Jared ThomasC
Clearwater Threshers
Age 25
L/R
5'10" / 185 lbs
A
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2029
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .280 / .324
PA81
HR1
K%28
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $3M | $0.1M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 27 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .095 | .296 | .143 | .439 | .048 | .167 | 33 | 15 | .241 | 43 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | 2 teams | 164 | 144 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .160 | .253 | .201 | .454 | .042 | .214 | 25 | 9 | .222 | 28 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 81 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .216 | .284 | .324 | .608 | .108 | .287 | 28 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | PHI | 130 | 118 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .229 | .295 | .364 | .659 | .136 | .289 | 28 | 8 | .285 | 77 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | PHI | 221 | 200 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 60 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .288 | .345 | .633 | .125 | .290 | 27 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 36% | PHI | 284 | 256 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 77 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .223 | .294 | .348 | .642 | .125 | .290 | 27 | 8 | .289 | 79 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 46% | PHI | 319 | 287 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 87 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .223 | .294 | .352 | .646 | .129 | .289 | 27 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | PHI | 342 | 308 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 94 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .218 | .289 | .338 | .627 | .120 | .287 | 27 | 8 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 66% | PHI | 332 | 299 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 93 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .289 | .341 | .630 | .124 | .286 | 28 | 8 | .281 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +6 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 83% | PHI | 314 | 283 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 90 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .216 | .286 | .332 | .618 | .117 | .284 | 29 | 8 | .276 | 70 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 282 | 255 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .204 | .275 | .306 | .581 | .102 | .283 | 29 | 8 | .271 | 66 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 238 | 215 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .205 | .275 | .307 | .582 | .102 | .281 | 30 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2734 | 2460 | 522 | 94 | 15 | 52 | 221 | 764 | 30 | 26 | 7 | .212 | .285 | .326 | .611 | .114 | .283 | 28 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -93 | +2 | -20 | +49 | +77 | 1.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 124 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 182 | 7 | 6 | 2 | .212 | .285 | .325 | .610 | .113 | .284 | 28 | 8 | .277 | 70 | -22 | +0 | -5 | +12 | +18 | 0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 27 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .444 | .278 | .722 | .111 | .250 | 22 | 26 | .364 | 137 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 24 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .273 | .333 | .273 | .606 | .000 | .375 | 25 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 140 | 117 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .188 | .312 | .265 | .577 | .077 | .215 | 16 | 13 | .273 | 67 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jared Thomas (OGILVIE) | 25 | — | — | — | — | .213/.280/.324 | .111 | .287 | 1 | 1 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A |
25 | 42→45 | 45 | 49→40 | 41 | .211/.275/.335 | .124 | .295 | 13 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.281/.350 | .125 | .306 | 13 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .232/.286/.359 | .127 | .311 | 13 | 3 | 29% | 5% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kody Clemens 2021 · AA |
25 | 40→43 | 44→60 | 51→45 | 43 | .202/.264/.324 | .123 | .275 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.262/.373 | .165 | .263 | 20 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .216/.278/.416 | .200 | .247 | 26 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Matt Lloyd 2021 · A |
25 | 44→42 | 46→50 | 46→50 | 42 | .218/.279/.349 | .131 | .306 | 13 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .215/.282/.373 | .158 | .319 | 20 | 7 | 37% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .214/.289/.352 | .138 | .288 | 17 | 12 | 30% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Drew Campbell 2023 · A |
25 | 46 | 43→55 | 49→50 | 39 | .229/.271/.337 | .109 | .301 | 11 | 12 | 28% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .228/.272/.359 | .131 | .310 | 15 | 13 | 30% | 4% | 74 | -0.1 | .225/.265/.384 | .158 | .300 | 22 | 15 | 32% | 3% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕César Salazar 2021 · A |
25 | 44→40 | 41→45 | 46→45 | 43 | .214/.269/.311 | .097 | .262 | 9 | 7 | 22% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .209/.277/.344 | .135 | .255 | 16 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .201/.292/.321 | .120 | .236 | 14 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA |
25 | 45 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 45 | .214/.296/.330 | .116 | .301 | 10 | 10 | 30% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .203/.285/.325 | .122 | .297 | 11 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .183/.272/.308 | .125 | .269 | 12 | 17 | 34% | 9% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Daniel Schneemann 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→49 | 43→50 | 51→50 | 42 | .220/.275/.325 | .105 | .295 | 10 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.276/.326 | .114 | .289 | 11 | 17 | 29% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .226/.305/.377 | .151 | .297 | 15 | 13 | 28% | 10% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A |
25 | 43 | 42→45 | 45 | 45 | .210/.273/.315 | .104 | .261 | 9 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .225/.286/.345 | .120 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 23% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .224/.288/.352 | .128 | .275 | 11 | 3 | 22% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A |
25 | 42→37 | 43→55 | 51→45 | 41 | .206/.260/.322 | .117 | .290 | 9 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .198/.265/.350 | .152 | .297 | 18 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .189/.258/.354 | .165 | .275 | 22 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A |
24 | 43 | 40→45 | 50→30 | 42 | .211/.263/.307 | .096 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .215/.275/.312 | .097 | .328 | 7 | 3 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .204/.270/.296 | .092 | .311 | 6 | 1 | 34% | 8% | 54 | -0.8 |
|
✕Hunter Feduccia 2022 · AA |
25 | 44→47 | 45→50 | 45→40 | 48 | .220/.287/.342 | .122 | .280 | 13 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.289/.360 | .143 | .287 | 16 | 3 | 28% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .226/.315/.344 | .118 | .304 | 11 | 2 | 27% | 11% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2019 · A |
25 | 44 | 44→55 | 47→45 | 40 | .219/.260/.328 | .110 | .278 | 12 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .213/.266/.319 | .106 | .290 | 9 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .225/.292/.365 | .140 | .286 | 14 | 7 | 25% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA |
25 | 46 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 48 | .227/.296/.347 | .121 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .250/.325/.358 | .108 | .328 | 8 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .255/.330/.354 | .099 | .334 | 7 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 92 | +0.5 |
|
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→47 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 45 | .207/.264/.323 | .115 | .260 | 12 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .223/.283/.343 | .120 | .282 | 13 | 11 | 24% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.283/.334 | .116 | .272 | 13 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A |
25 | 44→46 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 45 | .214/.283/.334 | .120 | .278 | 10 | 12 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.289/.338 | .109 | .309 | 9 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .230/.289/.325 | .094 | .319 | 7 | 7 | 28% | 6% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 43→45 | 46→55 | 54 | .196/.296/.310 | .114 | .268 | 9 | 11 | 28% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.295/.313 | .115 | .254 | 11 | 19 | 24% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A |
24 | 39→46 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .197/.277/.329 | .131 | .260 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.289/.346 | .131 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .223/.298/.355 | .132 | .277 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Michael Fransoso 2015 · A |
25 | 44 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 48 | .221/.287/.348 | .127 | .262 | 14 | 8 | 22% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .210/.275/.290 | .080 | .258 | 7 | 11 | 20% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .189/.259/.215 | .026 | .234 | 0 | 13 | 18% | 7% | 30 | -1.2 |