Heston Kjerstad — OGILVIE

Heston KjerstadLF Baltimore Orioles

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 27 L/R 6'2" / 215 lbs MLB HR +8%BB -5% Svc 1.238 · Ctrl thru 2030

wRC+†vL -3590vR 82

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .287 / .391

PA148

HR5

K%28

BB%6

xwOBA.290

Barrel%8.0%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

45→45

SPD

55→55

EYE

46↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2027

Barrel%

498.0

xwOBA

340.290

Avg EV

4688.8

Whiff%

210.143

Chase%

100.415

Speed

5527.7

Bat Spd

3269.4

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.238 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-11M		$-11M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	A+	3 teams	388	351	92	19	2	6	24	116	8	1	0	.262	.324	.379	.703	.117	.368	30	6	.312	97	-1	+0	+0	-4	+11	0.6
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	576	526	137	25	8	18	31	134	16	5	4	.260	.321	.441	.762	.181	.316	23	5	.329	110	+6	-1	+0	-6	+16	1.6
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	388	336	91	15	1	18	34	107	12	3	0	.271	.359	.482	.841	.211	.336	28	9	.363	136	+16	+1	-1	-4	+11	2.3
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	279	261	43	6	3	5	13	82	4	1	1	.165	.216	.268	.484	.103	.217	29	5	.222	28	-23	-0	-7	-3	+8	-2.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	BAL	148	135	30	5	1	5	9	41	3	1	0	.222	.286	.385	.671	.163	.278	28	6	.303	90	-2	+0	-2	-2	+4	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	BAL	360	326	72	12	3	12	23	100	8	3	0	.221	.289	.387	.675	.166	.277	28	6	.302	89	-4	+1	-6	-4	+10	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	BAL	366	332	74	12	3	13	23	103	8	2	0	.223	.289	.395	.684	.172	.276	28	6	.300	87	-5	+0	-7	-4	+10	-0.5
2029	30	MLB	BAL	370	335	73	12	3	12	24	105	8	1	0	.218	.286	.379	.665	.161	.275	28	6	.296	85	-6	+0	-7	-4	+10	-0.7
2030	31	MLB	BAL	355	321	70	11	3	12	23	103	8	0	0	.218	.287	.383	.670	.165	.273	29	6	.293	82	-7	+0	-8	-4	+10	-0.9
2031	32	MLB	BAL	336	305	65	10	3	11	21	99	7	0	0	.213	.279	.374	.653	.161	.272	29	6	.288	78	-8	+0	-8	-4	+10	-1.1
2032	33	MLB	BAL	306	278	57	9	2	9	19	92	6	0	0	.205	.271	.349	.620	.144	.270	30	6	.282	74	-9	+0	-9	-3	+9	-1.2
2033	34	MLB	BAL	263	240	48	7	2	8	16	81	5	0	0	.200	.264	.346	.610	.146	.268	31	6	.275	69	-9	+0	-9	-3	+7	-1.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4135	3746	852	143	34	129	260	1163	93	17	5	.227	.294	.387	.681	.160	.291	28	6	.301	89	-53	+1	-63	-44	+117	-4.3
/ 162G	—			650	589	133	22	5	20	41	183	15	3	1	.226	.293	.382	.675	.156	.289	28	6	.301	89	-8	+0	-10	-7	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	186	163	38	8	2	3	16	47	4	1	0	.233	.317	.362	.679	.129	.302	25	9	.304	91	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.4
2022	23	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	98	80	37	9	0	2	13	17	4	0	0	.463	.557	.650	1.207	.188	.565	17	13	.523	258	+18	+0	—	—	+3	2.1
2022	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	104	98	35	9	1	5	5	31	0	0	0	.357	.388	.622	1.011	.265	.476	30	5	.434	190	+11	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2023	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	33	30	7	1	0	2	2	10	0	0	0	.233	.273	.467	.739	.233	.278	30	6	.317	101	+0	+0	+0	-6	+1	-0.5
2023	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	337	295	88	19	5	10	27	69	9	2	1	.298	.371	.498	.870	.200	.356	20	8	.379	148	+18	+0	—	—	+10	2.8
2023	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	206	184	57	10	3	11	15	31	7	3	3	.310	.383	.576	.960	.266	.324	15	7	.418	178	+18	-1	—	—	+6	2.4
2024	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	114	99	25	2	0	4	10	33	5	1	0	.253	.351	.394	.745	.141	.339	29	9	.340	118	+2	+0	-1	-4	+3	0.1
2024	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	258	213	64	14	1	16	32	67	6	2	0	.300	.405	.601	1.006	.300	.353	26	12	.424	183	+24	+0	—	—	+7	3.3
2024	25	AA	Bowie Baysox	16	13	4	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	.308	.438	.385	.822	.077	.333	6	12	.383	151	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	167	156	30	5	2	4	6	45	4	1	0	.192	.241	.327	.568	.135	.241	27	4	.253	52	-9	+0	-7	-3	+5	-1.4
