JJ Goss
P
Midland RockHounds
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%16.1%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%6.2%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 99 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Rays | 9 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 89% | 1.9 | 15.3% | 3.5% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 5.82 | 3.33 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Rays | 9 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 89% | 1.9 | 22.5% | 2.8% | 19.7% | 1.4% | 5.82 | 2.34 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 4 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75% | 2.6 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 6.10 | 0.80 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 4 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75% | 2.6 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 0.0% | 6.10 | 0.78 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 25 | 25 | 101 | 406 | 101 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 4.1 | 18.4% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 4.00 | 3.71 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 25 | 25 | 101 | 406 | 101 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 4.1 | 24.9% | 5.2% | 19.7% | 1.7% | 4.00 | 2.63 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 22 | 22 | 95 | 408 | 90 | 49 | 16 | 100% | 4.3 | 17.0% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.21 | 5.79 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 22 | 22 | 95 | 408 | 90 | 49 | 16 | 100% | 4.3 | 22.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 5.21 | 4.94 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 17 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 2.73 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 17 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.6% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 0.0% | 2.35 | 1.97 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 33 | 0 | 40 | 160 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 0.9% | 3.38 | 3.31 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 33 | 0 | 40 | 160 | 31 | 12 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 0.6% | 3.38 | 2.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 22 | 2 | 40 | 170 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 9% | 1.8 | 13.8% | 13.6% | 0.2% | 3.5% | 4.76 | 5.59 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 41 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | OAK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 99 | 421 | 70 | 46 | 12 | — | — | 16.5% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 4.79 | 5.12 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 16.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 43 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 44 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.72 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 43 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 4.72 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 107 | 453 | 80 | 45 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.38 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 149 | 84 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 132 | 60 | 326 | 1357 | 237 | 131 | 37 | 45% | 2.5 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.34 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 37 | 200 | 832 | 145 | 81 | 23 | 45% | 2.5 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 4.41 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| JJ Goss (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 16.1% | 9.9% | 2.6% | — | 4.75 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 175 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 91 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 85 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 85 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 85 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 84 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 84 |
| Corey Baker R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.68 | 17.4% | 10.2% | 1.4% | .295 | 4.83 | 15.5% | 7.3% | 170 | +1.15 | 2.94 | 267 | 84 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 83 |
| Raymar Navarro R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.12 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.2% | .332 | 4.29 | 11.8% | 1.0% | 41 | +0.17 | 4.12 | 108 | 82 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.63 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 0.9% | .313 | 4.12 | 14.1% | 1.7% | 50 | +0.49 | 3.63 | 104 | 82 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 82 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 81 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 81 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 81 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2028 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 81 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.74 | 14.2% | 8.4% | 1.4% | .362 | 4.50 | 24.8% | 13.3% | 98 | +0.76 | 3.74 | 163 | 81 |
| Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .306 | 4.97 | 15.4% | 5.1% | 183 | +0.73 | 3.41 | 390 | 80 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 80 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 80 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2028 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 1.05 | 4.76 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |