Luke Mann3B
Midland RockHounds
Age 26
L/R
6'1" / 220 lbs
AA
HR -6%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .256 / .305
PA250
HR6
K%37
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
45→45
SPD
45→45
EYE
47↗50
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.3peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-7M | $-25M | -$19M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | 2 teams | 507 | 459 | 88 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 163 | 11 | 3 | 0 | .192 | .264 | .316 | .580 | .124 | .262 | 32 | 7 | .253 | 52 | -28 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 516 | 456 | 68 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 206 | 9 | 9 | 1 | .149 | .232 | .263 | .495 | .114 | .228 | 40 | 8 | .222 | 28 | -42 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | -2.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 23 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .227 | .261 | .273 | .534 | .045 | .357 | 35 | 4 | .216 | 24 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | OAK | 227 | 204 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 85 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .176 | .253 | .294 | .547 | .118 | .273 | 37 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.4 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | OAK | 250 | 226 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 93 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .181 | .254 | .292 | .546 | .111 | .279 | 37 | 8 | .253 | 52 | -14 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 11% | OAK | 336 | 301 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 121 | 5 | 5 | 1 | .186 | .264 | .309 | .573 | .123 | .276 | 36 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 22% | OAK | 364 | 326 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 128 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .190 | .269 | .322 | .591 | .132 | .277 | 35 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -15 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | OAK | 373 | 334 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 130 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .195 | .273 | .326 | .599 | .132 | .277 | 35 | 8 | .268 | 63 | -15 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 44% | OAK | 378 | 339 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 132 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .189 | .267 | .313 | .579 | .124 | .276 | 35 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -16 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 58% | OAK | 369 | 331 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 130 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .187 | .265 | .311 | .576 | .124 | .274 | 35 | 8 | .263 | 59 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 76% | OAK | 354 | 317 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .183 | .262 | .300 | .562 | .117 | .272 | 36 | 8 | .258 | 56 | -18 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 93% | OAK | 326 | 292 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 119 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .178 | .257 | .291 | .548 | .113 | .270 | 37 | 8 | .252 | 51 | -18 | +0 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -1.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 284 | 255 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 106 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .176 | .255 | .290 | .546 | .114 | .268 | 37 | 8 | .246 | 47 | -17 | +0 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -1.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4034 | 3614 | 656 | 127 | 15 | 94 | 320 | 1447 | 61 | 44 | 2 | .182 | .260 | .303 | .563 | .121 | .267 | 36 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -213 | +8 | -20 | +14 | +114 | -9.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 105 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 233 | 10 | 7 | 0 | .180 | .259 | .299 | .558 | .119 | .265 | 36 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -34 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 324 | 286 | 62 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 82 | 8 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .301 | .346 | .647 | .129 | .273 | 25 | 8 | .293 | 83 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Stockton Ports | 183 | 159 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .296 | .385 | .516 | .900 | .220 | .355 | 23 | 11 | .395 | 160 | +12 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 54 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .321 | .489 | .810 | .289 | .250 | 35 | 15 | .347 | 123 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 462 | 391 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 139 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .197 | .305 | .340 | .645 | .143 | .263 | 30 | 11 | .290 | 80 | -10 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luke Mann (OGILVIE) | 26 | 30 | 45 | 45 | 50 | .180/.256/.305 | .125 | .273 | 6 | 3 | 37% | 8% | 55 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA |
26 | 39→37 | 48→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .200/.265/.342 | .141 | .295 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.262/.348 | .152 | .292 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.243/.318 | .142 | .254 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→38 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .183/.247/.298 | .115 | .269 | 11 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.262/.346 | .145 | .292 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 44 | .190/.284/.298 | .108 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .190/.283/.309 | .119 | .284 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .126/.240/.244 | .118 | .172 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 12% | 32 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA |
26 | 36→29 | 40→45 | 48→55 | 36 | .179/.243/.270 | .091 | .285 | 8 | 11 | 38% | 6% | 39 | -2.5 | .186/.268/.305 | .119 | .285 | 12 | 20 | 36% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .181/.273/.314 | .132 | .266 | 14 | 28 | 35% | 10% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA |
26 | 38→35 | 42→45 | 43→30 | 40 | .191/.259/.288 | .097 | .275 | 10 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .184/.241/.291 | .107 | .277 | 11 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .158/.206/.269 | .111 | .240 | 13 | 1 | 39% | 5% | 20 | -2.8 |
|
✕Neil Medchill 2013 · AA |
26 | 38→27 | 48→50 | 46→45 | 35 | .190/.246/.323 | .134 | .309 | 16 | 7 | 42% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .212/.267/.327 | .115 | .349 | 12 | 7 | 40% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.263/.291 | .085 | .344 | 10 | 5 | 40% | 6% | 50 | -0.7 |
|
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA |
26 | 35→28 | 49→50 | 43→40 | 41 | .191/.255/.331 | .140 | .253 | 18 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .195/.273/.341 | .146 | .245 | 19 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .191/.275/.335 | .144 | .229 | 19 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA |
26 | 37 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 43 | .189/.255/.306 | .118 | .271 | 11 | 4 | 33% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .187/.257/.291 | .104 | .291 | 10 | 5 | 36% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .125/.205/.184 | .059 | .260 | 4 | 0 | 49% | 9% | 0 | -1.2 |
|
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA |
27 | 34→30 | 47→50 | 50 | 44 | .181/.258/.318 | .137 | .259 | 15 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 58 | -1.2 | .189/.267/.321 | .132 | .273 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .160/.249/.296 | .136 | .218 | 19 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Aaron Shackelford 2023 · AAA |
26 | 33→32 | 52→50 | 50→45 | 35 | .187/.241/.350 | .163 | .273 | 21 | 8 | 40% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .190/.257/.333 | .143 | .286 | 17 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .168/.256/.294 | .126 | .247 | 15 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA |
26 | 41 | 44→45 | 45→55 | 45 | .202/.287/.319 | .117 | .301 | 13 | 8 | 35% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .224/.301/.331 | .107 | .295 | 10 | 18 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.306/.325 | .095 | .290 | 9 | 25 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA |
25 | 38 | 44→45 | 47→50 | 38 | .186/.263/.294 | .108 | .300 | 13 | 8 | 40% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .205/.282/.312 | .107 | .343 | 12 | 13 | 40% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .202/.287/.300 | .098 | .353 | 11 | 19 | 41% | 9% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA |
26 | 38→39 | 45 | 45→50 | 39 | .191/.258/.315 | .124 | .278 | 12 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .189/.266/.294 | .105 | .293 | 8 | 13 | 36% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .164/.257/.268 | .103 | .258 | 7 | 16 | 36% | 9% | 46 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jared Walker 2021 · AA |
25 | 37→33 | 50→55 | 48→45 | 39 | .190/.275/.343 | .154 | .301 | 19 | 6 | 41% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .186/.267/.303 | .117 | .402 | 13 | 11 | 52% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .099/.203/.196 | .096 | .258 | 13 | 12 | 61% | 9% | 3 | -1.3 |
|
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA |
25 | 36 | 45→50 | 48→50 | 37 | .186/.248/.306 | .120 | .290 | 14 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .185/.245/.287 | .102 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .153/.212/.244 | .092 | .224 | 3 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 14 | -1.0 |
|
✕Bruce Caldwell 2018 · AAA |
26 | 41→45 | 44→45 | 46→40 | 42 | .201/.269/.312 | .111 | .301 | 12 | 4 | 35% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.265/.317 | .113 | .300 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.255/.304 | .109 | .279 | 11 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA |
26 | 40→41 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .190/.265/.290 | .099 | .310 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.282/.312 | .121 | .320 | 14 | 13 | 41% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.277/.309 | .133 | .286 | 16 | 14 | 41% | 11% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Tristan Gray 2022 · AAA |
26 | 40→34 | 49→55 | 39→40 | 43 | .209/.272/.357 | .148 | .272 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .193/.245/.364 | .171 | .267 | 23 | 4 | 37% | 5% | 65 | -0.7 | .189/.248/.343 | .154 | .256 | 19 | 2 | 33% | 6% | 58 | -0.9 |