Luke Mann — OGILVIE

Luke Mann3B Midland RockHounds

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 220 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION201 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†28

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .226 / .268

PA134

HR3

K%42

BB%6

BABIP262

ISO106

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	507	459	85	14	2	13	34	171	11	3	0	185	258	309	567	124	259	34	7	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	2 teams	—	507	445	109	18	3	16	47	124	11	3	0	245	331	407	738	162	302	24	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	516	459	67	14	2	11	37	207	9	9	1	146	224	257	481	111	222	40	7	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	516	436	86	21	3	14	60	158	9	9	1	197	307	356	662	158	262	31	12	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	OAK	—	201	189	29	5	0	3	10	93	1	2	0	153	200	228	428	74	277	46	5	191	4	-22	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.5
YTD	26	AA	OAK	—	201	183	35	6	0	4	16	72	1	2	0	191	260	290	550	98	287	36	8	251	51	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.4
ROS	26	AA	OAK	2%	134	123	20	4	0	3	8	56	2	2	0	163	226	268	494	106	267	42	6	221	28	-11	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.6
ROS	26	MLB	OAK	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						265	33	0	211	20	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	OAK	—	204	192	29	5	0	3	10	94	1	2	0	151	197	224	421	73	271	46	5	191	5	-22	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.5
TOT	26	AA	OAK	—	335	312	49	9	0	6	18	149	3	4	0	157	210	244	454	87	270	44	5	203	14	-33	+1	+0	+1	+9	-2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	OAK	27%	524	478	82	15	2	11	35	211	6	6	1	172	237	280	517	109	268	40	7	232	36	-38	+1	+0	+2	+15	-2.1
2028	28	MLB	OAK	40%	546	498	87	16	2	12	37	213	6	6	1	175	240	287	527	112	270	39	7	238	40	-37	+1	-1	+2	+15	-2.0
2027	27	MLB	OAK	27%	141	129	21	4	0	3	9	57	2	2	0	163	229	264	492	101	266	40	6	222	28	-12	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.7
2028	28	MLB	OAK	40%	218	199	35	6	1	5	15	85	2	2	0	176	241	291	532	116	268	39	7	227	32	-17	+0	-0	+1	+6	-1.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	362	331	56	10	1	8	24	143	4	4	0	169	234	278	512	109	264	40	7	225	30	-28	+1	-0	+1	+10	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	100	18	2	14	43	257	7	7	0	168	233	276	509	108	263	40	7	225	30	-51	+1	-1	+2	+18	-3.0
Career	—			—	2227	2017	341	63	8	50	151	858	34	26	3	169	239	283	521	114	258	39	7	232	36	-161	+4	-1	+8	+63	-8.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	99	18	2	15	44	250	10	8	1	168	238	282	520	114	255	38	7	232	36	-47	+1	-0	+2	+18	-2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	24	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	324	286	62	9	2	8	27	82	8	2	0	217	301	346	647	129	273	25	8	293	83	-6	+0	—	—	+9	0.3
2024	24	A	Stockton Ports	—	183	159	47	9	1	8	20	42	3	1	0	296	385	516	900	220	355	23	11	395	160	+12	+0	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	54	45	9	2	1	3	8	19	0	1	0	200	321	489	810	289	250	35	15	347	123	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	462	391	77	19	2	11	52	139	9	8	1	197	305	340	645	143	263	30	11	290	80	-10	+1	—	—	+13	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	363	8	4	173	236	281	+1	+0	-1.4	-0.7
	/162	664	14	7	173	236	281	+2.4	+0.9	-2.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Mann (OGILVIE)	26	30	45	45	50	157/210/244	87	270	6	4	44%	5%	14	-2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	37→31	40	43→50	37	182/237/266	85	290	8	8	38%	7%	34	-2.8	216/287/322	106	294	11	19	28%	8%	70	-0.3	228/308/337	109	285	13	25	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Craig Dedelow 2022 · AA	27	34	48→50	44→45	34	182/234/318	136	282	16	5	40%	6%	47	-1.9	184/257/329	145	341	17	11	47%	8%	60	-1.0	153/239/302	148	295	19	14	51%	9%	45	-1.9
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	35	45	47→30	43	183/250/307	124	260	13	4	34%	8%	51	-1.7	187/258/294	107	293	10	5	37%	8%	51	-1.7	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	35→27	45	46→40	34	182/229/301	118	285	13	5	40%	6%	40	-2.4	198/246/305	107	298	12	5	36%	5%	48	-1.9	181/224/268	87	264	11	0	35%	4%	27	-2.0
✕Kyle Skipworth 2016 · AAA	26	33→35	46→50	41→30	29	168/225/295	127	307	15	4	48%	5%	38	-2.6	194/251/333	139	319	17	7	42%	6%	58	-1.2	138/196/274	136	186	22	0	40%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37→36	45	47→50	37	182/259/294	113	303	14	8	42%	7%	53	-1.5	208/285/315	107	351	11	13	40%	8%	69	-0.4	209/294/304	95	361	9	19	40%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Evan Skoug 2022 · A	26	32	46→45	45→40	39	173/245/301	128	266	15	5	39%	8%	48	-1.9	192/276/330	138	293	15	5	37%	8%	69	-0.4	166/263/310	143	252	16	2	38%	9%	57	-0.4
✕Aaron Shackelford 2023 · AAA	26	33→31	51→50	50→45	35	184/238/343	159	273	20	8	40%	6%	56	-1.3	189/255/331	142	292	17	10	39%	7%	60	-1.0	163/249/281	118	246	13	10	37%	8%	43	-1.6
✕Kellin Deglan 2018 · AA	26	37→36	45→50	42→40	32	188/236/305	116	303	14	5	42%	5%	44	-2.1	201/259/320	119	323	12	5	39%	6%	59	-1.1	174/241/288	114	278	13	2	40%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	47→45	49→50	37	183/241/304	121	272	16	9	38%	7%	46	-2.0	200/254/330	130	292	16	9	35%	6%	59	-1.1	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	24	-0.7
✕Edwin Díaz 2021 · AA	25	35→31	45→50	49→40	36	179/242/305	127	289	13	5	41%	7%	48	-1.9	173/227/316	143	304	19	5	47%	6%	44	-2.1	158/222/310	152	235	22	4	42%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Chris Okey 2021 · AAA	26	37	46→45	49→40	37	193/249/316	123	286	15	6	37%	6%	53	-1.5	210/262/321	111	307	11	5	33%	6%	59	-1.1	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Bret Boswell 2022 · AA	27	39→41	45	43→45	36	197/249/316	119	293	13	9	36%	6%	53	-1.5	191/265/315	124	297	13	9	37%	9%	60	-1.0	163/244/284	121	249	13	7	38%	9%	41	-1.2
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→24	41→55	45→50	34	169/233/260	91	279	9	6	41%	6%	32	-3.0	199/256/319	120	289	11	10	34%	5%	57	-1.2	200/252/336	136	277	13	11	32%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Riley Mahan 2022 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	41→40	32	184/234/290	107	311	11	4	43%	5%	40	-2.4	195/246/341	146	336	17	8	45%	6%	59	-1.1	180/231/348	167	302	21	7	46%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Zach Cone 2016 · AA	26	37→36	46→45	46→45	33	191/238/313	121	292	14	6	39%	5%	47	-1.9	204/253/334	130	302	14	8	36%	5%	59	-1.1	163/208/301	138	231	17	7	37%	4%	30	-0.7