Mason Barnett P Las Vegas Aviators
Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 218 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 87 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.32
FIP4.69
K%20.4%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP87
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 151 IP
K: -1.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -7.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-7BBCONTACT: -4.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-5CONTACTSTAM: +20.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+20STAMTotal WAR: +0.72 (151 IP)+0.7WAR
-0.20.50.60.5262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP45
STUF5050
CTRL3550
CMD4045
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5594.9
Whiff%
p1720.7%
K%
p5623.3%
xwOBA vs
p200.347
SL+0.9 (43%)
CU (12%)
CH (3%)
FB (42%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202221MIX2 levels41824121025%2.050.0%4.2%45.8%0.0%0.00-0.59
202221MIX2 levels41824121025%2.050.0%4.2%45.8%0.0%0.000.48
202322MIX2 levels2323115476137505100%5.022.5%12.0%10.6%1.4%3.303.49
202322MIX2 levels2323115476137505100%5.028.8%10.5%18.3%1.1%3.302.59
202423AAMidland RockHounds2625133565161491396%5.123.1%9.5%13.5%3.1%4.204.08
202423AAMidland RockHounds2625133565161491396%5.128.5%8.7%19.8%2.3%4.203.05
202524MIX2 levels3028141648142762093%4.719.6%12.2%7.4%2.6%6.244.42+1.6
202524MIX2 levels3028141648142762093%4.721.9%11.7%10.2%3.1%6.244.54+1.4
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBAthletics2296427762371141%2.920.6%13.8%6.8%4.2%4.645.41-0.6
ROS25MLBOAK830873687546120%1.020.4%12.4%8.0%3.2%4.324.69+0.4
ROS25MLBOAK830873677545120%1.020.4%12.4%8.0%3.2%4.324.69+0.4
2026 TOT25MLBOAK151645137832321.3%12.8%8.5%3.5%4.454.99+0.7
2026 FULL25MLBOAK108458137832329.9%18.0%11.9%5.0%6.215.57-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBOAK28281687111518224100%6.021.3%11.6%9.7%3.3%4.844.98+0.8
202827MLBOAK28281707171538124100%6.121.3%11.4%10.0%3.4%4.894.97+0.9
202928MLBOAK28281707171528125100%6.121.3%11.3%9.9%3.5%4.955.01+0.8
202726MLBOAK27271606761447823100%5.921.3%11.6%9.7%3.3%4.844.98+0.8
202827MLBOAK27271616801457723100%6.021.3%11.4%10.0%3.4%4.894.97+0.8
202928MLBOAK27271616801457723100%6.021.3%11.3%9.9%3.5%4.955.01+0.7
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career1818561325995483008947%3.421.1%11.6%9.5%3.4%4.874.66+5.3
/ 200 IP5928200848179982947%3.421.1%11.6%9.5%3.4%4.874.66+1.7
Career1058646119904342295382%4.421.8%11.5%10.3%2.7%4.594.18+6.6
/ 200 IP46372008631881002382%4.421.8%11.5%10.3%2.7%4.594.18+2.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mason Barnett (OGILVIE) 4.93 20.3%12.0%3.0% 4.99 21.3%9.9%508 +0.06
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 74
Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SP 4.39 23.0%10.5%3.5%.335 4.65 21.4%11.7%382 +0.26 3.67 509 73
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 73
Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP 27 SP 3.94 19.5%12.6%1.6%.234 4.41 22.2%10.5%192 +0.47 3.39 382 72
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 25 SP- 5.50 21.0%12.2%4.8%.320 4.16 23.1%13.2%138 -1.34 3.45 292 70
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 70
Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 25 SP- 4.76 20.8%10.1%3.9%.380 4.51 19.3%7.9%101 -0.25 4.50 119 69
Matt Magill R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 25 SP 4.96 16.6%12.2%3.1%.435 4.87 18.6%8.4%195 -0.09 3.45 259 69
James McArthur R 2026 · 5.08 FIP 25 SP 5.08 20.3%11.0%4.2%.352 3.78 22.8%15.5%137 -1.30 3.53 352 69
Ryan Johnson R 2024 · 4.81 FIP 23 SP- 4.81 20.1%7.2%4.5%.262 3.35 126 68
Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SP- 4.28 16.0%10.5%2.2%.338 3.79 13.6%3.1%72 -0.49 3.79 143 68
Justin Topa R 2028 · 4.05 FIP 27 SP- 4.05 15.1%7.9%2.2%.374 2.66 19.2%12.6%40 -1.39 2.66 259 68
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 3.45 102 68
Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP 25 SP- 4.98 17.6%11.2%3.6%.282 9.58 19.7%7.1%18 +4.60 4.98 105 68
Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 25 SP 5.37 22.4%10.1%5.2%.295 4.67 21.1%13.3%299 -0.70 3.70 776 67
Chris Vallimont R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 25 SP- 4.61 19.0%11.2%3.1%.304 6.00 18.1%4.9%128 +1.39 3.13 472 67
Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 24 SP 4.39 16.1%11.4%2.2%.309 4.74 18.4%9.4%172 +0.35 4.39 353 67
Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.73 FIP 25 SP 4.73 23.5%17.5%2.5%.289 4.91 22.6%10.0%160 +0.18 3.93 323 67
J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP 24 SP- 5.38 17.9%13.9%3.7%.285 4.39 26.3%15.2%225 -0.99 4.11 563 67
Bryce Cunningham R 2024 · 5.93 FIP 23 SP- 5.93 17.4%15.3%4.3%.228 4.06 101 67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION415421.1%11.5%1.284.83
Tom Koehler ('17)314618.1%10.2%1.244.62
Ubaldo Jiménez ('17)315620.8%9.5%1.325.33
James Kaprielian ('23)310520.5%9.6%1.264.58
Yovani Gallardo ('18)413215.4%10.2%1.184.97
James Shields ('18)417619.8%9.6%1.714.81
Andrew Cashner ('19)515716.7%9.2%1.114.54