BJ Murray

3B Iowa Cubs

Age 27 S/R 5'11" / 205 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAA40-MANPROSPECTFG #778MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP40ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%30%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AACHC	537	.242/.367/.418	20	20	86	—	.211/.303/.365
2026	26	AAACHC	535	.298/.405/.504	17	9	103	—	.246/.330/.400
2027PROJ30% MLB	27	MLBCHC	75	.236/.321/.384	2	2	99	0.2
2028PROJ45% MLB	28	MLBCHC	232	.235/.319/.381	6	4	97	0.5
2029PROJ51% MLB	29	MLBCHC	277	.233/.316/.376	7	4	95	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV84

BB%79

Chase%78

Speed75

K%61

Whiff%61

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 88%

CompsCord Phelps (age 27) · Josh Smith (age 26) · Tyler Nevin (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .321 / .384

PA75

HR2

K%25

BB%11

BABIP297

ISO167

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT50

xAVG

100.069

POWER42

Avg EV

1686.5

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	61	56	16	3	1	2	5	14	0	2	0	286	344	482	826	196	350	23	8	363	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	224	187	51	8	1	5	36	46	0	8	4	273	390	406	797	134	336	21	16	361	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	161	128	39	11	0	3	26	31	6	0	0	305	444	461	905	156	379	19	16	407	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	20	19	4	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	211	250	368	618	158	250	30	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	452	119	34	4	16	82	129	6	14	3	263	383	462	846	199	333	24	15	376	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	353	299	61	10	0	11	50	86	2	10	1	204	322	348	670	144	245	24	14	307	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	65	58	9	1	0	0	7	14	0	4	0	155	246	172	419	17	205	22	11	206	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	443	107	18	0	20	83	103	5	20	8	242	367	418	785	176	267	19	15	352	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	535	450	134	24	9	17	74	113	7	9	4	298	405	504	909	207	361	21	14	399	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	61	58	11	2	1	1	3	20	0	2	0	190	230	310	540	121	273	33	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	224	197	47	7	1	4	26	58	0	8	4	239	327	345	673	107	309	26	12	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	161	136	35	9	0	3	18	43	6	0	0	257	369	390	758	132	347	27	11	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	480	107	30	4	12	54	156	6	14	3	223	309	377	686	154	298	29	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	353	311	56	9	0	7	38	103	2	10	1	180	274	277	550	96	238	29	11	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	65	60	8	1	0	0	5	18	0	4	0	133	200	150	350	17	181	28	8	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	469	99	18	0	18	57	126	5	20	8	211	303	365	668	154	241	23	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	535	472	116	19	9	12	52	135	7	9	4	246	330	400	730	155	314	25	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	61	58	11	2	1	1	3	20	0	2	0	190	230	310	540	121	270	33	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	61	56	16	3	1	2	5	14	0	2	0	286	344	482	826	196	350	23	8	363	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	405	351	86	17	1	7	46	107	6	8	4	245	342	359	701	114	331	26	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	405	334	94	19	1	9	63	83	6	8	4	281	404	425	830	144	348	20	16	375	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	480	107	30	4	12	54	156	6	14	3	223	309	377	686	154	303	29	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	452	119	34	4	16	82	129	6	14	3	263	383	462	846	199	333	24	15	376	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	371	63	10	0	7	43	121	2	14	1	170	260	253	513	84	229	29	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	418	357	70	11	0	11	57	100	2	14	1	196	310	319	629	123	238	24	14	291	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	469	99	18	0	18	57	126	5	20	8	211	303	365	668	154	245	23	