Tanner Kohlhepp
P
Erie SeaWolves
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
K%22.9%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 20 | 4 | 24 | 111 | 39 | 25 | 0 | 20% | 1.2 | 26.0% | 26.6% | -0.6% | 0.0% | 3.42 | 4.27 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 20 | 4 | 24 | 111 | 39 | 25 | 0 | 20% | 1.2 | 35.1% | 22.5% | 12.6% | 0.0% | 3.42 | 2.97 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 46 | 1 | 61 | 273 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 2% | 1.3 | 22.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 4.55 | 3.49 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | West Michigan Whitecaps | 46 | 1 | 61 | 273 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 2% | 1.3 | 28.6% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 0.7% | 4.55 | 2.45 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 31 | 140 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 3.48 | 5.42 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 31 | 140 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.7% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 4.3% | 3.48 | 4.45 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 27 | 2 | 38 | 159 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 7% | 1.4 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.93 | 3.74 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.55 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 60 | 251 | 67 | 21 | 7 | — | — | 26.7% | 8.2% | 18.5% | 2.7% | 4.79 | 4.03 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 4.55 | 4.17 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | DET | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 96 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 117 | 7 | 154 | 683 | 157 | 91 | 15 | 6% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.26 | 4.07 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 9 | 200 | 885 | 203 | 118 | 20 | 6% | 1.3 | 23.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 4.26 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Kohlhepp (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 22.9% | 10.4% | 3.1% | — | 4.61 | 22.8% | 12.4% | 21 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 83 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 82 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 82 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 82 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .237 | 2.64 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.75 | 2.45 | 394 | 81 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 81 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 81 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 81 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 80 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 80 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 80 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 80 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 80 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 80 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 80 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 80 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 80 |