Austin Beck — OGILVIE

Austin BeckCF Tulsa Drillers

Age 27 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .258 / .336

PA250

HR7

K%32

BB%7

ISO141

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	174	158	20	4	2	1	11	73	2	7	1	127	193	196	389	70	218	42	6	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	174	152	32	7	4	2	17	51	2	7	1	211	298	349	647	138	294	29	10	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	534	502	110	18	4	2	21	146	3	8	6	219	255	283	538	64	298	27	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	534	493	146	29	4	2	30	117	3	8	6	296	340	383	724	87	377	22	6	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Stockton Ports	—	367	347	61	14	3	5	15	166	2	2	2	176	214	277	491	101	313	45	4	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Stockton Ports	—	367	338	85	22	4	8	24	126	2	2	2	251	305	411	716	160	372	34	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	3 teams	—	351	328	48	9	1	9	15	168	3	4	2	146	191	262	453	116	250	48	4	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	3 teams	—	351	321	62	14	2	10	22	127	3	4	2	193	251	343	594	150	275	36	6	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	243	225	43	3	0	9	12	83	1	3	0	191	235	324	560	133	246	34	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	2 teams	—	243	220	53	4	0	9	17	63	1	3	0	241	298	382	680	141	288	26	7	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	262	238	34	6	1	9	16	129	3	1	0	143	206	290	496	147	238	49	6	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	262	229	49	9	1	13	25	92	3	1	0	214	300	432	732	218	279	35	10	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	LAD	—	250	228	45	8	1	7	17	79	3	4	1	197	262	333	595	136	264	32	7	268	63	-10	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	LAD	27%	298	272	55	10	1	9	21	92	3	5	1	202	267	346	612	143	267	31	7	272	67	-11	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.2
2028	29	MLB	LAD	37%	324	295	59	11	1	9	23	99	3	5	1	200	265	336	600	136	269	31	7	275	68	-12	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	LAD	27%	80	73	14	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	192	263	315	578	123	263	31	8	261	58	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	LAD	37%	120	110	22	4	1	3	8	37	1	2	0	200	261	336	597	136	265	31	7	263	60	-5	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	200	183	36	7	1	5	14	62	2	3	0	197	261	328	589	131	265	31	7	263	59	-9	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	117	23	3	16	46	202	6	10	0	197	261	326	587	129	266	31	7	263	59	-30	+2	-2	+2	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	2803	2593	475	83	14	60	151	1035	23	39	14	183	235	295	530	112	271	37	5	235	38	-196	+2	-2	+10	+79	-10.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	110	19	3	14	35	240	5	9	3	183	234	295	529	111	270	37	5	235	38	-45	+1	-0	+2	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	174	152	32	7	4	2	17	51	2	7	1	211	298	349	647	138	294	29	10	288	79	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	534	493	146	29	4	2	30	117	3	8	6	296	340	383	724	87	377	22	6	321	104	+2	-1	—	—	+15	1.7
2019	20	A+	Stockton Ports	—	367	338	85	22	4	8	24	126	2	2	2	251	305	411	716	160	372	34	7	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+10	1.0
2021	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	22	20	3	0	0	3	2	13	0	0	0	150	227	600	827	450		59	9	347	124	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	269	248	50	12	2	7	15	91	3	3	1	202	256	351	606	149	281	34	6	268	63	-11	+0	—	—	+8	-0.3
2021	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	60	53	9	2	0	0	5	23	0	1	1	170	241	208	449	38	281	38	8	207	16	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	76	74	17	1	0	1	2	27	0	2	0	230	250	284	534	54	348	36	3	241	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	167	146	36	3	0	8	15	36	1	1	0	247	321	432	752	185	262	22	9	325	107	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	262	229	49	9	1	13	25	92	3	1	0	214	300	432	732	218	279	35	10	318	102	+1	+0	—	—	+7	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	205	6	3	204	265	346	+1	+2	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	19	10	204	265	346	+2.4	+8.1	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Beck (OGILVIE)	27	20	51	44	43	196/258/336	140	264	7	4	32%	7%	63	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	35→27	50	43→40	41	191/254/334	143	251	19	5	32%	7%	60	-1.0	195/273/339	144	246	19	5	28%	8%	70	-0.3	200/276/347	147	231	17	4	22%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Brian Serven 2022 · AAA	27	34	49→45	47→30	38	187/238/330	143	232	18	5	29%	4%	53	-1.5	190/252/306	116	254	14	4	30%	7%	52	-1.6	224/307/333	109	327	9	1	31%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2021 · AAA	26	37→33	51→55	50	40	202/258/351	149	255	20	7	30%	6%	67	-0.5	220/291/413	193	279	26	9	30%	7%	97	+1.5	205/284/416	211	247	30	7	31%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	36→37	49→50	51→50	34	194/240/333	139	277	18	9	36%	5%	54	-1.4	214/264/344	130	277	14	11	27%	5%	66	-0.6	210/264/335	124	264	13	10	25%	5%	61	-0.5
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	38	46→50	47→30	44	198/261/319	121	270	14	4	32%	8%	59	-1.1	219/286/363	144	306	18	4	32%	8%	81	+0.4	211/283/356	145	291	19	1	33%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	42→41	48→50	47→50	40	215/263/356	141	280	15	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	203/251/329	126	276	15	7	31%	6%	57	-1.2	189/238/303	114	257	15	4	32%	5%	40	-1.7
✕Jimmy Kerrigan 2021 · AAA	27	38→37	48→50	46→50	33	200/244/335	135	279	17	12	34%	4%	56	-1.3	210/263/350	140	331	17	13	40%	6%	68	-0.5	191/246/332	141	308	18	13	42%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Jay Caligiuri 2006 · AA	26	40→37	50	46→30	42	209/268/363	154	263	18	4	28%	6%	73	-0.1	213/287/364	151	259	19	4	25%	8%	82	+0.5	188/274/318	130	216	18	1	22%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jeffrey Eure 2007 · AA	26	39→31	48→50	41→45	35	202/249/340	138	286	16	5	34%	4%	59	-1.1	205/260/318	113	306	11	8	35%	5%	58	-1.2	163/225/242	79	268	5	5	38%	5%	20	-1.1
✕Willie MacIver 2023 · AAA	26	36→33	48→45	50→55	39	191/255/325	133	271	17	14	35%	6%	59	-1.1	215/291/341	126	313	13	16	33%	8%	78	+0.2	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	37	47→50	47→30	40	193/259/325	132	276	15	4	35%	7%	60	-1.0	204/259/342	138	283	16	7	32%	6%	64	-0.8	170/221/358	188	197	25	0	30%	5%	50	-0.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	42→37	44→55	47→30	39	204/270/318	113	301	11	5	34%	7%	63	-0.9	201/258/295	94	304	9	7	35%	7%	51	-1.7	159/216/216	58	242	7	0	36%	6%	10	-1.4
✕Chadwick Tromp 2022 · MLB	27	38	50	45→40	36	206/242/353	146	260	19	4	30%	4%	59	-1.1	217/266/361	144	268	18	3	26%	6%	72	-0.2	222/279/363	141	273	17	0	25%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Cody Puckett 2013 · AAA	26	37→39	47→50	50	39	195/247/328	133	260	15	11	31%	6%	55	-1.4	212/254/352	140	250	18	10	23%	5%	65	-0.7	208/243/357	149	220	23	8	19%	4%	58	-0.8