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	443	107	18	0	20	83	103	5	20	8	242	367	418	785	176	267	19	15	352	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	535	472	116	19	9	12	52	135	7	9	4	246	330	400	730	155	316	25	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	535	450	134	24	9	17	74	113	7	9	4	298	405	504	909	207	361	21	14	399	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	61	58	11	2	1	1	3	20	0	2	0	190	230	310	540	121	273	33	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	405	350	86	17	1	7	46	107	6	8	4	246	342	360	702	114	325	26	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	542	477	107	30	4	12	54	156	6	14	3	224	309	379	689	155	298	29	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	370	63	10	0	7	43	121	2	14	1	170	260	254	514	84	229	29	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	470	99	18	0	18	57	126	5	20	8	211	303	364	667	153	241	23	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	535	471	116	19	9	12	52	135	7	9	4	246	330	401	731	155	314	25	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	418	370	63	10	0	7	43	121	2	14	1	170	260	254	514	84	229	29	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	537	470	99	18	0	18	57	126	5	20	8	211	303	364	667	153	241	23	11	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	535	471	116	19	9	12	52	135	7	9	4	246	330	401	731	155	314	25	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	380	335	79	14	3	10	38	95	4	8	3	234	320	382	701	148	294	25	10	314	99	-1	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	75	66	16	3	1	2	8	19	1	2	1	236	321	384	706	148	297	25	11	316	99	-0	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	45%	519	457	107	19	4	13	52	130	5	9	3	233	318	378	696	145	292	25	10	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+2	+11	1.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	540	477	110	19	4	14	53	136	5	7	3	231	315	373	688	142	291	25	10	309	95	-3	+0	-2	+2	+12	0.9
2030	30	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	549	486	111	20	4	13	53	139	5	5	3	228	311	367	678	138	288	25	10	305	92	-5	-0	-3	+2	+12	0.6
2031	31	MLB MLE	CHC	58%	358	318	71	13	2	8	34	91	3	1	1	225	307	358	665	134	285	25	9	299	89	-5	-0	-3	+1	+8	0.1
2032	32	MLB MLE	CHC	60%	345	307	68	12	2	8	32	89	3	1	1	220	301	348	649	128	281	26	9	293	84	-6	-0	-4	+1	+7	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	45%	232	205	49	9	2	6	23	58	2	4	1	235	319	381	700	146	296	25	10	314	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+5	0.5
2029	29	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	277	245	57	10	2	7	27	70	3	4	2	233	316	376	692	143	294	25	10	310	95	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	305	269	61	11	2	7	30	77	3	3	1	230	313	369	682	139	292	25	10	306	92	-3	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2031	31	MLB CTX	CHC	58%	209	185	43	8	2	5	20	53	2	1	1	226	308	361	669	134	289	25	10	301	89	-3	-0	-2	+1	+5	0.0
2032	32	MLB CTX	CHC	60%	208	184	40	7	1	4	20	54	2	0	1	222	302	350	652	128	284	26	10	294	84	-4	-0	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1231	1088	250	45	9	29	120	312	12	12	6	230	313	368	681	138	293	25	10	306	89	-12	+0	-7	+4	+27	1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	132	24	5	15	63	165	6	6	3	230	312	368	680	138	295	25	10	306	89	-6	+0	-4	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5059	4466	1000	188	33	119	504	1312	50	95	33	224	310	361	670	137	287	26	10	300	89	-21	+0	-13	+9	+55	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	128	24	4	15	65	169	6	12	4	223	309	357	666	134	287	26	10	300	89	-5	+0	-3	+2	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Bobby Morgan'50-'58 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,459 PA	3.7	2,459	53	18	225*	327*	368*	+15	-12	5.2	5.3
/162	664	14	5	+4.0	-3.3	1.4	pk7: 5
#4Dick Padden'01-'05 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	3	68	238*	322*	373*	+6	-4	5.1	5.1
/162	664	1	27	+2.5	-1.6	2.0	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,306	32	13	229	309	368	+5	-3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	16	7	+2.4	-1.3	1.4	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
