Carlos Calderon

P Asheville Tourists

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	A+HOU	30	3	41	8.63	5.26	16.7%	14.8%	—	K 12.9% · BB 17.1% · FIP 5.52
2024	22	A+HOU	14	6	52	9.58	5.85	19.5%	11.2%	—	K 15.0% · BB 12.9% · FIP 6.34
2027PROJ	25	MLBHOU	34	0	36	4.84	4.84	20.5%	11.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBHOU	15	0	16	4.77	4.76	21.0%	10.8%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsJeff Niemann (age 25) · Brad Deppermann (age 25) · Shohei Tomioka (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%20.5%

BB%11.0%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	14	6	45	199	44	24	0	43%	3.2	15.0%	15.1%	-0.0%	0.0%	4.20	3.74	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	14	6	45	199	44	24	0	43%	3.2	22.1%	12.1%	10.1%	0.0%	4.20	2.74	—
2021	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	5	49	225	74	31	4	36%	3.5	23.6%	16.5%	7.1%	2.4%	4.78	4.49	—
2021	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	5	49	225	74	31	4	36%	3.5	32.9%	13.8%	19.1%	1.8%	4.78	3.04	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	105	463	113	60	9	54%	4.0	18.1%	15.3%	2.8%	2.7%	4.13	4.97	—
2022	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	105	463	113	60	9	54%	4.0	24.4%	13.0%	11.4%	1.9%	4.13	3.78	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	30	3	41	209	35	31	5	10%	1.4	12.9%	17.1%	-4.2%	2.5%	8.63	5.52	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	30	3	41	209	35	31	5	10%	1.4	16.7%	14.8%	1.9%	2.4%	8.63	5.26	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	14	6	52	267	52	30	12	43%	3.7	15.0%	12.9%	2.1%	5.2%	9.58	6.34	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	14	6	52	267	52	30	12	43%	3.7	15.0%	12.9%	2.1%	5.2%	9.58	6.34	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	14	6	52	267	52	30	12	43%	3.7	19.5%	11.2%	8.2%	4.5%	9.58	5.85	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	HOU	34	0	36	152	31	17	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	11.0%	9.5%	3.1%	4.84	4.84	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	34	0	36	153	32	16	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.1%	4.77	4.76	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	15	0	16	68	14	7	2	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.1%	4.77	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	66	14	7	2	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.1%	4.77	4.38	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	90	26	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.8%	10.2%	3.1%	4.77	4.38	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		98	34	291	1363	234	208	37	35%	3.0	17.1%	15.3%	1.9%	2.7%	5.85	5.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	23	200	937	161	143	25	35%	3.0	17.1%	15.3%	1.9%	2.7%	5.85	5.07	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Calderon (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	20.5%	11.0%	3.1%	—	4.76	21.0%	10.2%	36	-0.08	—	—	—
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	88
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	86
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	85
Danny Kirwin R 2024 · 4.19 FIP	24	SW	4.19	17.9%	9.9%	2.4%	.262	5.33	16.8%	4.6%	91	+1.14	4.16	161	83
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	81
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	81
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	81
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	80
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	79
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	79
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	78
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	77
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	77
Sean Douglass R 2004 · 4.94 FIP	25	SW	4.94	20.1%	13.4%	3.4%	.274	4.82	14.7%	6.4%	87	-0.12	4.81	200	77
Peyton Pallette R 2024 · 4.38 FIP	23	SW	4.38	20.7%	10.9%	3.0%	.309	3.59	25.9%	13.5%	119	-0.79	3.54	273	77
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	77
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	76
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	76
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	20.7%	10.9%	1.19	4.80
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*