Jairo Solis prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Jairo Solis P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%17.8%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP43

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	15	10	61	257	69	21	3	67%	4.1	18.3%	10.2%	8.0%	1.6%	2.64	3.75	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	15	10	61	257	69	21	3	67%	4.1	26.8%	8.2%	18.7%	1.2%	2.64	2.51	—
2018	18	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	13	11	51	225	51	32	1	85%	3.9	16.8%	16.8%	-0.0%	0.6%	3.55	4.14	—
2018	18	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	13	11	51	225	51	32	1	85%	3.9	22.7%	14.2%	8.4%	0.4%	3.55	3.24	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	18	14	62	308	50	37	13	78%	3.4	14.0%	10.8%	3.1%	5.2%	8.46	6.13	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	18	14	62	308	50	37	13	78%	3.4	14.0%	10.8%	3.1%	5.2%	8.46	6.13	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	18	14	62	308	50	37	13	78%	3.4	16.2%	12.0%	4.2%	4.2%	8.46	6.02	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	HOU	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	17.8%	10.0%	7.8%	3.2%	5.00	5.00	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	HOU	7	7	43	180	33	18	6	100%	6.1	18.4%	10.0%	8.3%	3.2%	4.96	4.97	-0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	HOU	3	3	18	76	14	8	2	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.0%	8.3%	3.2%	4.96	4.97	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	18	76	14	8	2	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.0%	8.3%	3.2%	4.96	4.59	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	155	88	22	100%	6.0	18.4%	10.0%	8.3%	3.2%	4.96	4.59	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		46	35	174	790	128	97	21	76%	3.8	16.2%	12.3%	3.8%	2.7%	4.98	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		53	40	200	910	147	112	25	76%	3.8	16.2%	12.3%	3.8%	2.7%	4.98	4.79	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jairo Solis (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	17.8%	10.0%	3.2%	—	4.97	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.03	—	—	—
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	86
Jake Walters R 2022 · 4.03 FIP	26	SP-	4.03	17.0%	9.4%	2.1%	.316	5.85	15.2%	1.3%	72	+1.82	3.51	261	83
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	81
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.03	21.1%	11.2%	132	-0.28	2.50	213	79
André Rienzo R 2014 · 5.13 FIP	26	SP-	5.13	16.3%	10.6%	3.8%	.324	4.13	17.5%	4.8%	171	-1.00	3.53	321	79
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	79
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	284	79
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	78
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.83	14.2%	5.0%	81	+1.12	4.43	239	77
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.27	22.8%	15.4%	121	+0.08	2.98	262	77
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	77
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	77
Bradley Brehmer R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SP	4.43	14.6%	9.5%	2.5%	.349	3.27	20.0%	11.5%	94	-1.16	2.83	165	77
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.42	20.6%	11.4%	217	-0.41	3.07	280	77
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.05	17.5%	10.6%	280	-0.88	3.90	299	77
Nick Pasquale R 2017 · 4.74 FIP	26	SP-	4.74	16.8%	12.7%	2.6%	.306	3.80	17.9%	6.3%	50	-0.94	3.19	308	76
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	76
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	76
Britt Reames R 2000 · 4.49 FIP	26	SP	4.49	18.2%	12.9%	2.4%	.230	4.35	21.9%	11.5%	163	-0.14	3.76	204	76
Brian Stokes R 2006 · 3.98 FIP	26	SP-	3.98	13.6%	8.2%	1.8%	.345	4.51	14.3%	6.3%	166	+0.53	3.96	207	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	43	18.1%	10.0%	1.25	4.98
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96