David Morillo — OGILVIE

David Morillo P ACL Mariners

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 168 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%22.9%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	14	5	39	164	41	14	1	36%	2.8	17.0%	10.7%	6.3%	0.9%	1.62	3.48	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	14	5	39	164	41	14	1	36%	2.8	25.0%	8.5%	16.5%	0.6%	1.62	2.41	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	19	0	34	140	41	10	1	0%	1.8	19.9%	8.9%	11.0%	1.1%	2.12	3.16	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	19	0	34	140	41	10	1	0%	1.8	29.3%	7.1%	22.1%	0.7%	2.12	1.95	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	16	8	42	176	44	20	1	50%	2.6	17.0%	14.2%	2.8%	0.8%	2.98	3.89	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	16	8	42	176	44	20	1	50%	2.6	25.0%	11.4%	13.6%	0.6%	2.98	2.75	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	16	1	27	117	29	16	1	6%	1.7	16.9%	17.1%	-0.2%	1.3%	1.67	4.54	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	16	1	27	117	29	16	1	6%	1.7	16.9%	17.1%	-0.2%	1.3%	1.67	4.54	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	16	1	27	117	29	16	1	6%	1.7	24.8%	13.7%	11.1%	0.9%	1.67	3.21	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	8	0	9	48	11	4	0	0%	1.2	22.9%	8.3%	14.6%	0.0%	11.57	2.22	—
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	8	0	9	48	11	4	0	0%	1.2	22.9%	8.3%	14.6%	0.0%	11.57	2.22	—
2024	22	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	8	0	9	48	11	4	0	0%	1.2	22.9%	8.3%	14.6%	0.0%	11.57	2.03	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	SEA	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.5%	11.4%	3.0%	4.64	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	20	9	3	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	SEA	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.11	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.54	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		73	14	152	645	116	79	6	19%	2.1	18.0%	12.2%	5.8%	0.9%	2.73	3.62	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		96	18	200	851	153	104	8	19%	2.1	18.0%	12.2%	5.8%	0.9%	2.73	3.62	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Morillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	22.9%	11.5%	3.0%	—	4.49	23.3%	12.7%	20	-0.15	—	—	—
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	83
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	83
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	82
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	81
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	81
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	80
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	79
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	79
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.22	28.3%	14.7%	112	-0.80	3.17	173	79
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	79
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	79
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	79
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	79
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	78
Kyle Bischoff R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.6%	11.8%	4.8%	.240	3.86	21.7%	8.5%	139	-1.40	3.21	161	78
Carlo Reyes R 2022 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.4%	8.6%	2.9%	.318	3.92	24.1%	12.9%	61	-0.14	2.60	229	78