2025	26	AAA	Norfolk Tides	112	101	15	2	1	2	10	30	0	0	1	.149	.223	.248	.471	.099	.188	27	9	.218	25	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			314	285	62	8	2	10	18	88	9	2	0	.218	.284	.365	.649	.147	.277	28	6	.291	81	-7	+0	-8	-13	+9	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Heston Kjerstad (OGILVIE)	27	40	45	55	35	.221/.287/.391	.169	.278	5	1	28%	6%	90	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christin Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→45	54→55	46→45	42	.218/.282/.394	.176	.278	22	4	30%	7%	88	+0.9	.211/.290/.389	.178	.300	24	10	36%	9%	90	+1.0	.185/.284/.351	.166	.264	24	11	38%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Ka'ai Tom 2022 · MLB	28	42→49	50→55	48→50	44	.215/.293/.374	.159	.285	17	6	30%	8%	87	+0.8	.198/.279/.323	.125	.282	13	10	33%	8%	69	-0.4	.182/.264/.306	.124	.259	14	10	34%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Doug DeVore 2005 · MLB	27	47	50→55	49→45	45	.236/.294/.390	.154	.296	17	9	26%	7%	91	+1.1	.234/.283/.399	.165	.301	20	7	28%	6%	89	+0.9	.232/.276/.398	.167	.292	21	5	28%	5%	85	+0.5
✕Zach Reks 2021 · AAA	27	47→41	50	47→40	43	.234/.298/.385	.151	.321	19	6	32%	8%	92	+1.2	.236/.307/.406	.170	.343	20	4	35%	8%	102	+1.8	.194/.280/.337	.143	.292	16	1	36%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Nicky Delmonico 2019 · MLB	27	46→47	50→55	46→45	48	.234/.302/.391	.157	.283	17	5	24%	8%	95	+1.4	.223/.290/.360	.137	.287	14	6	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.222/.286/.362	.139	.293	14	4	28%	7%	82	+0.1
✕Brandon Allen 2013 · MLB	27	42→47	53→55	49→50	48	.218/.300/.396	.177	.288	21	9	31%	10%	95	+1.4	.220/.283/.372	.152	.277	17	6	26%	8%	82	+0.5	.215/.279/.359	.144	.264	16	5	25%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Jason Vosler 2022 · MLB	28	42→44	53→55	48→40	47	.225/.294/.399	.174	.267	22	4	25%	8%	94	+1.3	.213/.276/.381	.168	.268	22	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	.205/.266/.374	.169	.260	23	4	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Jake Goebbert 2015 · MLB	27	45→51	50	48→45	50	.229/.304/.389	.160	.270	18	6	22%	9%	95	+1.4	.220/.292/.353	.133	.276	14	5	25%	8%	81	+0.4	.207/.278/.321	.114	.264	12	3	25%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Chris Shaw 2021 · MLB	27	42→44	54→55	45→30	36	.221/.271/.398	.177	.302	23	4	34%	5%	85	+0.7	.195/.268/.338	.143	.327	17	7	42%	9%	68	-0.5	.128/.227/.288	.160	.223	24	2	52%	11%	36	-1.0
✕Nick Williams 2021 · MLB	27	47→56	52→55	47→45	41	.239/.300/.404	.164	.307	20	5	28%	6%	98	+1.6	.228/.282/.370	.142	.307	16	12	30%	5%	81	+0.4	.215/.257/.334	.119	.297	12	15	31%	3%	57	-0.3
✕Jordan Patterson 2019 · MLB	27	41→49	49→50	47→50	38	.211/.278/.360	.148	.293	17	7	33%	6%	78	+0.2	.205/.268/.358	.153	.302	18	7	37%	5%	73	-0.1	.181/.242/.330	.149	.277	18	4	40%	4%	52	-1.1
✕Billy McKinney 2022 · MLB	27	41→51	50→55	47→45	49	.212/.287/.375	.163	.262	17	5	26%	9%	85	+0.7	.215/.296/.367	.152	.289	18	6	30%	9%	86	+0.8	.214/.299/.363	.149	.288	18	4	31%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Andy Wilkins 2016 · MLB	27	42→45	52→55	44→45	41	.224/.265/.391	.167	.266	21	3	25%	5%	79	+0.3	.199/.255/.360	.161	.255	21	5	30%	7%	68	-0.5	.167/.244/.340	.173	.224	25	3	38%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Stuart Fairchild 2023 · MLB	27	44→43	53→50	50→55	42	.227/.302/.402	.174	.300	21	13	30%	7%	98	+1.6	.225/.303/.374	.149	.296	16	19	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.217/.302/.357	.140	.282	15	25	27%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2023 · MLB	26	44→43	51→55	49→50	41	.225/.284/.382	.157	.302	19	12	32%	7%	85	+0.7	.208/.276/.381	.173	.269	22	5	31%	7%	82	+0.5	.184/.258/.359	.175	.232	23	1	31%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Preston Tucker 2017 · MLB	27	43→45	52→55	41→40	42	.225/.273/.389	.164	.271	20	3	26%	6%	82	+0.5	.215/.271/.369	.154	.254	18	3	23%	7%	76	+0.1	.232/.307/.388	.157	.271	17	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Scott Thorman 2009 · MLB	27	43→51	53→55	48→45	40	.228/.260/.403	.174	.256	22	7	22%	4%	81	+0.4	.224/.263/.379	.155	.257	20	8	22%	4%	76	+0.0	.221/.263/.364	.143	.253	19	8	21%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Jon Knott 2006 · MLB	27	40	51→55	49→40	44	.211/.276/.377	.166	.254	19	4	25%	7%	81	+0.4	.219/.284/.403	.184	.263	22	4	25%	7%	91	+1.1	.216/.283/.399	.184	.258	22	3	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	40→38	56→55	45→40	42	.218/.275/.408	.190	.260	25	5	27%	6%	89	+0.9	.222/.279/.381	.159	.276	21	4	27%	7%	83	+0.6	.210/.274/.337	.127	.266	18	1	28%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Kody Clemens 2023 · MLB	27	38→43	53→60	50→45	40	.209/.256/.380	.171	.257	22	8	29%	6%	72	-0.2	.218/.274/.407	.189	.260	24	9	26%	7%	88	+0.9	.216/.278/.416	.200	.247	26	8	25%	7%	88	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)