Jose Franco
P
Louisville Bats
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 257 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 71 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.69
FIP4.69
K%21.3%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP71
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 133 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5895.1
Whiff%
p2121.2%
K%
p1116.5%
xwOBA vs
p150.354
FB (47%)
SL-0.6 (41%)
CH-1.7 (12%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | 14 | 14 | 57 | 228 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 0.6% | 2.20 | 2.92 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | 14 | 14 | 57 | 228 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 100% | 4.1 | 25.9% | 6.1% | 19.7% | 0.4% | 2.20 | 2.00 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 19 | 11 | 59 | 273 | 77 | 42 | 12 | 58% | 3.1 | 20.9% | 18.2% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 6.71 | 6.98 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 19 | 11 | 59 | 273 | 77 | 42 | 12 | 58% | 3.1 | 28.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 4.4% | 6.71 | 5.27 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 20 | 13 | 77 | 334 | 104 | 39 | 13 | 65% | 3.9 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.44 | 6.53 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 20 | 13 | 77 | 334 | 104 | 39 | 13 | 65% | 3.9 | 31.1% | 11.7% | 19.5% | 3.9% | 4.44 | 4.11 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 77 | 314 | 90 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 3.5 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | 3.52 | 3.69 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 77 | 314 | 90 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 3.5 | 28.7% | 8.3% | 20.4% | 2.2% | 3.52 | 2.96 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 26 | 110 | 468 | 118 | 54 | 14 | 84% | 3.5 | 21.2% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 3.11 | 5.03 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 26 | 110 | 468 | 118 | 54 | 14 | 84% | 3.5 | 25.2% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 3.11 | 4.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 21 | 6 | 62 | 273 | 58 | 37 | 5 | 29% | 3.0 | 19.3% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 4.35 | 4.29 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 67 | 0 | 71 | 299 | 64 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CIN | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 64 | 37 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 133 | 572 | 122 | 74 | 15 | — | — | 21.3% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.50 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 87 | 369 | 122 | 74 | 15 | — | — | 33.0% | 20.1% | 12.8% | 4.0% | 6.89 | 5.08 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 22 | 22 | 130 | 549 | 118 | 69 | 19 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.20 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 21 | 21 | 128 | 541 | 116 | 67 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 5.14 | 5.15 | +0.4 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 21 | 21 | 124 | 524 | 112 | 66 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.20 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 20 | 20 | 122 | 515 | 111 | 63 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.5% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 5.14 | 5.15 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 117 | 41 | 333 | 1413 | 299 | 180 | 49 | 35% | 2.8 | 21.2% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.08 | 4.83 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 25 | 200 | 850 | 180 | 108 | 29 | 35% | 2.8 | 21.2% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 5.08 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 127 | 92 | 442 | 1890 | 394 | 239 | 71 | 72% | 3.5 | 20.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 3.95 | 4.99 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 42 | 200 | 855 | 178 | 108 | 32 | 72% | 3.5 | 20.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 3.95 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Franco (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.08 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 3.5% | — | 5.17 | 21.5% | 9.0% | 258 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .319 | 4.17 | 23.5% | 13.9% | 196 | -0.99 | 4.00 | 512 | 82 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 79 |
| AJ Blubaugh R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.54 | 21.5% | 12.5% | 3.0% | .276 | 4.11 | 23.6% | 11.8% | 60 | -0.43 | 1.59 | 429 | 78 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 78 |
| Hayden Birdsong R 2024 · 5.46 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.46 | 22.2% | 13.9% | 4.5% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 326 | 77 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 76 |
| Chris Vallimont R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.61 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .304 | 6.00 | 18.1% | 4.9% | 128 | +1.39 | 3.13 | 472 | 76 |
| Cam Sanders R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.83 | 22.2% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .232 | 4.59 | 26.3% | 7.9% | 170 | -0.24 | 3.71 | 483 | 76 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 76 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.24 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .286 | 5.57 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 51 | +0.33 | 3.81 | 527 | 75 |
| Jackson Kowar R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.28 | 20.1% | 12.0% | 4.3% | .356 | 4.71 | 20.4% | 6.0% | 104 | -0.57 | 3.95 | 489 | 74 |
| Kyle Dowdy R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.89 | 18.7% | 10.0% | 3.8% | .344 | 4.91 | 18.4% | 4.5% | 125 | +0.02 | 2.81 | 606 | 74 |
| Reid Johnston R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.90 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .256 | 5.86 | 17.2% | 2.4% | 31 | +0.96 | 3.72 | 234 | 74 |
| Matt Ruppenthal R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 18.5% | 13.8% | 2.5% | .308 | 4.47 | 22.9% | 7.2% | 102 | -0.15 | 3.72 | 283 | 73 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 73 |
| Mike Franco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.74 | 17.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .251 | 4.30 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 98 | -0.44 | 3.06 | 322 | 73 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 73 |
| Deylen Miley R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 73 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.18 | 18.6% | 14.2% | 1.6% | .336 | 5.07 | 26.7% | 12.0% | 62 | +0.89 | 4.18 | 144 | 73 |
| Sean Hjelle R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .336 | 3.79 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 285 | -0.45 | 2.95 | 670 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 115 | 21.6% | 12.4% | 1.35 | 5.15 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Brandon Finnegan ('18) | 3 | 80 | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.57 | 4.19 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |