David Morillo P ACL Mariners
Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 168 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.2 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.04 (16 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201917ROKDSL Mariners145391644114136%2.817.0%10.7%6.3%0.9%1.623.48
201917ROKDSL Mariners145391644114136%2.825.0%8.5%16.5%0.6%1.622.41
202119ROKACL Mariners19034140411010%1.819.9%8.9%11.0%1.2%2.123.23
202119ROKACL Mariners19034140411010%1.829.3%7.1%22.1%0.7%2.121.95
202220ROKACL Mariners168421764420150%2.617.0%14.2%2.8%0.7%2.983.87
202220ROKACL Mariners168421764420150%2.625.0%11.4%13.6%0.6%2.982.75
202321ROKACL Mariners16127117291616%1.716.9%17.1%-0.2%1.3%1.674.58
202321ROKACL Mariners16127117291616%1.724.8%13.7%11.1%0.9%1.673.21
202422ROKACL Mariners8094811400%1.222.9%8.3%14.6%0.0%11.572.22
202422ROKACL Mariners8094811400%1.222.9%8.3%14.6%0.0%11.572.03
▸ 2026 Season
202624MLBSEA150166816620%1.123.3%9.3%14.0%3.0%4.334.33+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBSEA190208420830%1.123.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.294.26+0.1
202725MLBSEA909389310%1.023.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.294.26+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career809369310%1.123.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.293.88+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084421170230%1.123.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.293.88+3.6
Career731415264511679619%2.118.0%12.2%5.8%0.9%2.733.64+3.1
/ 200 IP9618200851153104819%2.118.0%12.2%5.8%0.9%2.733.64+4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
David Morillo (OGILVIE) 4.33 23.3%9.3%3.0% 4.26 23.7%14.7%20 -0.07
Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 24 SU 3.86 22.2%9.8%2.5%.353 4.73 19.3%6.7%54 +0.87 3.86 106 83
Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP 24 SU 4.48 22.4%10.9%3.5%.261 4.12 18.8%8.1%138 -0.36 3.77 166 81
Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 81
Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 24 SU 4.23 20.4%10.7%2.7%.291 5.76 16.2%4.4%54 +1.53 4.23 105 81
Nolan Clenney R 2027 · 3.75 FIP 25 SU 3.75 25.5%8.4%3.2%.340 4.62 22.5%13.6%185 +0.87 3.75 223 81
Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP 23 SU 4.21 24.1%12.0%3.0%.245 4.19 22.4%14.3%96 -0.02 3.95 142 81
Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 24 SU 4.08 21.3%7.5%3.3%.312 4.08 100 81
Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 24 SU 4.49 23.1%10.7%3.6%.233 3.63 22.1%10.4%120 -0.86 3.51 156 81
Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 23 SW 3.89 21.8%8.6%2.8%.293 4.63 20.4%9.0%33 +0.74 2.08 276 80
Joshua Loeschorn R 2025 · 3.74 FIP 23 SU 3.74 24.5%7.7%3.1%.272 4.60 16.4%7.6%67 +0.86 3.04 135 80
Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 24 SW 4.26 20.4%8.6%3.2%.318 3.98 24.1%12.9%61 -0.28 2.79 229 80
Mitchell Stumpo R 2027 · 3.88 FIP 25 SU 3.88 25.6%8.0%3.5%.299 5.10 22.4%6.5%121 +1.22 3.88 158 79
Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 24 SU 3.62 21.2%9.6%2.0%.345 3.45 22.4%12.5%172 -0.17 3.02 214 79
Brian Hunter R 2026 · 3.18 FIP 24 SU 3.18 24.5%10.1%1.6%.245 3.31 19.6%7.3%41 +0.13 2.99 112 79
Zach Franklin R 2027 · 3.53 FIP 25 SU 3.53 26.4%10.9%2.3%.301 4.31 28.4%19.1%97 +0.78 3.48 138 79
Trey McLoughlin R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 24 SU 3.89 23.7%8.4%3.2%.295 4.73 21.4%8.5%95 +0.84 3.78 217 79
Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 24 SU 3.77 19.9%8.6%2.3%.282 5.34 15.3%4.5%76 +1.57 3.77 105 78
Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP 24 SU 3.58 18.8%7.3%2.1%.291 3.59 20.4%10.1%75 +0.01 3.58 118 78
Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 3.23 FIP 24 SU 3.23 22.1%8.7%1.6%.157 4.72 24.3%10.2%101 +1.49 3.23 179 78
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2026 · 3.31 FIP 24 SU 3.31 23.4%8.2%2.1%.262 6.15 20.6%11.1%128 +2.84 3.31 207 78