Sadrac Franco — OGILVIE

Sadrac Franco P San Antonio Missions

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 155 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%21.0%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	7	1	16	65	14	3	0	14%	2.2	14.6%	5.8%	8.9%	0.0%	3.45	2.59	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	7	1	16	65	14	3	0	14%	2.2	21.5%	4.6%	16.9%	0.0%	3.45	1.89	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	14	3	35	166	36	21	1	21%	2.5	14.7%	15.8%	-1.1%	0.8%	6.11	4.32	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	14	3	35	166	36	21	1	21%	2.5	21.7%	12.7%	9.0%	0.6%	6.11	3.21	—
2023	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	29	0	42	181	42	16	6	0%	1.4	17.2%	10.4%	6.7%	4.8%	3.67	5.61	—
2023	23	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	29	0	42	181	42	16	6	0%	1.4	17.2%	10.4%	6.7%	4.8%	3.67	5.61	—
2023	23	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	29	0	42	181	42	16	6	0%	1.4	23.2%	8.8%	14.4%	3.3%	3.67	4.11	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	2	19	80	25	9	4	20%	1.9	31.2%	11.2%	20.0%	5.0%	1.93	4.63	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	2	19	80	25	9	4	20%	1.9	31.2%	11.2%	20.0%	5.0%	1.93	4.63	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	2	19	80	25	9	4	20%	1.9	31.2%	11.2%	20.0%	5.0%	1.93	4.65	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	85	20	9	1	0%	1.4	19.5%	13.1%	6.4%	1.6%	3.37	4.00	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	85	20	9	1	0%	1.4	19.5%	13.1%	6.4%	1.6%	3.37	4.00	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	21	85	20	9	1	0%	1.4	23.5%	10.6%	12.9%	1.2%	3.37	3.10	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	42	0	59	271	68	33	8	0%	1.4	20.3%	13.4%	6.9%	3.5%	5.37	5.02	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	42	0	59	271	68	33	8	0%	1.4	20.3%	13.4%	6.9%	3.5%	5.37	5.02	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	SD	42	0	59	271	68	33	8	0%	1.4	25.1%	12.2%	12.9%	3.0%	5.37	4.14	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SD	54	0	57	239	51	27	7	0%	1.0	21.2%	11.3%	10.0%	3.0%	4.74	4.76	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	52	0	55	232	49	26	7	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.3%	10.0%	3.1%	4.77	4.81	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	SD	20	0	21	89	19	10	3	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.3%	10.0%	3.0%	4.74	4.76	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	31	0	33	139	30	16	4	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.3%	10.0%	3.1%	4.77	4.81	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	0	54	228	48	26	7	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.3%	10.0%	3.1%	4.76	4.41	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	96	26	0%	1.1	21.3%	11.3%	10.0%	3.1%	4.76	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		117	6	191	848	162	105	25	5%	1.6	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	3.0%	4.42	4.68	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		122	6	200	886	169	110	26	5%	1.6	19.1%	12.4%	6.7%	3.0%	4.42	4.68	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sadrac Franco (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	21.0%	11.4%	2.9%	—	4.78	21.3%	10.0%	112	+0.02	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	88
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	85
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	84
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	83
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	83
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	82
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	82
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	81
Matt Wivinis R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	19.5%	12.2%	1.5%	.262	5.95	14.5%	6.2%	17	+2.11	1.61	124	81
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	81
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	81
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	81
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	81
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	42	21.2%	11.3%	1.17	4.76
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19