Ezequiel Ventura

P FCL Twins

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 151 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	20	ROKDSL Phillies …	11	10	49	2.40	3.18	19.5%	9.2%	—	K 13.3% · BB 11.5% · FIP 4.37
2023	21	MIX2 levels	18	6	48	3.91	4.01	20.4%	10.2%	—	K 13.5% · BB 11.7% · FIP 5.62
2024	22	ROKMIN	14	0	32	6.47	3.32	20.8%	6.7%	—	K 14.1% · BB 8.4% · FIP 4.71
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIN	18	0	19	4.35	4.35	22.6%	8.9%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBMIN	9	0	9	4.34	4.33	22.8%	8.9%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsBrad Deppermann (age 25) · Jeff Niemann (age 25) · Shohei Tomioka (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.35

FIP4.35

K%22.6%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%13.6%

Proj IP19

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	2	0	3	13	2	0	1	0%	1.5	15.4%	0.0%	15.4%	7.7%	9.00	6.02	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	2	0	3	13	2	0	1	0%	1.5	15.4%	0.0%	15.4%	7.7%	9.00	6.10	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	16	2	31	133	34	18	0	12%	2.0	17.4%	16.9%	0.5%	0.0%	3.45	3.77	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	16	2	31	133	34	18	0	12%	2.0	25.6%	13.5%	12.0%	0.0%	3.45	2.65	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	11	10	49	195	38	18	2	91%	4.4	13.3%	11.5%	1.7%	1.7%	2.40	4.37	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	11	10	49	195	38	18	2	91%	4.4	19.5%	9.2%	10.3%	1.0%	2.40	3.18	—
2023	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	6	48	206	42	21	5	33%	2.7	13.5%	11.7%	1.8%	4.0%	3.91	5.62	—
2023	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	6	48	206	42	21	5	33%	2.7	20.4%	10.2%	10.2%	2.4%	3.91	4.01	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	14	0	32	149	31	10	3	0%	2.3	14.1%	8.4%	5.8%	3.2%	6.47	4.71	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	14	0	32	149	31	10	3	0%	2.3	14.1%	8.4%	5.8%	3.2%	6.47	4.71	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	14	0	32	149	31	10	3	0%	2.3	20.8%	6.7%	14.1%	2.0%	6.47	3.32	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	18	0	19	80	18	7	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	8.9%	13.6%	3.0%	4.35	4.35	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	8.9%	13.9%	3.0%	4.34	4.33	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	8.9%	13.9%	3.0%	4.34	4.33	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	3	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	8.9%	13.9%	3.0%	4.34	3.95	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	70	23	0%	1.1	22.8%	8.9%	13.9%	3.0%	4.34	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		61	18	163	696	100	82	17	30%	2.7	14.4%	11.7%	2.6%	2.5%	3.97	4.73	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	22	200	852	122	100	21	30%	2.7	14.4%	11.7%	2.6%	2.5%	3.97	4.73	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ezequiel Ventura (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	22.6%	8.9%	3.0%	—	4.33	22.8%	13.9%	20	-0.02	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	79
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	79
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	77
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	76
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	76
Michael King R 2020 · 4.56 FIP	25	SW	4.56	21.5%	9.1%	3.9%	.316	2.74	28.3%	20.8%	219	-1.82	1.97	1,024	76
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	75
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	74
Trennor O'Donnell R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	23	SW	3.45	18.2%	8.6%	1.5%	.326	6.32	14.2%	0.6%	44	+2.87	3.45	107	74
Juan Gutierrez R 2007 · 3.96 FIP	24	SW	3.96	17.2%	4.3%	3.2%	.314	3.83	20.4%	12.6%	128	-0.13	2.67	379	74
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	74
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	74
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	74
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	74
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	74
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	74