Juan Jerez — OGILVIE

Juan Jerez2B Bradenton Marauders

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.165 / .235 / .260

PA6

HR0

K%34

BB%8

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Pirates 1	—	254	228	62	12	6	7	14	48	6	6	6	272	331	469	800	197	309	19	6	344	119	+6	-1	—	—	+6	1.0
2021	19	ROK	FCL Pirates Black	—	181	152	45	9	2	6	24	46	2	10	4	296	399	500	899	204	382	25	13	391	151	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2022	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	292	259	55	9	3	7	25	95	5	20	2	212	294	351	645	139	300	33	9	290	82	-6	+3	—	—	+6	0.3
2023	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	76	63	12	3	0	0	12	22	0	8	2	190	320	238	558	48	286	29	16	268	68	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	21	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	63	44	12	4	1	2	14	16	2	8	2	273	467	545	1.012	273	345	25	22	423	173	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.8
2024	22	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	98	88	20	7	0	2	9	33	0	4	1	227	299	375	674	148	340	34	9	300	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	—	254	233	45	8	4	5	9	69	6	6	6	193	242	326	568	133	229	27	4	240	49	-16	-1	—	—	+6	-1.1
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Black	—	181	161	34	6	1	4	15	65	2	10	4	211	287	335	622	124	313	36	8	281	76	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2022	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	292	266	42	7	2	5	18	135	5	20	2	158	225	256	481	98	280	46	6	213	30	-24	+3	—	—	+6	-1.5
2023	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	76	66	10	3	0	0	9	30	0	8	2	152	253	197	450	45	263	39	12	213	30	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	63	49	10	3	1	2	9	24	2	8	2	204	350	429	779	224	264	38	14	316	100	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	98	90	15	5	0	1	7	48	0	4	1	167	227	256	482	89	322	49	7	214	31	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	—	254	233	45	8	4	5	9	69	6	6	6	193	242	326	568	133	244	27	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 1	—	254	228	62	12	6	7	14	48	6	6	6	272	331	469	800	197	309	19	6	344	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Black	—	181	161	34	6	1	4	15	65	2	10	4	211	287	335	622	124	319	36	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates Black	—	181	152	45	9	2	6	24	46	2	10	4	296	399	500	899	204	382	25	13	391	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	292	266	42	7	2	5	18	135	5	20	2	158	225	256	481	98	287	46	6	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	292	259	55	9	3	7	25	95	5	20	2	212	294	351	645	139	300	33	9	290	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	139	115	20	5	1	2	18	54	2	16	4	174	296	287	583	113	286	39	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	139	107	24	7	1	2	26	38	2	16	4	224	385	364	750	140	310	27	19	338	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	98	90	15	5	0	1	7	48	0	4	1	167	227	256	482	89	341	49	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	98	88	20	7	0	2	9	33	0	4	1	227	299	375	674	148	340	34	9	300	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	—	254	237	45	8	4	5	9	69	6	6	6	190	242	321	563	131	229	27	4	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates Black	—	181	162	34	6	1	4	15	65	2	10	4	210	287	333	620	123	313	36	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	292	267	42	7	2	5	18	135	5	20	2	157	225	255	480	97	280	46	6	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	139	118	20	5	1	2	18	54	2	16	4	169	296	280	576	110	263	39	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	98	91	15	5	0	1	7	48	0	4	1	165	227	253	480	88	322	49	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	139	118	20	5	1	2	18	54	2	16	4	169	296	280	576	110	263	39	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	98	91	15	5	0	1	7	48	0	4	1	165	227	253	480	88	322	49	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		241	33	0	229	41	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	131	119	21	4	1	2	10	43	1	3	1	176	246	277	523	101	247	33	8	242	50	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	39	36	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	167	231	278	509	111	246	33	8	232	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	6	1	0	1	3	13	0	1	0	167	231	278	509	111	227	33	8	232	49	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	101	17	0	17	50	217	0	17	0	168	232	282	514	113	230	33	8	232	49	-39	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1101	990	178	35	9	19	77	416	16	59	18	180	250	291	541	111	279	38	7	240	49	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	105	21	5	11	45	246	9	35	11	180	249	289	538	110	280	38	7	240	49	-39	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Jerez (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	165/235/260	95	241	1	2	34%	8%	41	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Jeremy Eierman 2021 · A	24	34→26	42→50	50→45	33	174/221/277	103	286	10	9	42%	5%	38	-3.2	186/241/326	140	295	17	10	41%	5%	58	-1.7	164/222/309	144	249	20	10	42%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	44→45	51→40	35	174/244/287	113	284	12	7	41%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/305	109	312	10	5	38%	5%	57	-1.8	193/247/308	115	295	10	0	36%	4%	53	-0.8
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	30→33	39→40	51→50	36	158/210/242	84	229	7	14	34%	5%	26	-4.0	166/219/260	94	254	10	15	37%	5%	34	-3.5	149/204/241	92	229	11	16	39%	6%	22	-2.9
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	190/266/292	102	264	10	6	30%	9%	59	-1.6	192/262/308	116	277	12	11	33%	8%	61	-1.5	174/253/287	113	253	13	17	35%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→50	37	176/256/269	93	287	8	17	39%	7%	51	-2.2	180/261/291	111	315	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/217/245	122	228	14	10	49%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	41→39	42→45	51→50	41	203/257/311	108	271	9	14	28%	6%	60	-1.6	196/258/312	116	271	10	14	30%	7%	61	-1.5	178/244/294	116	246	11	15	31%	7%	49	-1.6
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	35→38	44→45	53→55	44	180/263/295	115	240	11	20	29%	7%	60	-1.6	190/276/300	110	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	150/259/288	138	250	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	40→41	41→45	48→50	40	195/252/298	103	283	8	15	32%	6%	55	-1.9	196/250/296	100	294	9	12	34%	6%	53	-2.1	192/245/287	96	279	9	9	33%	6%	48	-1.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Josh Richmond 2013 · A	24	34→40	41→45	48→45	36	175/225/277	101	253	8	8	34%	5%	40	-3.1	201/254/324	123	281	11	8	31%	5%	61	-1.5	203/258/337	135	277	12	7	30%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	40→45	48→40	36	174/227/260	85	258	8	5	35%	5%	37	-3.3	193/249/301	108	284	12	4	34%	6%	55	-2.0	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2015 · A	24	33→31	45→50	49→30	38	178/231/302	124	247	12	4	33%	6%	49	-2.4	188/245/333	145	253	16	3	32%	6%	61	-1.5	177/237/330	153	230	18	1	31%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6