Robert Cruz P DSL Guardians Red
Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%23.2%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +1.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.07 (26 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201818ROKDSL Indians/Brewers1210432202222283%3.66.8%12.5%-5.7%1.3%8.164.81
201818ROKDSL Indians/Brewers1210432202222283%3.610.0%10.0%0.0%0.9%8.164.22
201919ROKDSL Indians13135222931193100%4.09.2%10.4%-1.2%1.8%4.534.64
201919ROKDSL Indians13135222931193100%4.013.5%8.3%5.2%1.3%4.533.76
202121ROKDSL Indians Blue17033137241000%2.011.9%9.1%2.8%0.0%1.353.25
202121ROKDSL Indians Blue17033137241000%2.017.5%7.3%10.2%0.0%1.352.56
202222ROKDSL CLE Red152341622719213%2.311.3%14.7%-3.3%1.3%6.294.69
202222ROKDSL CLE Red152341622719213%2.316.7%11.7%4.9%1.2%6.293.94
202323ROKDSL Guardians Red11444173366136%4.014.2%4.3%9.8%0.2%2.272.57
202323ROKDSL Guardians Red11444173366136%4.020.8%3.5%17.3%0.6%2.272.16
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBPIT25026110261030%1.023.2%9.1%14.1%3.0%4.314.31+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBPIT24026108251030%1.123.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.334.34+0.1
202727MLBPIT909389310%1.023.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.334.34+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career909399410%1.023.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.333.97+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084419386210%1.123.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.333.97+3.4
Career68292069219595943%3.010.3%10.3%0.0%1.0%4.594.09+3.1
/ 200 IP66282008949292943%3.010.3%10.3%0.0%1.0%4.594.09+3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Robert Cruz (OGILVIE) 4.31 23.2%9.1%3.0% 4.34 23.2%14.0%26 +0.03
Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 81
Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 79
Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 26 SW 4.65 20.5%7.8%4.2%.319 4.96 18.4%6.6%242 +0.31 4.39 353 74
Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 26 SP- 3.47 23.4%9.5%2.1%.295 3.47 146 73
Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 73
Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 26 SW 3.90 16.7%6.8%2.5%.243 3.43 167 73
Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 26 SW 4.89 20.0%10.9%3.8%.320 4.92 16.2%8.9%14 +0.03 3.63 239 73
TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP 26 SW 4.63 23.7%8.7%4.4%.317 3.95 22.5%14.7%87 -0.68 3.36 432 73
Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 73
Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 72
Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 71
Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 71
Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 71
Heath Holder R 2026 · 3.12 FIP 26 SW 3.12 21.9%7.5%1.7%.263 5.32 19.8%4.9%85 +2.20 2.74 367 71
Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 71
Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 4.16 124 71
Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP 27 SW 4.13 18.4%8.9%2.7%.315 5.25 13.8%4.9%18 +1.12 4.13 115 70
Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP 26 SW 3.41 22.7%8.4%2.1%.314 3.41 368 70
Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 26 SW 3.83 18.1%11.0%1.6%.280 3.17 24.5%17.9%97 -0.66 3.17 178 70
Jake Walkinshaw R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 26 SP- 4.66 17.5%6.4%4.0%.296 4.92 13.3%3.1%116 +0.26 2.20 286 70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22623.2%9.1%1.164.32
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49