Ryan Cusick — OGILVIE

Ryan Cusick P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

+0.0 WAR

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 235 lbs AAA

ERA5.27

FIP5.27

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.3%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%9.0%

IP44

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2026

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5050

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	21	A	Augusta GreenJackets	6	6	16	67	34	4	1	37.6%	7.0%	1.6%	2.76	1.70	+0.6
2022	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	13	10	43	210	46	30	4	17.4%	16.5%	3.2%	7.12	5.47	-0.3
2023	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	24	24	100	435	91	66	17	16.8%	15.5%	5.3%	4.95	6.55	-1.4
2024	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	30	9	64	288	66	40	4	20.5%	14.6%	2.0%	4.66	4.32	+0.5
2025	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	34	5	44	203	47	27	10	20.3%	13.7%	5.9%	7.16	6.33	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	3	3	13	59	15	7	0	22.4%	12.5%	0.0%	4.15	2.79	+0.3
ROS	26	MLB	PHI	44	—	44	187	39	26	7	20.7%	13.8%	3.7%	5.52	5.52	-0.3
2026 Total	26	MLB	PHI	—	—	57	246	54	33	7	21.8%	13.4%	2.8%	5.21	4.90	+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	27	MLB	PHI	44	—	44	186	39	25	7	21.0%	13.4%	3.7%	5.41	5.41	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	PHI	43	—	43	183	39	24	7	21.1%	13.1%	3.6%	5.34	5.36	-0.2
2029	29	MLB	PHI	42	—	42	179	38	23	7	21.1%	13.0%	3.7%	5.32	5.35	-0.2
2030	30	MLB	PHI	41	—	41	173	36	23	6	21.0%	13.0%	3.7%	5.35	5.39	-0.2
2031	31	MLB	PHI	40	—	40	167	35	22	6	20.7%	13.1%	3.8%	5.42	5.46	-0.2
2032	32	MLB	PHI	38	—	38	160	33	21	6	20.5%	13.3%	3.8%	5.50	5.55	-0.3
2033	33	MLB	PHI	36	—	36	153	31	21	6	20.2%	13.5%	3.9%	5.59	5.64	-0.3
2034	34	MLB	PHI	34	—	34	146	29	20	6	19.8%	13.7%	4.0%	5.69	5.75	-0.3
2035	35	MLB	PHI	32	—	32	137	27	19	6	19.4%	13.9%	4.1%	5.80	5.88	-0.3
2036	36	MLB	PHI	30	—	30	128	24	18	5	19.0%	14.1%	4.3%	5.93	6.01	-0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			110	57	280	1262	248	184	48	19.7%	14.6%	3.8%	5.40	5.39	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—			79	41	200	901	177	131	34	19.7%	14.6%	3.8%	5.40	5.39	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Cusick (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.52	20.7%	13.8%	3.7%	—	5.37	21.1%	7.9%	130	-0.15	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.85 FIP	28	SU	4.85	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.87	18.2%	10.2%	272	-0.98	3.45	315	88
Justin Courtney R 2026 · 5.14 FIP	26	SU	5.14	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.65	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.51	4.59	108	86
Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	21.8%	14.5%	2.4%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	154	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2025 · 5.36 FIP	25	SU	5.36	19.6%	14.7%	3.7%	.256	3.85	15.0%	5.6%	61	-1.51	3.85	189	86
Nick Ernst R 2025 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	117	84
Jake Barrett R 2026 · 5.13 FIP	26	SU	5.13	20.1%	11.5%	4.1%	.267	2.91	26.9%	15.2%	69	-2.22	1.48	230	84
Preston Johnson R 2025 · 5.12 FIP	25	SU	5.12	21.1%	17.2%	2.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	104	83
Manny Barreda R 2026 · 5.08 FIP	26	SU	5.08	21.2%	14.7%	3.5%	.286	3.67	19.6%	9.5%	186	-1.41	3.25	376	83
David Holman R 2027 · 5.48 FIP	27	SU	5.48	15.6%	12.7%	3.8%	.324	5.48	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.00	5.37	129	83
Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.54 FIP	25	SW	4.54	20.7%	14.0%	2.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.65 FIP	26	SU	4.65	18.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	183	82
Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 5.28 FIP	26	SW	5.28	19.3%	14.1%	3.7%	.287	3.16	26.8%	20.6%	26	-2.12	3.16	253	82
David Garner R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	24	SU	5.17	21.5%	13.8%	3.9%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	154	82
Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.76 FIP	25	SW	4.76	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	106	81
Grant Black R 2027 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.46	15.2%	3.1%	156	+1.00	4.46	215	81
Derek Eitel R 2027 · 4.34 FIP	27	SU	4.34	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.29	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.05	4.00	138	81
Guido Knudson R 2026 · 4.70 FIP	26	SU	4.70	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	81
Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	19.6%	10.5%	3.9%	.293	4.50	12.8%	-1.5%	34	-0.43	1.27	164	81
Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.5%	.225	5.69	21.5%	6.0%	78	+1.14	3.90	158	80
Kyle Whitten R 2025 · 5.22 FIP	25	SU	5.22	18.2%	10.8%	4.2%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	143	80

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.