Jared Thomas — OGILVIE

Jared ThomasC Clearwater Threshers

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .282 / .308

PA6

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	27	18	3	2	0	0	7	6	2	0	0	167	444	278	722	111	250	22	26	364	132	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	24	22	6	0	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	273	333	273	606		375	25	8	284	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	140	117	22	3	0	2	18	23	3	3	2	188	312	265	577	77	215	16	13	273	71	-5	-0	—	—	+3	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	27	21	2	1	0	0	4	9	2	0	0	95	296	143	439	48	184	33	15	244	51	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	24	23	5	0	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	217	250	217	467		333	33	4	220	35	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	140	121	20	3	0	2	14	33	3	3	2	165	268	240	508	74	197	24	10	224	38	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	27	21	2	1	0	0	4	9	2	0	0	95	296	143	439	48	167	33	15	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	27	18	3	2	0	0	7	6	2	0	0	167	444	278	722	111	250	22	26	364	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	164	144	25	3	0	2	15	41	3	4	2	174	265	236	502	62	225	25	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	164	139	28	3	0	2	20	29	3	4	2	201	315	266	581	65	239	18	12	274	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	27	21	2	1	0	0	4	9	2	0	0	95	296	143	439	48	184	33	15	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	164	145	25	3	0	2	15	41	3	4	2	172	265	234	500	62	217	25	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	27	21	2	1	0	0	4	9	2	0	0	95	296	143	439	48	184	33	15	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	164	145	25	3	0	2	15	41	3	4	2	172	265	234	500	62	217	25	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		287	33	0	271	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	130	117	25	4	1	2	10	36	2	2	1	214	287	316	603	103	287	28	8	278	74	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	42%	221	198	43	8	1	4	18	60	3	3	1	217	292	328	621	111	287	27	8	281	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	284	254	55	10	1	5	24	77	4	4	1	217	294	323	617	106	287	27	8	283	77	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	319	285	62	11	2	6	27	87	4	4	1	218	294	333	628	116	286	27	8	282	77	-9	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2031	30	MLB MLE	PHI	50%	342	306	66	12	2	6	29	94	4	4	1	216	292	327	619	111	285	27	8	279	75	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.2
2032	31	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	332	297	64	11	2	6	28	92	4	4	1	215	292	327	618	111	283	28	8	275	72	-11	+0	-3	+6	+7	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	290	28	8	272	74	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	42%	92	83	18	3	0	2	8	25	1	1	0	217	293	325	619	108	290	27	9	276	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	135	121	28	5	1	3	11	37	2	2	1	231	306	364	670	132	290	27	8	278	77	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	157	141	31	6	1	3	13	43	2	2	1	220	295	340	635	121	289	27	8	277	77	-4	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	PHI	50%	172	154	33	6	1	3	14	47	2	2	1	214	288	325	613	110	288	27	8	274	75	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.1
2032	31	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	168	150	33	6	1	3	14	47	2	2	1	220	295	333	629	113	285	28	8	270	72	-6	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	763	685	150	27	4	15	63	210	9	10	4	219	293	336	629	117	291	28	8	274	72	-22	+0	-3	+14	+17	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	128	23	3	13	54	179	8	9	3	219	295	336	630	116	291	28	8	274	72	-19	+0	-3	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1825	1628	343	60	9	31	155	498	26	25	8	211	290	316	605	105	281	27	8	274	72	-48	+2	-7	+29	+35	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	122	21	3	11	55	177	9	9	3	210	289	314	603	103	280	27	8	274	72	-19	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.3	844	15	12	216	288	325	+15	+16	1.3	1.3
/162	664	12	9	+11.9	+12.6	1.0	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Thomas (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	209/282/308	98	287	1	1	28%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	42→47	44→45	48→40	42	209/277/328	119	296	12	6	32%	7%	72	-0.7	228/284/344	116	308	11	5	28%	6%	78	-0.3	232/290/345	114	313	10	3	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	45	213/295/327	115	301	10	10	31%	8%	78	-0.3	205/286/325	120	295	11	14	32%	9%	75	-0.5	189/275/311	122	271	11	17	32%	9%	67	-0.5
✕César Salazar 2021 · A	25	44→41	41→45	46→45	42	214/267/309	95	266	8	8	23%	5%	63	-1.3	209/278/339	130	256	15	8	24%	6%	75	-0.5	203/308/311	108	241	12	6	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	45→47	40→45	46→50	47	213/291/303	89	294	7	10	28%	9%	71	-0.8	214/282/312	98	298	8	9	29%	7%	70	-0.9	217/287/331	114	285	10	8	26%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Andres Sosa 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	52→45	47	188/290/298	110	270	9	9	31%	9%	72	-0.7	197/285/289	92	286	7	7	31%	8%	67	-1.1	185/274/262	78	273	5	4	31%	7%	54	-0.8
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	44→43	41→45	46→45	46	215/278/318	103	271	8	7	23%	7%	70	-0.9	222/283/336	114	279	9	6	23%	7%	75	-0.5	221/284/341	121	270	10	3	21%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	43→45	43→45	50	44	212/278/331	119	279	10	12	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/289/332	101	313	8	9	27%	6%	76	-0.4	234/293/322	88	321	6	7	27%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	213/275/308	95	322	7	3	33%	7%	65	-1.2	206/272/297	91	310	6	1	33%	8%	60	-0.8
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→38	42→50	51→45	40	204/259/318	114	293	9	7	32%	6%	62	-1.4	196/263/336	140	295	16	6	37%	8%	69	-0.9	185/255/332	147	273	18	5	38%	8%	61	-1.0
✕Andy Thomas 2023 · A	25	41→39	42→40	47→40	47	199/286/298	99	288	10	4	32%	10%	69	-0.9	201/272/295	94	273	9	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	193/263/280	87	255	9	5	27%	8%	53	-1.5
✕Ryan Ortiz 2013 · AA	25	41	43→45	48→40	50	203/291/309	106	270	11	5	27%	10%	73	-0.6	200/288/296	96	279	8	4	29%	10%	70	-0.9	186/284/271	85	264	7	0	29%	10%	59	-0.8
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA	25	44	40→45	50	50	211/289/302	91	285	7	11	27%	10%	70	-0.8	239/301/353	114	292	10	14	21%	8%	86	+0.3	250/306/369	119	290	10	17	17%	7%	88	+0.2
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	42→46	43→45	48→50	45	210/267/320	110	264	11	6	25%	7%	66	-1.1	219/281/330	111	278	11	11	24%	7%	74	-0.6	214/280/319	105	269	11	13	24%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Michael Fransoso 2015 · A	25	45	45	49→50	50	224/294/348	124	269	13	8	22%	8%	82	+0.0	211/277/290	79	262	6	11	21%	7%	63	-1.4	189/259/215	26	234	0	13	18%	7%	38	-1.3
✕Mark Fleury 2012 · A	24	43→40	44→45	49→45	45	213/281/332	119	290	11	6	29%	8%	74	-0.6	196/273/283	87	309	5	7	35%	9%	60	-1.6	148/243/204	56	246	1	2	36%	10%	32	-1.4
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	40	44→45	50	216/296/304	88	262	8	4	20%	8%	74	-0.6	226/307/313	87	264	8	8	17%	9%	80	-0.2	229/313/307	77	262	7	7	15%	9%	77	-0.1
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	45	43→45	53→50	47	217/290/334	118	298	10	9	29%	9%	78	-0.3	205/272/314	109	298	10	13	32%	8%	67	-1.1	179/250/276	97	261	10	16	34%	8%	48	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps