Ryan Cusick — OGILVIE

Ryan Cusick P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 235 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%18.8%

BB%14.5%

K-BB%4.2%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	6	6	16	67	34	4	1	100%	2.7	37.6%	7.0%	30.5%	1.6%	2.76	1.72	—
2021	21	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	6	6	16	67	34	4	1	100%	2.7	50.7%	6.0%	44.8%	1.5%	2.76	0.47	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	10	43	210	46	30	4	77%	3.3	17.4%	16.5%	0.9%	3.0%	7.12	5.38	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	10	43	210	46	30	4	77%	3.3	21.9%	14.3%	7.6%	1.9%	7.12	4.26	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	100	435	91	66	17	100%	4.2	16.8%	15.5%	1.3%	5.3%	4.95	6.53	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	100	435	91	66	17	100%	4.2	16.8%	15.5%	1.3%	5.3%	4.95	6.53	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	24	100	435	91	66	17	100%	4.2	20.9%	15.2%	5.7%	3.9%	4.95	5.47	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	9	64	288	66	40	4	30%	2.1	20.5%	14.6%	5.9%	2.1%	4.66	4.34	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	9	64	288	66	40	4	30%	2.1	20.5%	14.6%	5.9%	2.1%	4.66	4.34	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	9	64	288	66	40	4	30%	2.1	22.9%	13.9%	9.0%	1.4%	4.66	3.73	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	5	44	203	47	27	10	15%	1.3	19.2%	11.8%	7.4%	5.8%	7.16	6.17	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	5	44	203	47	27	10	15%	1.3	19.2%	11.8%	7.4%	5.8%	7.16	6.17	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	5	44	203	47	27	10	15%	1.3	23.2%	13.3%	9.9%	4.9%	7.16	5.76	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	32	10	78	380	75	62	12	31%	2.4	16.4%	14.7%	1.7%	3.5%	7.42	5.48	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	32	10	78	380	75	62	12	31%	2.4	16.4%	14.7%	1.7%	3.5%	7.42	5.48	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	PHI	32	10	78	380	75	62	12	31%	2.4	19.7%	16.3%	3.4%	3.2%	7.42	5.23	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	PHI	5	0	5	21	4	3	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	14.5%	4.2%	3.7%	5.78	5.78	-0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	83	401	79	65	13	—	—	19.7%	16.2%	3.5%	3.2%	7.32	5.50	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PHI	71	0	75	317	61	45	12	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.1%	5.1%	3.7%	5.65	5.67	-0.9
2028	28	MLB MLE	PHI	69	0	73	307	60	43	11	0%	1.1	19.4%	13.9%	5.5%	3.7%	5.61	5.65	-0.9
2029	29	MLB MLE	PHI	66	0	70	293	57	41	11	0%	1.1	19.4%	13.9%	5.5%	3.9%	5.65	5.71	-0.9
2030	30	MLB MLE	PHI	62	0	65	276	53	39	11	0%	1.1	19.1%	14.0%	5.1%	4.0%	5.76	5.86	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	PHI	30	0	32	135	26	19	5	0%	1.1	19.2%	14.1%	5.1%	3.7%	5.65	5.67	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	PHI	44	0	46	194	38	27	7	0%	1.0	19.4%	13.9%	5.5%	3.7%	5.61	5.65	-0.6
2029	29	MLB CTX	PHI	49	0	51	215	42	30	8	0%	1.0	19.4%	13.9%	5.5%	3.9%	5.65	5.71	-0.6
2030	30	MLB CTX	PHI	50	0	52	220	42	31	9	0%	1.0	19.1%	14.0%	5.1%	4.0%	5.76	5.86	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	763	147	106	29	0%	1.1	19.3%	13.9%	5.3%	3.8%	5.67	5.35	-1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	117	32	0%	1.1	19.3%	13.9%	5.3%	3.8%	5.67	5.35	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		139	64	345	1583	295	228	61	46%	2.5	18.6%	14.4%	4.2%	3.9%	5.90	5.48	-3.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	37	200	919	171	133	36	46%	2.5	18.6%	14.4%	4.2%	3.9%	5.90	5.48	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Cusick (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	18.8%	14.5%	3.7%	—	5.68	19.3%	5.4%	217	-0.10	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	83
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	80
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	79
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	77
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	77
Ranfi Casimiro R 2018 · 4.62 FIP	26	SW	4.62	16.4%	10.7%	2.8%	.285	4.93	8.4%	-0.2%	16	+0.31	3.81	420	77
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	77
Andrew Bash R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	17.6%	12.7%	2.6%	.249	4.07	16.7%	7.2%	231	-0.56	3.52	483	76
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.69	23.2%	9.9%	100	-2.06	3.37	261	76
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.59	20.3%	8.6%	172	-1.23	2.64	280	76
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	76
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	76
Jacob Wosinski R 2023 · 6.31 FIP	24	SP-	6.31	17.7%	12.4%	5.7%	.351	4.73	16.8%	5.2%	148	-1.58	3.89	181	75
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	74
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	74
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	74
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	74
Logan Verrett R 2016 · 5.19 FIP	26	SW	5.19	15.4%	10.6%	3.7%	.283	4.65	17.8%	11.8%	94	-0.54	3.81	550	74
Kaleb Roper R 2022 · 5.67 FIP	26	SW	5.67	17.3%	11.8%	4.6%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	146	74
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	19.2%	14.1%	1.47	5.69
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77