William Woods P Syracuse Mets
Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.49
FIP4.49
K%22.9%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.03 (36 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555
SL+1.3
FB-0.7

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201819ROKGCL Braves10421982010040%2.113.9%12.8%1.1%0.0%6.103.54
201819ROKGCL Braves10421982010040%2.120.4%10.2%10.2%0.0%6.102.62
201920ARome Braves207512185829435%2.519.7%15.7%4.0%3.4%3.355.29
201920ARome Braves207512185829435%2.526.6%13.3%13.3%1.8%3.353.55
202122MIX2 levels551146843100%2.117.4%8.7%8.7%6.5%4.226.31
202122MIX2 levels551146843100%2.117.4%8.7%8.7%6.5%4.226.38
202223MIX4 levels26227120291258%1.118.5%12.4%6.1%4.5%5.605.59-0.3
202223MIX4 levels26227120291258%1.124.2%10.0%14.2%4.2%5.604.67-0.0
202324MIX2 levels380532435925120%1.420.8%10.9%9.9%5.7%6.155.83
202324MIX2 levels380532435925120%1.424.3%10.3%14.0%4.9%6.155.25
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBNYM35037156361550%1.122.9%9.5%13.5%3.2%4.494.49+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBNYM34036151351550%1.122.9%9.6%13.3%3.3%4.534.56-0.0
202728MLBNYM140156314620%1.122.9%9.6%13.3%3.3%4.534.56-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career160177217720%1.123.1%9.9%13.2%2.9%4.004.00+0.1
/ 200 IP192020083919781230%1.023.1%9.9%13.2%2.9%4.004.00+3.3
Career9918162725137923018%1.619.0%12.7%6.2%4.1%5.055.35+0.1
/ 200 IP122222008931691143618%1.619.0%12.7%6.2%4.1%5.055.35+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
William Woods (OGILVIE) 4.49 22.9%9.5%3.2% 4.56 22.9%13.3%36 +0.07
Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 27 SU 3.86 22.9%8.0%3.1%.295 3.60 12.4%5.2%127 -0.26 3.19 269 81
Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.0%9.1%3.2%.230 3.59 23.5%7.2%40 -0.49 2.74 188 80
Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 27 SU 3.74 23.4%7.6%3.0%.276 3.49 150 79
Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 27 SU 3.43 22.6%10.2%1.7%.321 2.78 28.2%18.4%140 -0.65 2.29 538 79
Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP 27 SU 3.39 24.2%9.0%2.2%.237 2.64 33.1%24.9%88 -0.75 2.45 394 79
Cory Gearrin R 2028 · 3.55 FIP 29 SU 3.55 22.1%7.5%2.5%.283 3.52 22.2%13.6%174 -0.03 3.15 272 79
Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 26.8%9.6%2.5%.295 2.74 30.3%18.1%57 -0.72 2.74 239 79
Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP 28 SU 4.03 25.0%7.7%3.8%.289 3.03 24.2%17.9%130 -1.00 2.27 426 79
Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP 26 SU 4.51 23.2%8.5%4.2%.302 2.25 121 79
Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP 27 SU 3.64 24.2%8.9%2.6%.309 4.33 22.5%12.7%108 +0.69 2.59 309 78
Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 78
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 27 SU 4.24 18.9%7.8%3.2%.339 3.34 23.5%12.8%29 -0.90 3.31 166 78
Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP 28 SU 3.36 21.6%8.5%1.8%.276 4.03 20.3%11.3%85 +0.67 3.27 150 78
José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 27 SU 4.52 21.6%8.3%4.0%.325 4.07 18.8%6.4%153 -0.45 4.02 328 78
Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 27 SU 4.96 23.3%10.7%4.5%.341 4.97 17.2%7.5%71 +0.01 3.75 223 78
Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP 29 SU 4.07 21.3%8.5%3.1%.241 4.06 18.5%11.9%118 -0.01 3.28 149 78
Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 27 SU 3.90 20.4%6.8%3.0%.276 3.48 23.3%15.0%198 -0.42 2.78 596 77
Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP 27 SU 3.71 25.2%11.3%2.4%.252 4.13 23.5%10.8%108 +0.42 3.15 307 77
John Gorman R 2026 · 4.11 FIP 27 SU 4.11 23.4%7.5%3.7%.366 2.02 141 77
Daniel Hudson R 2027 · 3.31 FIP 28 SU 3.31 24.5%7.9%2.3%.302 3.78 22.8%13.6%168 +0.47 1.74 468 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23622.9%9.5%1.254.51
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21