Ceddanne Rafaela

CF Boston Red Sox
Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 2.203S2 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2034
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202423MLBBOS571.246/.276/.3901519800.6
202524MLBBOS587.249/.296/.4141620923.0
202625MLBBOS576.285/.322/.44416171072.0
2027PROJ26MLBBOS576.257/.296/.4051529912.1
2028PROJ27MLBBOS575.256/.295/.4021528902.0
2029PROJ28MLBBOS563.254/.294/.3981425881.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 5.6  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 5.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service2.203First FA2034Options2Super-2
2027Ext$6M2028Ext$6M2029Ext$6M2030Ext$6M2031Ext$6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed90
Chase%51
Whiff%49
Barrel%44
xwOBA33
Bat Spd33
Form.244/.279/.359 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .249/.287/.395
CompsHernán Pérez (age 26) · Tyler Greene (age 26) · Jake Marisnick (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 9391vR 83
AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .296 / .405
PA576
HR15
SB29
K%21
BB%4
BABIP303
ISO146
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +5.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+6RUNFLD: +8.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+9FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +2.50+2.5WAR
0.01.53.02.52.01.71.41.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$38M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
4911.0%
xAVG
350.239
POWER50
Barrel%
447.4
Avg EV
2387.1
Bat Spd
3369.5
EYE20
Chase%
5131.5%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%▼23% over 44 PA (60d) · proj 21%
BB%4%·2% over 44 PA (60d) · proj 4%
ISO.116▼▼.000 over 42 AB (60d) · proj .146
HR/BB2.8%▼0.0% over 33 BBE (60d) · proj 3.7%
BABIP.293·.303 over 33 BIP (60d) · proj .293
SLASH.244/.279/.359▼proj .249/.287/.395
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1251 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
338
913
—
wRC+
84
92
▶R
wOBA
293
305
▶R
ISO
169
143
◀◀L
BABIP
299
305
—
K%
28.1%
21.0%
▶▶R
BB%
3.8%
3.8%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   2.203 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$6M+2.5$20M+$14M
2028Ext$6M+2.0$15M+$9M
2029Ext$6M+1.7$12M+$7M
2030Ext$6M+1.4$9M+$4M
2031Ext$6M+1.1$6M+$2M
Totals $31M $62M +$36M
Options · projected decision
2032CLUB OPT$6.2M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2033CLUB OPT$16.0M / $4.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201817 ROKDSL Red Sox 1 — 225203 55923 14394 197 271330379710 108317 176 315 22 — — — — — —
201918 ROKGCL Red Sox — 176153 38146 14285 92 248331425756 176267 168 330 47 — — — — — —
202120 ASalem Red Sox — 432394 9920910 25797 233 251308424731 173288 186 319 67 — — — — — —
202221 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 313284 7915612 16626 145 278330500830 222310 205 355 97 — — — — — —
202221 A+Greenville Drive — 209197 651749 10512 142 330368594962 264409 245 417 98 — — — — — —
202221 INTLCriollos de Caguas — 7665 17401 9162 52 262368369738 108333 2112 340 116 — — — — — —
202322 MLBBoston Red Sox — 8983 20602 4281 31 241284386670 145333 314 295 79 -2 +0 +1 +2 +2 0.3
202322 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 219199 6213314 12487 65 312372618990 307348 225 425 113 — — — — — —
202322 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 266245 721806 14552 308 294337441778 147351 215 339 86 — — — — — —
202423 MLBBoston Red Sox — 571544 13423515 151517 1910 246276390665 143312 263 292 80 -14 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.6
202524 MLBBoston Red Sox — 587546 13634416 281178 205 249296414709 165289 205 312 92 -6 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.0
202625 MLBBoston Red Sox — 576541 15432316 221178 179 285322444766 159336 204 336 107 +5 -0 +0 +2 +12 2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 18231714 444951249 6941324 5925 259297414711 155313 234 313 98 -5 +2 +20 +12 +39 7.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201817 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 1 — 225207 35511 10474 197 169222217439 48206 214 201 22 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Red Sox — 176158 30135 9405 92 190256329585 139203 235 237 47 — — — — — —
202120 A MLESalem Red Sox — 432402 881689 171107 233 219263366629 147267 254 267 67 — — — — — —
202221 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 313289 7412510 11766 145 256297436733 180296 244 311 97 — — — — — —
202221 A+ MLEGreenville Drive — 209201 511238 6632 142 254282463745 209334 303 313 98 — — — — — —
202322 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 8983 19502 4281 31 229273361634 133333 314 285 79 -2 +0 +1 +2 +2 0.3
202322 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 219202 518310 9567 65 252307470778 218303 264 335 113 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 266250 681405 9672 308 272303388691 116335 253 295 86 — — — — — —
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 571545 13120615 141517 1910 240269382650 141312 262 286 80 -14 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.6
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 587546 13130416 281178 205 240287397684 158289 205 304 92 -6 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.0
202625 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 576542 14828316 211178 179 273310424734 151336 204 327 107 +5 -0 +0 +2 +12 2.0
201817 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 1 — 225207 35511 10474 197 169222217439 48210 214 201 22 — — — — — —
201817 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox 1 — 225203 55923 14394 197 271330379710 108317 176 315 22 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Red Sox — 176158 30135 9405 92 190256329585 139219 235 237 47 — — — — — —
201918 ROK RAWGCL Red Sox — 176153 38146 14285 92 248331425756 176267 168 330 47 — — — — — —
202120 A MLESalem Red Sox — 432402 881689 171107 233 219263366629 147275 254 267 67 — — — — — —
202120 A RAWSalem Red Sox — 432394 9920910 25797 233 251308424731 173288 186 319 67 — — — — — —
202221 AA MLE3 teams — 598561 14328920 2015910 339 255293444737 189317 273 312 97 — — — — — —
202221 AA RAW3 teams — 598546 161361022 3512910 339 295349518867 223347 226 375 97 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLE3 teams — 574535 13928317 2215110 3914 260302419720 159327 264 309 95 — — — — — —
202322 AA RAW3 teams — 574527 15437322 3013110 3914 292342499841 207347 235 365 95 — — — — — —
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 571545 13120615 141517 1910 240269382650 141304 262 286 80 -14 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.6
202423 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 571544 13423515 151517 1910 246276390665 143312 263 292 80 -14 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.6
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 587546 13130416 281178 205 240287397684 158277 205 304 92 -6 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.0
202524 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 587546 13634416 281178 205 249296414709 165289 205 312 92 -6 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.0
202625 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 576542 14828316 211178 179 273310424734 151320 204 327 107 +5 -0 +0 +2 +12 2.0
202625 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 576541 15432316 221178 179 285322444766 159336 204 336 107 +5 -0 +0 +2 +12 2.0
201817 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 1 — 225209 35511 10474 197 167222215437 48206 214 201 22 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Red Sox — 176160 30135 9405 92 188256325581 138203 235 237 47 — — — — — —
202120 A MLESalem Red Sox — 432405 881689 171107 233 217263363626 146267 254 267 67 — — — — — —
202221 AA MLE3 teams — 598563 14328920 2015910 339 254293442735 188311 273 312 97 — — — — — —
202322 AA MLE3 teams — 574537 13928317 2215110 3914 259302417719 158323 264 309 95 — — — — — —
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 571545 13120615 141517 1910 240269382650 141312 262 286 80 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 587546 13130416 281178 205 240287397684 158289 205 304 92 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 576542 14828316 211178 179 273310424734 151336 204 327 107 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 571545 13120615 141517 1910 240269382650 141312 262 286 80 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 587546 13130416 281178 205 240287397684 158289 205 304 92 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 576542 14828316 211178 179 273310424734 151336 204 327 107 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEBOS 100% 574538 13525415 231218 285 250290396685 146293 214 302 91 -6 +4 +9 +2 +12 2.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXBOS 100% 576540 13828315 231228 295 257296405701 148303 214 309 91 -6 +4 +9 +2 +12 2.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEBOS 100% 575539 13525415 231228 285 249289393682 144293 214 301 90 -7 +4 +9 +2 +12 2.0
202928 MLB MLEBOS 100% 563529 13124415 221217 255 247287389676 142292 214 298 88 -8 +3 +8 +2 +12 1.7
203029 MLB MLEBOS 100% 551517 12623314 221207 214 245284383667 138291 224 295 86 -9 +3 +7 +2 +12 1.4
203130 MLB MLEBOS 100% 539506 12323313 211197 174 242281376657 134289 224 290 83 -11 +2 +6 +2 +12 1.1
203231 MLB MLEBOS 100% 524493 11721312 201186 123 238276366642 128286 234 284 78 -13 +1 +5 +2 +11 0.6
202827 MLB CTXBOS 100% 575539 13828315 231228 285 256295402698 147302 214 308 90 -7 +4 +9 +2 +12 2.0
202928 MLB CTXBOS 100% 563529 13427314 221217 255 254294398692 144302 214 305 88 -8 +3 +8 +2 +12 1.7
203029 MLB CTXBOS 100% 551517 13026313 221207 214 252291392683 141301 224 302 86 -9 +3 +7 +2 +12 1.4
203130 MLB CTXBOS 100% 539506 12625313 211197 174 249287385672 136299 224 297 83 -11 +2 +6 +2 +12 1.1
203231 MLB CTXBOS 100% 524493 12124312 201186 123 245282375657 131296 234 291 78 -13 +1 +5 +2 +11 0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 45754298 109322527116 177101359 16246 254293400693 146306 224 305 85 -54 +14 +55 +22 +99 14.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650611 15532416 251448 237 254291398689 144306 224 305 85 -8 +2 +8 +3 +14 2.0
Career— MLE — 70676620 161229758183 2721614102 31185 244284389673 145293 234 294 85 -60 +18 +64 +24 +112 16.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650609 14827517 251489 298 243283388670 144292 234 294 85 -8 +2 +8 +3 +14 2.0