33	5.41	-0.0
2031	30	MLB CTX	OAK	5	5	30	127	24	15	5	100%	6.0	18.6%	11.5%	7.0%	4.0%	5.47	5.59	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	38	237	1028	202	119	44	73%	4.6	19.7%	11.6%	8.1%	4.2%	5.82	5.23	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		44	32	200	868	171	100	37	73%	4.5	19.7%	11.6%	8.1%	4.2%	5.82	5.23	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		117	97	513	2240	467	243	65	83%	4.4	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.9%	4.89	4.30	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	38	200	873	182	95	25	83%	4.4	20.9%	10.8%	10.0%	2.9%	4.89	4.30	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 66 IPFIP 4.69 → 4.88 (+0.19)K% 16.8% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.78%	—	×0.860	14.43%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	12.08%	—	×0.900	10.87%
HR / BF /BF	2.68%	÷1.000	×1.100	2.95%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.69 → 4.88, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 119 IPFIP 4.40 → 4.40 (−0.00)K% 22.8% → 19.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.79%	—	×0.860	19.60%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.95%	—	×0.900	10.75%
HR / BF /BF	3.12%	÷1.183	×1.100	2.91%

Result: FIP 4.40 → 4.40, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAMidland RockHounds · 133 IPFIP 3.06 → 3.97 (+0.92)K% 28.5% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.50%	—	×0.810	23.08%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.67%	—	×1.100	9.54%
HR / BF /BF	2.30%	÷0.940	×1.200	2.94%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 88).

Result: FIP 3.06 → 3.97, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 82 IPFIP 2.66 → 3.52 (+0.85)K% 27.7% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	27.73%	—	×0.770	21.35%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.21%	—	×1.150	12.89%
HR / BF /BF	0.88%	÷1.033	×1.250	1.07%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 107).

Result: FIP 2.66 → 3.52, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 33 IPFIP 2.36 → 3.28 (+0.92)K% 31.4% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	31.39%	—	×0.810	25.42%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.76%	—	×1.100	9.64%
HR / BF /BF	1.46%	÷0.872	×1.200	2.01%

Result: FIP 2.36 → 3.28, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AColumbia Fireflies · 7 IPFIP -0.72 → 0.54 (+1.26)K% 52.4% → 38.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	52.38%	—	×0.740	38.76%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	4.76%	—	×1.180	5.62%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.140	×1.300	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 128).

Result: FIP -0.72 → 0.54, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mason Barnett (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.7%	—	5.33	19.5%	8.2%	150	-0.04	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	72
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	72
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	71
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	71
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	70
Ramon Ramirez R 2008 · 4.31 FIP	25	SP-	4.31	20.0%	10.5%	2.9%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	182	69
Griffin Canning R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP	5.21	22.4%	10.1%	5.0%	.295	4.55	21.1%	13.3%	299	-0.66	3.60	809	69
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	69
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	69
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	69
Chance Kirby R 2021 · 5.83 FIP	26	SP-	5.83	15.1%	10.0%	5.0%	.242	4.59	18.5%	11.2%	138	-1.24	4.14	325	68
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	68
Kenten Egbert R 2024 · 4.26 FIP	23	SP-	4.26	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.34	10.8%	3.5%	133	+0.08	4.04	231	68
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	68
Nick Payero R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	24	SP-	4.21	16.5%	6.3%	3.1%	.285	5.81	16.6%	4.6%	107	+1.60	4.21	178	68
Jayden Murray R 2023 · 5.92 FIP	26	SP-	5.92	17.0%	13.6%	4.6%	.385	3.93	21.1%	10.2%	124	-1.99	3.74	365	68
Cody Sedlock R 2021 · 5.05 FIP	26	SP-	5.05	19.9%	10.9%	4.1%	.301	4.21	20.1%	7.1%	80	-0.84	4.21	378	67
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	67
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	67
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	45	19.6%	11.6%	1.59	5.69
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*
Frank LaCorte ('75-'84, -4 WAR*)	2.5	61	25.0%*	12.0%*	1.43*	5.83*