Jonathan Petit

P Clearwater Threshers

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 174 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	ROKPHI	11	6	32	4.50	3.19	23.9%	7.2%	—	K 16.3% · BB 9.1% · FIP 4.64
2023	22	APHI	21	17	81	5.24	4.05	21.3%	9.2%	—	K 15.8% · BB 10.9% · FIP 5.15
2024	23	MIX2 levels	26	2	38	9.39	4.48	21.2%	16.6%	—	K 15.1% · BB 18.8% · FIP 5.02
2027PROJ	26	MLBPHI	18	0	19	4.86	4.86	22.0%	12.6%	-0.1
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBPHI	7	0	7	4.82	4.84	22.1%	12.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsCarlos Torres (age 26) · Tyler Yates (age 26) · Colby Morris (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%22.0%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%9.4%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	12	8	44	167	41	5	1	67%	3.6	16.7%	3.7%	13.0%	1.0%	2.27	2.70	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	12	8	44	167	41	5	1	67%	3.6	24.6%	3.0%	21.6%	0.6%	2.27	1.86	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	11	6	32	138	33	10	3	55%	2.9	16.3%	9.1%	7.2%	3.2%	4.50	4.64	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	11	6	32	138	33	10	3	55%	2.9	23.9%	7.2%	16.7%	2.2%	4.50	3.19	—
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	21	17	81	357	76	33	10	81%	3.8	15.8%	10.9%	4.8%	3.6%	5.24	5.15	—
2023	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	21	17	81	357	76	33	10	81%	3.8	21.3%	9.2%	12.0%	2.8%	5.24	4.05	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	2	38	193	41	32	3	8%	1.5	15.1%	18.8%	-3.7%	1.5%	9.39	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	2	38	193	41	32	3	8%	1.5	15.1%	18.8%	-3.7%	1.5%	9.39	5.02	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	2	38	193	41	32	3	8%	1.5	21.2%	16.6%	4.7%	1.6%	9.39	4.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	PHI	18	0	19	80	18	10	2	0%	1.1	22.0%	12.6%	9.4%	3.0%	4.86	4.86	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	19	10	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.3%	9.8%	3.0%	4.82	4.84	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.3%	9.8%	3.0%	4.82	4.84	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	12.3%	9.8%	3.0%	4.82	4.46	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	110	28	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.3%	9.8%	3.0%	4.82	4.46	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		70	33	195	855	136	94	22	47%	2.8	15.9%	11.0%	4.9%	2.6%	5.27	4.56	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	34	200	878	139	97	23	47%	2.8	15.9%	11.0%	4.9%	2.6%	5.27	4.56	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonathan Petit (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	22.0%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.84	22.1%	9.8%	20	-0.02	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	77
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	75
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	75
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	74
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	73
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	71
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	71
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	71
Ryan Vanderhei R 2024 · 3.95 FIP	23	SP-	3.95	16.4%	14.1%	0.8%	.284	4.45	17.9%	2.9%	114	+0.50	3.75	152	71
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	71
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	70
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	70
Michael Knorr R 2024 · 5.56 FIP	24	SP-	5.56	21.6%	12.5%	4.9%	.314	4.95	22.3%	9.7%	83	-0.61	4.30	181	70
Sam Lewis R 2018 · 4.33 FIP	26	SW	4.33	16.7%	9.6%	2.6%	.323	3.41	21.0%	10.2%	48	-0.92	2.21	224	69
Jimmy Joyce R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	17.8%	14.2%	1.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	259	69
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	69
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.55	20.8%	9.1%	172	-1.27	2.64	280	69
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	69
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	69
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	68