James Outman

CF Detroit Tigers

Age 30 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 2.041 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

MLBPre-ArbFA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	27	MLBLAD	156	.147/.256/.265	4	2	55	-0.2
2025	28	MLBMIN	148	.134/.216/.321	6	1	50	-0.5
2026	29	MLBDET	170	.172/.235/.318	5	6	58	-0.4
2027PROJ	30	MLBDET	350	.193/.270/.360	12	10	80	0.2
2028PROJ82% MLB	31	MLBDET	321	.189/.265/.350	11	6	76	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.1 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.041First FA2031

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Arb-1$0.2M2029Ext$1M2030Ext$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Chase%90

Speed63

Barrel%58

Bat Spd52

Whiff%51

Avg EV27

CompsSam Hilliard (age 29) · Brian O'Grady (age 29) · George Lombard (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 6280vR 86

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .270 / .360

PA350

HR12

SB10

K%35

BB%8

BABIP268

ISO166

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 30 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT30

Whiff%

5110.8%

xAVG

100.173

POWER55

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

2787.3

Bat Spd

5271.5

EYE50

Chase%

9020.2%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 307 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

265

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

172

252

▶▶R

ISO

103

162

▶▶R

BABIP

150

200

▶▶R

42.9%

37.7%

▶R

BB%

7.1%

9.4%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.041 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.1M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	237	208	55	8	3	11	24	56	4	12	2	264	352	490	842	226	310	24	10	369	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	442	100	15	4	19	56	128	8	20	10	226	324	407	731	181	272	25	11	327	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	187	166	48	9	1	9	18	51	3	2	2	289	369	518	887	229	368	27	10	390	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	304	248	62	12	8	9	45	88	10	21	2	250	386	472	858	222	349	29	15	380	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	67	19	7	1	3	15	23	1	2	1	284	422	552	974	269	390	28	18	425	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	16	13	6	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	462	562	846	1.409	385	1.000	44	12	593	294	+4	+0	-0	-6	+0	-0.2
2022	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	252	212	62	14	6	15	32	63	4	6	1	292	394	627	1.021	335	343	25	13	431	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	307	261	77	17	1	16	38	89	6	7	3	295	397	552	948	257	386	29	12	412	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	120	16	3	23	68	181	12	16	3	248	355	437	792	188	343	32	12	353	128	+19	+2	+5	+2	+12	4.1
2024	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	156	136	20	4	0	4	16	55	4	2	1	147	256	265	521	118	208	35	10	246	55	-8	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.2
2024	27	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	319	265	74	15	2	17	44	81	6	11	1	279	392	543	936	264	335	25	14	405	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	148	134	18	5	1	6	12	63	2	1	0	134	216	321	537	187	185	43	8	242	50	-9	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	390	335	94	22	4	23	45	120	5	17	3	281	374	576	950	296	360	31	12	406	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	170	157	27	4	2	5	10	71	3	6	3	172	235	318	554	146	272	42	6	250	58	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2026	29	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	81	68	13	4	0	3	8	30	4	1	1	191	312	382	695	191	278	37	10	313	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1057	923	191	31	6	39	108	377	22	25	7	207	305	380	685	173	297	36	10	309	95	-6	+2	+5	+0	+23	2.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	237	218	38	5	2	7	14	81	4	12	2	174	237	312	549	138	231	34	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	461	80	12	3	14	37	168	8	20	10	174	247	304	551	130	232	33	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	187	172	41	7	1	7	12	64	3	2	2	238	299	413	712	174	337	34	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	304	263	48	9	5	7	30	117	10	21	2	183	290	335	625	152	288	38	10	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	16	13	6	2	0	1	2	7	1	0	0	462	562	846	1.409	385	1.000	44	12	603	294	+4	+0	-0	-6	+0	-0.2
2022	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	252	224	53	12	6	11	21	75	4	6	1	237	313	491	804	254	297	30	8	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	307	273	63	13	1	12	26	112	6	7	3	231	311	418	729	187	332	36	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	484	122	17	4	22	67	181	12	16	3	252	357	440	797	188	343	32	12	357	128	+19	+2	+5	+2	+12	4.1
2024	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	156	136	20	4	0	4	16	55	4	2	1	147	256	265	521	118	208	35	10	250	55	-8	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.2
2024	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	319	281	65	13	2	13	29	98	6	11	1	231	316	431	747	199	297	31	9	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	148	134	18	5	1	6	12	63	2	1	0	134	216	321	537	187	185	43	8	241	50	-9	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.5
2025	28	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	390	351	77	18	4	13	29	145	5	17	3	219	288	405	693	185	312	37	7	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	170	157	27	4	2	5	10	71	3	6	3	172	235	318	554	146	272	42	6	254	58	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2026	29	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	81	71	10	3	0	2	5	36	4	1	1	141	237	268	505	127	236	44	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	237	218	38	5	2	7	14	81	4	12	2	174	237	312	549	138	237	34	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	—	237	208	55	8	3	11	24	56	4	12	2	264	352	490	842	226	310	24	10	369	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	461	80	12	3	14	37	168	8	20	10	174	247	304	551	130	234	33	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	442	100	15	4	19	56	128	8	20	10	226	324	407	731	181	272	25	11	327	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	574	509	104	19	7	17	50	212	14	25	5	204	293	369	663	165	310	37	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	574	481	129	28	10	21	78	162	14	25	5	268	386	499	885	231	361	28	14	390	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	575	509	123	27	7	24	50	194	11	13	4	242	323	464	786	222	334	34	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	575	486	145	33	7	32	72	159	11	13	4	298	400	593	993	294	377	28	13	425	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	484	122	17	4	22	67	181	12	16	3	252	357	440	797	188	351	32	12	357	128	+19	+2	+5	+2	+12	4.1
2023	26	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	120	16	3	23	68	181	12	16	3	248	355	437	792	188	343	32	12	353	128	+19	+2	+5	+2	+12	4.1
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	417	85	17	2	17	45	153	10	13	2	204	297	376	673	173	272	32	9	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	475	401	94	19	2	21	60	136	10	13	2	234	347	449	796	214	296	29	13	353	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	485	94	23	5	18	41	208	7	18	3	194	266	373	640	179	288	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	538	469	112	27	5	29	57	183	7	18	3	239	330	503	833	264	317	34	11	361	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	251	228	37	7	2	7	15	107	7	7	4	162	236	303	539	140	261	43	6	248	54	-14	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
2026	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	251	225	40	8	2	8	18	101	7	7	4	178	260	338	598	160	274	40	7	270	54	-14	-0	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
2018	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	237	217	38	5	2	7	14	81	4	12	2	175	237	313	551	138	231	34	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	509	459	80	12	3	14	37	168	8	20	10	174	247	305	552	131	232	33	7	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	574	505	104	19	7	17	50	212	14	25	5	206	293	372	665	166	307	37	9	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	575	509	123	27	7	24	50	194	11	13	4	242	323	464	786	222	335	34	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	567	483	122	17	4	22	67	181	12	16	3	253	357	441	798	188	343	32	12	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	417	85	17	2	17	45	153	10	13	2	204	297	376	673	173	268	32	9	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	485	94	23	5	18	41	208	7	18	3	194	266	373	640	179	277	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	251	227	37	7	2	7	15	107	7	7	4	163	236	304	540	141	260	43	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	475	417	85	17	2	17	45	153	10	13	2	204	297	376	673	173	268	32	9	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	538	485	94	23	5	18	41	208	7	18	3	194	266	373	640	179	277	39	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	251	227	37	7	2	7	15	107	7	7	4	163	236	304	540	141	260	43	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	DET	100%	406	365	71	14	3	14	31	143	7	12	3	197	274	370	644	173	273	35	8	287	80	-10	+1	-0	+1	+9	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	DET	100%	350	314	60	12	2	12	27	123	6	10	2	193	270	360	630	167	268	35	8	281	80	-8	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	DET	82%	391	351	68	14	3	13	30	139	7	8	2	193	269	360	629	168	269	36	8	281	76	-11	+1	-3	+1	+8	-0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	DET	82%	321	287	55	11	2	11	25	114	6	6	2	189	265	350	616	162	264	36	8	275	76	-9	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1378	1210	246	42	8	50	133	491	28	31	9	203	297	375	672	172	290	36	10	301	85	-15	+3	+3	+2	+30	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	117	20	4	24	63	232	13	15	4	205	298	380	678	175	292	36	10	301	85	-7	+1	+1	+1	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4467	3976	812	153	37	151	376	1566	86	142	37	204	287	375	662	171	289	35	8	293	85	-26	+4	+2	+3	+39	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	118	22	5	22	55	228	13	21	5	204	288	373	661	169	288	35	8	293	85	-9	+2	+1	+1	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#2Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.6	1,712	61	41	201	288	373	+6	+5	2.8	2.8
/162	664	24	16	+2.4	+1.8	1.1	pk7: 3
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Rusty Torres'71-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	35	13	213*	304*	371*	-8	-6	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	15	6	-3.3	-2.7	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
James Outman (OGILVIE)	30	30	55	60	50	195/271/367	172	273	12	10	35%	8%	80	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	203/278/374	171	267	22	14	32%	9%	83	+0.1	219/287/392	173	305	20	17	33%	9%	91	+0.6	212/277/398	186	292	19	20	33%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	43→38	57→60	52→50	40	227/284/423	196	297	25	16	32%	6%	97	+1.1	214/281/373	159	294	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	191/264/352	161	259	16	13	32%	8%	72	-0.5
✕George Lombard 2006 · MLB	30	44→43	50	56→55	42	221/287/380	159	307	17	19	32%	7%	87	+0.4	221/289/364	143	306	16	25	31%	8%	84	+0.2	213/287/342	129	286	16	37	30%	8%	76	-0.1
✕Jason Smith 2007 · MLB	30	44→33	48→55	53→50	39	224/268/373	149	293	16	14	29%	5%	78	-0.3	201/237/345	144	284	17	8	35%	4%	60	-1.6	173/202/300	127	246	16	7	37%	3%	35	-1.9
✕Weston Wilson 2024 · MLB	29	39→42	50→55	55	44	207/276/355	148	279	19	24	32%	8%	78	-0.3	213/286/366	153	280	19	21	30%	9%	84	+0.1	207/282/354	147	267	19	21	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	40→43	51→55	50	48	210/281/366	155	262	19	7	28%	9%	82	+0.0	212/269/358	146	273	19	5	29%	7%	76	-0.4	200/255/340	139	255	19	2	29%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Jason Vosler 2024 · MLB	30	38→44	52→55	48→40	44	205/267/365	160	257	21	5	29%	7%	77	-0.3	221/277/382	161	278	19	6	27%	6%	84	+0.2	222/275/386	164	273	20	4	26%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Brooks Conrad 2010 · MLB	30	38→43	49→55	52→50	42	202/259/351	149	260	17	10	30%	6%	70	-0.8	226/291/405	179	295	22	11	30%	8%	95	+0.9	221/291/435	214	282	28	7	32%	9%	103	+0.5
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	38→39	49→50	55	37	197/258/342	145	283	17	20	36%	6%	68	-1.0	202/267/310	108	294	11	26	33%	7%	64	-1.3	193/262/280	87	283	8	32	32%	7%	52	-1.4
✕Justin Leone 2008 · AAA	31	41→39	48→50	53→55	49	210/287/354	144	268	16	15	28%	9%	82	-0.0	192/268/328	136	258	15	15	30%	9%	69	-0.9	163/242/288	125	216	15	14	31%	9%	50	-1.3
✕Chris Herrmann 2018 · MLB	30	40→50	51→50	55→50	50	211/291/368	157	259	19	11	26%	10%	86	+0.3	225/306/375	150	304	17	6	29%	10%	93	+0.8	204/287/339	135	292	14	0	33%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Michael Pérez 2023 · MLB	30	33	49→50	45→40	46	182/253/322	139	222	19	4	28%	8%	62	-1.4	193/264/316	123	253	15	4	29%	8%	65	-1.2	170/246/277	106	224	13	0	30%	8%	47	-1.1
✕Bobby Dalbec 2024 · MLB	29	40→42	56→60	55→50	41	213/288/398	185	306	26	12	38%	8%	93	+0.8	200/268/355	155	319	19	12	41%	8%	75	-0.5	185/251/333	148	298	18	10	42%	7%	61	-1.2
✕Corey Brown 2015 · MLB	29	39→49	52→55	50	38	209/259/376	167	289	21	13	35%	6%	76	-0.4	200/250/361	161	288	20	15	36%	6%	70	-0.9	196/252/364	168	277	21	17	37%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Seth Bynum 2011 · AAA	30	40→43	50	50	38	210/253/358	149	282	18	11	32%	6%	70	-0.9	201/250/325	124	284	14	11	33%	6%	61	-1.5	186/236/297	111	264	13	8	34%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Jose Rojas 2024 · MLB	31	41→48	52→60	49→50	44	216/268/383	167	258	20	9	25%	6%	81	-0.1	209/274/398	189	248	24	11	26%	8%	87	+0.4	195/265/395	200	224	25	11	26%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Daniel Johnson 2024 · MLB	29	41→51	48→55	52→55	42	212/269/354	143	269	17	18	28%	6%	74	-0.5	216/264/353	137	270	16	17	26%	5%	72	-0.7	214/258/353	140	266	17	17	26%	5%	68	-0.7
✕Carlos Peguero 2016 · MLB	29	41→46	56→60	48→50	37	211/272/397	186	320	25	11	41%	7%	86	+0.3	226/285/379	153	329	19	11	35%	7%	86	+0.3	219/267/332	113	317	15	10	34%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Skye Bolt 2023 · MLB	29	48→40	50	54→50	44	242/302/395	153	302	18	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	228/296/341	113	317	11	10	29%	8%	82	-0.0	217/293/302	86	317	6	5	31%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Adam Engel 2022 · MLB	30	47→48	51→50	55→60	42	238/301/405	167	296	19	20	26%	6%	99	+1.2	216/280/342	126	303	12	24	31%	7%	76	-0.4	198/264/306	108	292	9	29	33%	7%	60	-0.8

James Outman

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps