Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 13.0% | 12.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.31 | 4.57 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cubs 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 1.4% | 3.31 | 3.47 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 161 | 39 | 21 | 0 | 100% | 3.7 | 16.5% | 16.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.19 | 3.77 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 161 | 39 | 21 | 0 | 100% | 3.7 | 24.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 3.19 | 2.69 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 45 | 219 | 50 | 38 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.1% | 21.4% | -5.3% | 2.5% | 4.17 | 5.81 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 45 | 219 | 50 | 38 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.8% | 17.4% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 4.17 | 4.56 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 56 | 261 | 57 | 39 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.0% | 16.9% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 4.53 | 4.36 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 56 | 261 | 57 | 39 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.8% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 0.8% | 4.53 | 3.62 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 46 | 206 | 61 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.3% | 17.4% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 3.11 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 46 | 206 | 61 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 1.5% | 3.11 | 3.38 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 64 | 37 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 15.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.28 | 5.01 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 60 | 254 | 64 | 37 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.2% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 3.28 | 4.11 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 245 | 82 | 36 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.9% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 1.7% | 3.49 | 3.56 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 245 | 82 | 36 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.5% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 1.6% | 3.49 | 3.03 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 41 | 1 | 47 | 238 | 63 | 46 | 2 | 2% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 21.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 6.17 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | OAK | 65 | 0 | 68 | 286 | 78 | 53 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.75 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.75 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 114 | 524 | 141 | 99 | 10 | — | — | 27.0% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 5.33 | 4.81 | +0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 7 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 1 | — | — | 27.4% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.75 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 63 | 0 | 66 | 278 | 75 | 49 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 60 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 69 | 46 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 5.09 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 63 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 17.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 32 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.9% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.86 | 4.98 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 17.2% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 45 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 17.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.13 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 118 | 0 | 126 | 539 | 135 | 94 | 16 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 17.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 4.84 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 855 | 214 | 149 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 17.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.20 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 265 | 16 | 367 | 1657 | 338 | 289 | 27 | 6% | 1.4 | 20.4% | 17.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.95 | 4.49 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 9 | 200 | 904 | 185 | 158 | 15 | 6% | 1.4 | 20.4% | 17.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.95 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eduarniel Núñez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.96 | 27.4% | 18.4% | 2.7% | — | 5.10 | 26.1% | 8.7% | 188 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Ray Black R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 30.0% | 24.6% | 0.9% | .281 | 3.96 | 34.6% | 23.4% | 94 | -0.20 | 2.96 | 150 | 76 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.25 | 24.3% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .312 | 3.31 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 130 | -0.94 | 2.16 | 186 | 74 |
| Brian Ellington R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.81 | 25.5% | 14.9% | 3.6% | .283 | 5.60 | 22.4% | 5.3% | 29 | +0.79 | 2.75 | 233 | 74 |
| Parker Markel R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 29.7% | 16.5% | 3.9% | .250 | 4.08 | 28.9% | 11.6% | 97 | -0.73 | 3.16 | 266 | 74 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 73 |
| Zack Jones R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.03 | 27.7% | 24.1% | 2.2% | .167 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 109 | 72 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 2.7% | .360 | 5.09 | 15.3% | 3.1% | 58 | +0.79 | 3.42 | 173 | 72 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.10 | 24.7% | 17.3% | 1.6% | .189 | 4.23 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 54 | +0.13 | 3.28 | 197 | 71 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.67 | 24.1% | 15.3% | 3.0% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 172 | 70 |
| LJ McDonough R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.41 | 24.3% | 20.5% | 3.2% | .370 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.32 | 114 | 70 |
| Michael Stryffeler R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.35 | 30.4% | 17.3% | 3.0% | .277 | 4.75 | 19.4% | 1.1% | 33 | +0.40 | 2.43 | 140 | 70 |
| Cody Morris R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.10 | 23.8% | 16.1% | 1.8% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.26 | 256 | 70 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 70 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 70 |
| Jake Haberer R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.49 | 24.3% | 16.0% | 4.4% | .324 | 5.40 | 16.4% | 0.9% | 62 | -0.09 | 3.62 | 183 | 70 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 69 |
| Jack Ralston R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.91 | 23.3% | 18.1% | 2.7% | .338 | 3.54 | 28.3% | 18.1% | 51 | -1.37 | 3.50 | 299 | 69 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 69 |
| Brooks Wilson R 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 26.1% | 15.9% | 3.7% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 194 | 69 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2025 · 5.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.51 | 25.3% | 16.2% | 4.6% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 142 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 64 | 26.4% | 17.6% | 1.12 | 4.92 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |