Santiago Florez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Santiago Florez P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 222 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%21.4%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates	14	14	53	245	30	38	2	100%	3.8	8.3%	19.4%	-11.1%	1.1%	4.56	5.48	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates	14	14	53	245	30	38	2	100%	3.8	12.2%	15.5%	-3.3%	0.8%	4.56	4.60	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	10	10	43	190	35	22	0	100%	4.3	12.5%	14.5%	-1.9%	0.0%	4.15	3.88	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	10	10	43	190	35	22	0	100%	4.3	18.4%	11.6%	6.8%	0.0%	4.15	3.01	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	18	96	405	107	35	9	86%	4.6	19.8%	10.0%	9.8%	2.2%	4.14	3.93	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	18	96	405	107	35	9	86%	4.6	26.4%	8.6%	17.8%	2.2%	4.14	3.18	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	32	5	64	298	61	28	9	16%	2.0	15.8%	10.8%	5.0%	3.0%	6.50	4.77	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	32	5	64	298	61	28	9	16%	2.0	20.5%	9.4%	11.1%	3.0%	6.50	4.34	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	37	0	41	191	40	24	7	0%	1.1	16.1%	14.5%	1.7%	3.8%	7.08	5.66	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	37	0	41	191	40	24	7	0%	1.1	16.1%	14.5%	1.7%	3.8%	7.08	5.66	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	37	0	41	191	40	24	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	12.6%	8.4%	3.7%	7.08	5.14	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.4%	11.3%	10.1%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	PIT	23	0	24	100	22	11	3	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.2%	10.4%	3.1%	4.74	4.76	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	PIT	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.2%	10.4%	3.1%	4.74	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	8	4	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.2%	10.4%	3.1%	4.74	4.38	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	92	23	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.2%	10.4%	3.1%	4.74	4.38	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		114	47	297	1329	202	175	28	41%	2.6	15.2%	13.2%	2.0%	2.1%	5.13	4.64	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	32	200	896	136	118	19	41%	2.6	15.2%	13.2%	2.0%	2.1%	5.13	4.64	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Santiago Florez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	21.4%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.76	21.6%	10.4%	24	+0.00	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	79
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	78
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	77
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	75
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	74
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	74
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	74
Hunter Gregory R 2023 · 4.06 FIP	24	SW	4.06	20.0%	12.1%	2.0%	.322	5.10	20.1%	8.3%	161	+1.04	3.84	249	74
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	73
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	73
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	73
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	73
David Pauley R 2008 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	16.4%	7.5%	3.0%	.429	4.30	13.8%	7.3%	165	+0.00	3.51	210	72
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	72
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	72
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	72
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	71