Braiden Ward

CF Worcester Red Sox

Age 28 L/R 5'9" / 160 lbs AAA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AAACOL	163	.331/.440/.466	1	35	124	—	.304/.396/.428
2025	26	AACOL	205	.259/.361/.333	1	22	75	—	.240/.327/.307
2026	27	AAABOS	456	.251/.365/.373	6	61	80	—	.223/.321/.319
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBBOS	25	.219/.309/.310	0	2	76	0.0
2028PROJ33% MLB	29	MLBBOS	106	.219/.308/.310	1	9	75	0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	30	MLBBOS	157	.218/.305/.308	1	12	74	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed99

Z-Con%77

Whiff%73

K%71

BB%34

Chase%32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsBilly Hamilton (age 28) · Tony Campana (age 28) · Jarrod Dyson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .309 / .310

PA25

HR0

K%24

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO45

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	37	26	8	0	0	0	7	6	4	3	2	308	514	308	821		400	16	19	407	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Spokane Indians	—	225	185	39	5	3	0	21	58	17	31	5	211	345	270	616	59	307	26	9	295	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	150	120	44	6	1	4	13	25	16	26	0	367	490	533	1.023	167	435	17	9	456	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	279	223	59	10	2	1	27	55	25	44	7	265	404	341	744	76	345	20	10	348	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	323	268	65	8	4	5	24	81	23	32	5	243	356	358	714	116	326	25	7	323	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	115	100	34	7	4	2	4	24	11	18	4	340	426	550	976	210	432	21	3	430	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	163	133	44	7	4	1	16	23	10	35	2	331	440	466	906	135	394	14	10	399	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	205	174	45	10	0	1	19	38	9	22	5	259	361	333	695	75	324	19	9	320	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	456	383	96	19	5	6	39	82	30	61	9	251	365	373	738	123	304	18	9	338	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	37	29	7	0	0	0	4	9	4	3	2	241	405	241	647		310	24	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	225	191	31	4	2	0	15	80	17	31	5	162	283	204	487	42	270	36	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	150	124	38	5	1	3	9	35	16	26	0	306	423	435	858	129	382	23	6	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	232	51	8	2	1	18	76	25	44	7	220	342	284	626	65	300	27	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	323	276	59	6	4	4	16	100	23	32	5	214	311	308	619	94	300	31	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	115	101	27	5	3	1	3	33	11	18	4	267	357	406	762	139	375	29	3	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	163	138	42	6	4	1	11	29	10	35	2	304	396	428	824	123	365	18	7	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	205	179	43	9	0	1	14	45	9	22	5	240	327	307	634	67	304	22	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	456	395	88	16	5	4	27	98	30	61	9	223	321	319	640	96	280	21	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	37	29	7	0	0	0	4	9	4	3	2	241	405	241	647		350	24	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	37	26	8	0	0	0	7	6	4	3	2	308	514	308	821		400	16	19	407	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	375	316	69	9	3	3	23	116	33	57	5	218	336	294	630	76	333	31	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	375	305	83	11	4	4	34	83	33	57	5	272	403	374	777	102	361	22	9	359	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	232	51	8	2	1	18	76	25	44	7	220	342	284	626	65	321	27	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	279	223	59	10	2	1	27	55	25	44	7	265	404	341	744	76	345	20	10	348	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	378	88	11	8	6	18	133	34	50	9	233	326	352	677	119	340	30	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	438	368	99	15	8	7	28	