BJ Murray (OGILVIE)	27	45→50	40→42	45	60	232/317/378	146	294	6	5	25%	10%	99	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cord Phelps 2014 · MLB	27	49→59	46→50	45	48	241/300/378	137	289	13	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	223/286/320	97	271	8	6	20%	8%	72	-0.7	214/281/288	74	261	6	4	19%	8%	61	-1.1
✕Josh Smith 2024 · MLB	26	45→53	45	50	52	222/320/350	128	276	12	12	23%	10%	94	+0.9	238/320/361	123	288	12	12	20%	9%	95	+1.0	235/317/352	117	283	11	13	20%	9%	92	+0.7
✕Tyler Nevin 2024 · MLB	27	49→55	47→50	49→45	49	246/317/384	138	298	15	5	22%	8%	99	+1.3	236/309/389	153	284	17	6	23%	8%	98	+1.2	210/291/367	157	245	19	2	23%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Cooper Hummel 2022 · AAA	27	48→50	50	48→55	55	240/332/400	161	294	16	7	23%	11%	109	+2.0	226/320/366	140	306	11	16	27%	11%	97	+1.1	221/328/363	142	295	11	19	26%	12%	97	+0.7
✕Andrew Knapp 2019 · MLB	27	48→56	43→45	48→40	48	227/305/340	114	321	10	5	30%	10%	85	+0.2	219/308/336	117	316	11	5	31%	10%	85	+0.2	205/271/323	118	275	12	2	29%	7%	66	-0.7
●Jonathan India 2024 · MLB	27	50→54	49→50	49→50	52	247/338/398	151	294	17	12	21%	9%	111	+2.1	240/337/376	136	286	14	8	20%	11%	105	+1.7	238/341/365	127	285	12	6	19%	11%	104	+1.6
✕Drew Sutton 2010 · MLB	27	50→55	47→50	48→50	50	247/317/391	144	298	13	12	21%	8%	101	+1.4	239/308/359	120	313	9	7	25%	8%	90	+0.6	236/306/346	110	313	7	6	25%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Matt Vierling 2024 · MLB	27	52→55	45→50	48→50	48	254/315/381	126	308	12	11	21%	8%	97	+1.1	245/304/388	143	298	14	9	22%	7%	95	+1.0	235/294/379	144	282	14	8	21%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Danny Muno 2016 · MLB	27	48→52	42→45	43→50	51	231/309/333	102	291	10	11	23%	9%	84	+0.2	218/297/315	97	304	7	10	28%	9%	76	-0.4	204/290/293	89	297	6	8	30%	10%	66	-0.5
●Robbie Grossman 2017 · MLB	27	50→58	46→50	44→50	54	243/330/370	127	312	13	11	25%	11%	101	+1.4	251/348/378	127	305	11	6	19%	13%	109	+2.0	239/344/403	164	283	18	17	21%	13%	115	+1.8
✕Ruben Gotay 2009 · MLB	26	50→49	45	44→50	48	246/307/372	126	301	12	9	22%	8%	93	+0.8	232/325/352	120	290	11	5	22%	12%	95	+1.0	224/317/330	106	279	9	4	21%	11%	85	+0.2
●Mickey Gasper 2023 · AA	27	48→53	47→50	48→45	51	237/329/379	142	300	13	8	24%	10%	103	+1.5	232/317/358	126	274	13	10	19%	9%	94	+0.9	244/334/397	153	276	17	6	18%	10%	107	+1.2
✕Ehire Adrianza 2017 · MLB	27	48→52	46→50	43→50	47	239/298/367	128	276	14	10	19%	6%	88	+0.4	245/302/369	124	292	11	11	19%	7%	90	+0.6	241/324/372	132	288	11	1	19%	9%	100	+0.4
✕Niko Goodrum 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	50→55	50→55	43	237/291/398	161	307	17	13	28%	7%	93	+0.8	234/303/396	162	323	17	17	31%	9%	97	+1.1	223/299/377	153	316	16	20	32%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Max Moroff 2019 · MLB	26	42→52	50	48→50	53	215/306/373	157	280	18	8	29%	11%	93	+0.8	220/303/377	157	294	19	9	30%	10%	93	+0.8	177/269/300	123	245	16	6	33%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Clint Frazier 2022 · MLB	27	45→49	51→55	48→50	53	227/321/393	167	293	19	7	28%	11%	103	+1.6	196/285/311	115	294	12	11	34%	10%	72	-0.7	174/262/271	97	269	10	12	36%	9%	52	-1.2
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2020 · MLB	27	49→55	48→50	48→50	48	246/307/392	146	287	15	9	20%	7%	97	+1.1	223/286/345	122	283	13	8	25%	8%	79	-0.2	183/252/229	45	264	3	3	29%	8%	36	-0.8
✕Zack Collins 2022 · MLB	27	43→42	49→50	44→40	52	211/307/361	149	295	16	4	32%	12%	91	+0.7	198/284/337	139	295	15	6	35%	10%	77	-0.3	182/269/315	133	275	15	5	37%	10%	66	-0.7
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	233/292/380	148	284	15	12	24%	7%	89	+0.5	225/269/352	127	292	14	12	27%	5%	74	-0.6	203/242/308	104	268	12	12	28%	5%	51	-0.9
✕John Hester 2011 · MLB	27	51	49→55	49→50	42	252/300/413	161	320	15	11	25%	6%	99	+1.3	212/269/327	115	290	12	5	30%	7%	68	-1.0	183/241/290	107	263	12	4	34%	7%	48	-1.1

BJ Murray

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps