Jared Thomas — OGILVIE

Jared ThomasC Clearwater Threshers

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .282 / .307

PA81

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	27	21	2	1	0	0	4	9	2	0	0	95	296	143	439	48	167	33	15	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	27	18	3	2	0	0	7	6	2	0	0	167	444	278	722	111	250	22	26	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	164	143	23	3	0	1	16	42	3	4	2	161	259	203	462	42	218	26	10	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	2 teams	—	164	139	28	3	0	2	20	29	3	4	2	201	315	266	581	65	239	18	12	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	PHI	—	81	74	15	3	0	1	6	23	1	1	0	203	272	284	555	81	287	28	7	271	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	PHI	30%	130	116	25	4	1	2	11	36	2	2	1	216	295	319	614	103	287	28	8	278	71	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2028	27	MLB	PHI	42%	221	198	43	8	1	4	18	61	3	3	1	217	292	328	621	111	288	28	8	281	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2029	28	MLB	PHI	48%	284	255	55	10	1	5	24	77	3	4	1	216	291	322	612	106	287	27	8	282	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2030	29	MLB	PHI	49%	319	285	62	11	2	6	27	87	4	4	1	218	294	333	628	116	287	27	8	281	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.4
2031	30	MLB	PHI	50%	342	306	66	12	2	6	29	94	4	4	1	216	292	327	619	111	285	27	8	279	71	-11	+0	-2	+6	+10	0.3
2032	31	MLB	PHI	51%	332	297	63	11	2	6	28	93	4	4	1	212	289	323	612	111	283	28	8	275	68	-12	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.1
2027	26	MLB	PHI	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	289	28	8	270	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	27	MLB	PHI	42%	92	83	18	3	0	2	8	25	1	1	0	217	293	325	619	108	290	27	9	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	28	MLB	PHI	48%	135	121	27	5	1	3	11	37	2	2	1	223	299	355	654	132	290	27	8	275	69	-5	+0	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	29	MLB	PHI	49%	157	141	31	6	1	3	13	43	2	2	1	220	295	340	635	121	289	27	8	274	68	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2031	30	MLB	PHI	50%	172	154	33	6	1	3	14	47	2	2	1	214	288	325	613	110	288	27	8	272	66	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.0
2032	31	MLB	PHI	51%	168	150	33	6	1	3	14	47	2	2	1	220	295	333	629	113	285	28	8	268	63	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	763	685	149	27	4	15	63	210	9	10	4	218	292	334	626	117	289	28	8	272	66	-29	+0	-3	+14	+22	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	127	23	3	13	54	179	8	9	3	217	293	334	627	116	289	28	8	272	66	-25	+1	-3	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	1900	1695	354	63	9	31	163	522	26	26	8	209	288	312	600	103	280	27	9	273	67	-70	+2	-7	+34	+54	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	122	22	3	11	56	179	9	9	3	210	290	316	605	105	282	28	9	273	67	-24	+1	-2	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	27	18	3	2	0	7	6	2	0	0	167	444	278	722	111	250	22	26	364	137	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	24	22	6	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	273	333	273	606		375	25	8	284	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	140	117	22	3	2	18	23	3	3	2	188	312	265	577	77	215	16	13	273	67	-5	-0	—	—	+4	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	844	15	12	215	288	325	+15	+16	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	12	9	215	288	325	+11.9	+12.6	0.9	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Thomas (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	209/282/307	98	287	1	1	28%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	44	212/291/330	118	301	10	10	31%	8%	75	-0.0	206/288/340	134	295	14	14	32%	9%	76	+0.1	187/277/329	142	264	15	17	33%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→40	41→45	46→45	42	214/266/308	94	265	8	8	22%	5%	58	-1.2	208/275/342	134	258	16	8	26%	6%	72	-0.2	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	44→50	39→45	46→50	47	209/288/295	86	289	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.8	213/282/321	108	300	10	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	221/294/350	129	290	13	8	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	43→40	40→45	45	45	209/273/307	97	268	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	221/281/340	119	280	10	6	24%	7%	72	-0.2	221/283/352	131	272	12	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	41→48	44→45	48→50	45	208/267/323	115	265	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.9	224/286/345	121	283	13	11	24%	8%	76	+0.0	221/287/339	118	276	13	13	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A	25	42→39	41→40	47→40	48	200/288/297	96	289	9	4	32%	10%	66	-0.6	202/274/303	101	276	11	5	29%	8%	60	-1.0	193/264/290	96	257	11	5	28%	8%	50	-1.3
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	41→40	44→45	51	219/303/311	93	267	8	4	21%	9%	76	+0.0	226/306/320	94	265	9	8	17%	9%	79	+0.3	228/311/314	85	261	9	7	15%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→39	42→55	51→45	40	203/257/318	115	292	9	7	32%	6%	56	-1.3	198/263/346	148	305	18	6	39%	8%	67	-0.5	190/258/353	163	284	21	5	39%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2019 · A	25	44→42	44→55	47→45	41	222/265/335	113	282	13	6	26%	5%	64	-0.8	212/266/322	110	290	10	7	29%	6%	61	-1.0	226/290/351	125	289	12	8	25%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Meibrys Viloria 2022 · MLB	25	45→47	42→45	43→40	44	211/291/318	107	319	10	6	34%	9%	72	-0.2	223/312/350	127	327	13	7	32%	11%	89	+1.0	223/334/350	127	322	13	3	31%	13%	95	+0.7
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→45	49→50	47	223/294/335	113	295	9	12	26%	8%	77	+0.1	253/326/358	105	332	7	10	24%	9%	95	+1.4	261/335/360	99	340	7	8	23%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Konner Piotto 2023 · A	25	47	39→40	49→50	43	216/284/308	92	317	5	8	32%	8%	66	-0.6	217/290/298	81	309	6	10	29%	7%	66	-0.6	207/287/273	66	299	5	10	30%	8%	57	-0.4
✕Chad De La Guerra 2018 · AA	25	48	42→50	48→45	43	230/282/338	108	306	8	8	27%	6%	72	-0.2	222/273/357	135	310	15	7	32%	6%	73	-0.1	201/259/334	133	289	15	7	34%	6%	58	-0.6