105	34	50	9	269	374	410	785	141	357	24	6	351	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	317	85	16	4	1	25	74	19	57	7	268	357	353	711	85	346	20	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	368	307	89	17	4	2	35	61	19	57	7	290	396	391	787	101	355	17	10	355	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	456	395	88	16	5	4	27	98	30	61	9	223	321	319	640	96	286	21	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	—	456	383	96	19	5	6	39	82	30	61	9	251	365	373	738	123	304	18	9	338	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	37	29	7	0	0	0	4	9	4	3	2	241	405	241	647		310	24	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	375	316	69	9	3	3	23	116	33	57	5	218	336	294	630	76	315	31	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	279	234	51	8	2	1	18	76	25	44	7	218	342	282	624	64	300	27	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	383	88	11	8	6	18	133	34	50	9	230	326	347	673	117	320	30	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	321	85	16	4	1	25	74	19	57	7	265	357	349	706	84	331	20	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	456	396	88	16	5	4	27	98	30	61	9	222	321	318	639	96	280	21	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	438	383	88	11	8	6	18	133	34	50	9	230	326	347	673	117	320	30	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	321	85	16	4	1	25	74	19	57	7	265	357	349	706	84	331	20	7	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	456	396	88	16	5	4	27	98	30	61	9	222	321	318	639	96	280	21	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	10%	380	333	72	13	4	3	23	85	21	37	5	214	304	302	607	89	274	22	6	281	76	-11	+5	+0	+1	+8	0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	10%	25	22	4	1	0	0	2	6	1	2	0	219	309	310	620	91	283	24	8	286	76	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	BOS	33%	323	283	61	11	3	3	20	74	17	28	4	213	302	302	604	89	274	23	6	280	75	-9	+4	-1	+1	+7	0.1
2029	30	MLB MLE	BOS	46%	343	302	64	12	3	3	21	79	17	26	4	212	300	300	600	88	274	23	6	277	74	-11	+4	-2	+1	+7	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	BOS	33%	106	94	21	4	1	1	6	24	5	9	1	219	308	310	618	91	282	23	6	285	75	-3	+1	-0	+0	+2	0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	BOS	46%	157	138	30	6	1	1	10	36	8	12	2	218	305	308	613	90	282	23	6	283	74	-5	+2	-1	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	263	232	51	10	2	2	16	60	13	21	3	220	307	306	613	86	285	23	6	284	80	-8	+3	-1	+1	+6	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	126	25	5	5	40	148	32	52	7	220	307	307	614	87	285	23	6	284	80	-20	+7	-4	+2	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2869	2471	560	92	30	23	171	715	193	350	50	227	326	316	642	89	308	25	6	286	80	-27	+11	-3	+3	+20	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	560	127	21	7	5	39	162	44	79	11	227	327	316	643	89	309	25	6	286	80	-19	+8	-2	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gary Pettis'82-'92 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,237 PA	6.4	4,237	21	354	234*	332*	326*	+14	+45	14.6	13.8
/162	664	3	55	+2.2	+7.1	2.3	pk7: 13
#2Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	4.3	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
/162	664	5	62	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#3Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	2.6	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
/162	664	3	29	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ed Stroud'66-'71 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,500 PA	2.3	1,500	14	72	245*	312*	375*	-6	-0	2.5	2.5
/162	664	6	32	-2.7	-0.2	1.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	288	3	23	213	299	302	+1	+2	0.3	0.3
