Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 6 | 6 | 16 | 67 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 37.6% | 7.0% | 30.5% | 1.4% | 2.76 | 1.59 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 6 | 6 | 16 | 67 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 2.7 | 50.7% | 6.0% | 44.8% | 1.5% | 2.76 | 0.47 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 43 | 210 | 46 | 30 | 4 | 77% | 3.3 | 17.4% | 16.5% | 0.9% | 4.1% | 7.12 | 5.97 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 10 | 43 | 210 | 46 | 30 | 4 | 77% | 3.3 | 21.9% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 7.12 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 24 | 100 | 435 | 91 | 66 | 17 | 100% | 4.2 | 16.8% | 15.5% | 1.3% | 5.5% | 4.95 | 6.67 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 24 | 100 | 435 | 91 | 66 | 17 | 100% | 4.2 | 20.9% | 15.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.95 | 5.47 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 9 | 64 | 288 | 66 | 40 | 4 | 30% | 2.1 | 20.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 4.66 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 9 | 64 | 288 | 66 | 40 | 4 | 30% | 2.1 | 22.9% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 1.4% | 4.66 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 44 | 203 | 47 | 27 | 10 | 15% | 1.3 | 20.3% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.16 | 6.51 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 44 | 203 | 47 | 27 | 10 | 15% | 1.3 | 23.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 7.16 | 5.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 20 | 7 | 60 | 289 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 35% | 3.0 | 17.4% | 17.1% | 0.3% | 3.8% | 6.49 | 5.89 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 49 | 38 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 15.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.87 | 5.87 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 15.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.87 | 5.87 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 119 | 540 | 106 | 85 | 20 | — | — | 19.6% | 15.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.18 | 5.88 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 6 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 19.4% | 15.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.87 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 49 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.74 | 5.75 | -0.8 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 48 | 35 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.69 | 5.73 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.8% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.74 | 5.75 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 30 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.69 | 5.73 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 56 | 41 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.72 | 5.37 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 123 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 14.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.72 | 5.37 | +0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 127 | 61 | 327 | 1492 | 285 | 226 | 63 | 48% | 2.6 | 19.1% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.65 | 5.74 | -1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 78 | 37 | 200 | 913 | 175 | 138 | 39 | 48% | 2.6 | 19.1% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.65 | 5.74 | -0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Cusick (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.87 | 19.4% | 15.2% | 3.8% | — | 5.74 | 19.9% | 5.3% | 115 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 82 |
| Paul Clemens R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 80 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 77 |
| Robbie Peto R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 77 |
| Andrew Bash R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.81 | 18.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .249 | 4.41 | 17.7% | 5.9% | 249 | -0.40 | 3.64 | 500 | 76 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 76 |
| Joe Record R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.74 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .236 | 3.71 | 21.1% | 8.2% | 172 | -1.03 | 2.59 | 280 | 75 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2025 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 74 |
| Keyvius Sampson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.21 | 19.6% | 16.4% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 316 | 74 |
| Kaleb Roper R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.54 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 4.4% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.54 | 146 | 73 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 73 |
| Josh Hansell R 2024 · 5.18 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.18 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 2.8% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 169 | 73 |
| Logan Verrett R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.18 | 15.4% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .283 | 4.97 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 94 | -0.21 | 3.73 | 550 | 73 |
| Deylen Miley R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.05 | 22.3% | 17.5% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.07 | 185 | 72 |
| Tyler Woessner R 2024 · 5.57 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.57 | 18.0% | 15.0% | 3.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 197 | 72 |
| Frankie Scalzo Jr. R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.17 | 17.2% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 237 | 72 |
| Levi Stoudt R 2026 · 6.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 6.56 | 16.4% | 12.2% | 6.0% | .275 | 5.47 | 13.5% | 0.3% | 25 | -1.09 | 4.37 | 395 | 72 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 72 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 72 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 6.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.73 | 17.6% | 18.3% | 5.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 106 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 19.7% | 14.8% | 1.48 | 5.77 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |