Jose Franco — OGILVIE

Jose Franco P Louisville Bats

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 257 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%20.3%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4555

CTRL—45

CMD4550

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5895.1

Whiff%

p1720.6%

p1016.3%

xwOBA vs

p200.347

FB (46%)

SL-0.6 (41%)

CH-1.7 (14%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	14	57	228	59	14	1	100%	4.1	17.6%	7.7%	9.9%	0.6%	2.20	2.92	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	14	14	57	228	59	14	1	100%	4.1	25.9%	6.1%	19.7%	0.4%	2.20	2.00	—
2021	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	19	11	59	273	77	42	12	58%	3.1	20.9%	18.2%	2.7%	5.9%	6.71	6.87	—
2021	20	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	19	11	59	273	77	42	12	58%	3.1	28.2%	15.4%	12.8%	4.4%	6.71	5.27	—
2022	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	20	13	77	334	104	39	13	65%	3.9	23.0%	13.8%	9.3%	5.7%	4.44	6.05	—
2022	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	20	13	77	334	104	39	13	65%	3.9	31.1%	11.7%	19.5%	3.9%	4.44	4.11	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	77	314	90	26	7	100%	3.5	21.7%	9.6%	12.1%	2.5%	3.52	3.84	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	77	314	90	26	7	100%	3.5	21.7%	9.6%	12.1%	2.5%	3.52	3.84	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	77	314	90	26	7	100%	3.5	28.7%	8.3%	20.4%	2.2%	3.52	2.96	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	26	110	468	118	54	14	84%	3.5	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	3.6%	3.11	4.80	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	26	110	468	118	54	14	84%	3.5	20.6%	11.5%	9.1%	3.6%	3.11	4.80	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	26	110	468	118	54	14	84%	3.5	25.2%	11.5%	13.7%	3.0%	3.11	4.08	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			10	0	20	93	15	16	3	0%	2.0	16.1%	17.2%	-1.1%	3.2%	4.43	5.90	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	26	9	79	344	70	46	8	35%	3.0	17.8%	12.5%	5.3%	2.5%	4.23	4.53	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	26	9	79	344	70	46	8	35%	3.0	17.8%	12.5%	5.3%	2.5%	4.23	4.53	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	CIN	1	0	2	7	1	1	0	0%	2.0	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.70	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	CIN	15	9	56	244	54	29	5	60%	3.8	22.1%	11.9%	10.2%	2.0%	4.31	3.86	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	CIN	10	0	20	93	15	16	3	0%	2.0	16.1%	17.2%	-1.1%	3.2%	4.43	5.69	-0.3
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	CIN	10	0	20	93	15	16	3	0%	2.0	16.1%	17.2%	-1.1%	3.2%	4.43	5.69	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB MLE	CIN	11	0	12	50	10	6	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	3.3%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	CIN	11	0	12	51	10	6	2	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	3.3%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	CIN	—	—	90	394	80	52	10	—	—	20.3%	13.1%	7.2%	2.5%	4.29	4.55	+0.3
FULL	25	MLB A+C	CIN	—	—	32	136	80	52	10	—	—	59.1%	38.1%	21.0%	7.1%	12.07	6.84	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CIN	22	22	130	549	115	65	18	100%	5.9	21.0%	11.9%	9.1%	3.3%	5.05	5.03	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	CIN	21	21	128	541	114	63	18	100%	6.1	21.0%	11.7%	9.4%	3.3%	5.00	5.01	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	CIN	21	21	124	525	110	61	18	100%	5.9	20.9%	11.6%	9.3%	3.4%	5.02	5.06	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	CIN	20	20	119	501	104	59	18	100%	5.9	20.7%	11.7%	9.0%	3.6%	5.10	5.17	-0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	CIN	19	19	112	471	96	57	18	100%	5.9	20.4%	12.0%	8.4%	3.8%	5.25	5.34	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	CIN	21	21	124	524	110	62	17	100%	5.9	21.0%	11.9%	9.1%	3.3%	5.05	5.03	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	CIN	20	20	122	515	108	60	17	100%	6.1	21.0%	11.7%	9.4%	3.3%	5.00	5.01	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	CIN	20	20	118	498	104	58	17	100%	5.9	20.9%	11.6%	9.3%	3.4%	5.02	5.06	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	CIN	19	19	113	477	99	56	17	100%	5.9	20.7%	11.7%	9.0%	3.6%	5.10	5.17	-0.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	CIN	18	18	106	448	91	54	17	100%	5.9	20.4%	12.0%	8.4%	3.8%	5.25	5.34	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		118	97	614	2600	537	311	90	82%	5.2	20.6%	12.0%	8.7%	3.5%	5.05	4.77	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		39	32	200	847	175	101	29	82%	5.2	20.6%	12.0%	8.7%	3.5%	5.05	4.77	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		132	95	459	1961	400	240	70	72%	3.5	20.4%	12.2%	8.1%	3.6%	3.94	4.88	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	41	200	855	174	105	30	72%	3.5	20.4%	12.2%	8.1%	3.6%	3.94	4.88	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Franco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	21.5%	11.1%	3.4%	—	5.03	21.0%	9.3%	382	+0.11	—	—	—
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	25	SP-	4.90	19.1%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.05	22.7%	14.3%	222	-0.85	3.90	538	83
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	78
Carson Seymour R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SP-	3.96	19.8%	10.2%	2.3%	.292	4.55	18.9%	9.6%	348	+0.59	3.39	572	78
Brandon Woodruff R 2018 · 3.80 FIP	25	SP-	3.80	22.0%	9.8%	2.4%	.291	2.72	29.8%	23.7%	375	-1.08	2.68	1,247	78
Kyle Dowdy R 2018 · 4.51 FIP	25	SP-	4.51	18.7%	10.0%	3.1%	.344	4.88	18.4%	4.5%	125	+0.37	2.98	606	78
Chris Vallimont R 2022 · 4.60 FIP	25	SP-	4.60	19.0%	11.2%	3.1%	.304	5.74	17.1%	5.8%	128	+1.14	3.23	522	77
Mike Clevinger R 2016 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	22.1%	10.7%	2.6%	.290	3.19	28.1%	19.0%	482	-0.83	2.28	1,236	76
Ryan Gusto R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	24	SP-	4.39	19.5%	11.0%	2.8%	.279	4.05	20.0%	12.3%	373	-0.34	3.77	573	76
Sean Hjelle R 2022 · 4.22 FIP	25	SP-	4.22	17.6%	8.6%	2.8%	.336	3.77	18.7%	12.3%	285	-0.45	2.92	670	76
Buck Farmer R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP-	4.29	19.5%	8.7%	3.2%	.309	3.78	20.9%	12.5%	309	-0.51	3.16	907	76
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	75
Jake Wong R 2022 · 3.96 FIP	25	SP-	3.96	19.5%	11.9%	1.8%	.328	6.60	17.3%	6.4%	68	+2.64	3.96	278	75
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	75
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.59	18.4%	8.7%	178	+1.86	3.73	274	75
Rafael Montero R 2016 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	16.6%	11.0%	3.0%	.325	3.81	23.3%	13.2%	177	-0.95	2.43	670	75
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	75
Cam Sanders R 2022 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	22.2%	14.8%	3.1%	.232	4.37	25.2%	9.0%	170	-0.46	3.43	516	75
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	75
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	75
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.7	122	20.9%	11.7%	1.33	5.05
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45