/162	664	6	54	+2.4	+5.8	0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braiden Ward (OGILVIE)	28	50	30	60	40	212/302/300	88	274	2	24	22%	6%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2019 · MLB	28	51→61	39→40	67→70	48	241/300/333	92	307	5	44	22%	8%	80	-0.2	221/280/315	94	297	6	34	26%	8%	69	-0.9	158/208/235	77	253	4	47	37%	6%	22	-1.0
✕Tony Campana 2014 · MLB	28	54→64	35→30	66→70	44	249/298/308	59	331	3	50	25%	7%	73	-0.6	228/273/287	59	292	2	26	21%	5%	59	-1.7	231/266/285	54	284	1	24	18%	4%	52	-1.5
✕Jarrod Dyson 2012 · MLB	27	53→57	37→45	67→70	47	247/299/321	74	306	4	47	20%	7%	76	-0.4	248/307/326	78	305	3	54	18%	7%	81	-0.1	254/319/358	104	292	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.5
✕Tyler Graham 2012 · AAA	28	55→54	37→40	63→65	42	260/307/333	73	329	4	48	22%	5%	82	+0.0	230/286/306	76	291	5	35	21%	6%	70	-0.9	213/262/267	54	262	3	33	19%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Tyler Wade 2024 · MLB	29	49→58	39→45	61→60	47	234/299/321	87	306	7	42	25%	8%	78	-0.3	224/293/294	70	295	5	29	24%	8%	70	-0.9	213/289/252	39	283	1	26	23%	9%	58	-0.6
✕Todd Donovan 2007 · AAA	28	50→52	39→40	63→65	45	238/292/325	87	288	6	42	19%	6%	76	-0.4	230/294/306	76	290	4	37	20%	8%	72	-0.7	225/302/289	64	290	2	42	21%	10%	69	-0.6
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	49	36→30	61→65	50	226/301/295	69	301	2	41	24%	9%	73	-0.6	210/290/283	73	294	4	29	27%	9%	66	-1.1	161/263/185	24	243	0	34	30%	10%	34	-1.0
✕Jerry Owens 2009 · MLB	28	55→65	36→40	57→65	48	257/307/315	58	306	4	39	17%	6%	78	-0.3	251/305/328	77	298	5	26	16%	7%	80	-0.1	276/326/337	61	321	2	24	14%	7%	88	+0.2
✕Roemon Fields 2019 · AAA	28	49→57	36→30	58→60	42	230/277/293	63	301	3	38	24%	6%	62	-1.4	222/276/300	78	282	5	24	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/268/269	57	262	3	24	19%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Nyjer Morgan 2008 · MLB	28	57→63	36→45	63→65	44	267/318/341	74	326	3	42	18%	5%	88	+0.5	273/326/349	76	327	3	43	16%	6%	93	+0.8	277/338/360	83	328	3	35	15%	6%	101	+1.2
✕Darren Ford 2014 · MLB	28	46→53	39→45	58→65	42	222/271/306	84	294	6	41	26%	6%	63	-1.4	220/269/299	79	291	7	37	25%	6%	61	-1.5	216/266/283	68	282	6	37	24%	6%	53	-1.4
✕Willy Taveras 2010 · MLB	28	53→63	35→45	63→65	47	248/294/304	56	286	3	46	14%	6%	71	-0.8	225/263/311	86	261	7	25	16%	5%	61	-1.5	242/294/346	104	295	8	27	20%	4%	79	-0.2
●Michael Bourn 2011 · MLB	28	56→62	38→45	67→65	52	261/327/350	88	324	4	47	20%	9%	94	+0.9	273/334/374	101	346	5	39	21%	8%	102	+1.5	273/334/374	101	348	5	38	21%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Forrest Wall 2024 · MLB	28	51→55	41→45	69→70	44	239/301/343	105	333	7	54	29%	7%	83	+0.1	244/312/344	100	338	8	38	28%	8%	88	+0.4	245/318/331	86	342	7	38	28%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Freddy Guzman 2008 · AAA	27	51→61	38→45	63→70	50	240/302/320	80	290	4	42	18%	8%	78	-0.3	233/281/324	91	272	5	49	15%	6%	70	-0.8	267/319/375	107	317	7	77	17%	7%	93	+0.5
✕Quintin Berry 2013 · MLB	28	51→61	38→40	63→65	46	237/307/320	83	323	5	38	26%	8%	80	-0.1	220/290/291	71	297	5	34	25%	8%	68	-1.0	221/288/272	51	300	3	37	25%	8%	60	-1.2
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	52→60	38→40	63→60	49	245/306/332	87	305	5	37	20%	8%	82	-0.0	222/278/299	77	284	5	28	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/263/277	65	270	4	25	22%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Mallex Smith 2021 · MLB	28	51→61	41→45	65	48	242/308/351	110	307	7	40	22%	8%	88	+0.4	218/292/319	101	302	9	31	29%	9%	75	-0.5	197/280/280	83	292	10	40	33%	10%	58	-0.3
✕Ian Miller 2019 · AAA	27	53→59	36→40	61→60	43	248/294/315	67	315	3	34	22%	5%	74	-0.6	228/281/329	101	285	8	28	22%	6%	72	-0.7	222/276/324	102	274	8	30	21%	6%	68	-0.8
●Joey Gathright 2007 · MLB	26	54→64	36→30	61→60	51	251/322/323	72	306	3	38	18%	8%	86	+0.3	270/336/323	53	317	2	32	14%	8%	91	+0.7	284/345/321	37	331	0	35	13%	7%	92	+0.5

Braiden Ward

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps