Yovanny Cruz — OGILVIE

Yovanny Cruz P Rochester Red Wings

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%23.4%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%6.0%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL2020

CMD4040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 1	13	12	56	238	54	14	3	92%	4.3	15.4%	7.4%	8.1%	1.8%	3.51	3.70	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 1	13	12	56	238	54	14	3	92%	4.3	22.7%	5.9%	16.8%	1.3%	3.51	2.62	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	10	10	44	184	50	13	1	100%	4.4	18.5%	8.8%	9.6%	0.8%	2.86	3.08	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	10	10	44	184	50	13	1	100%	4.4	27.2%	7.1%	20.1%	0.5%	2.86	2.01	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	4	4	9	41	7	7	0	100%	2.2	17.1%	17.1%	0.0%	0.0%	4.00	3.82	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	4	4	9	41	7	7	0	100%	2.2	17.1%	17.1%	0.0%	0.0%	4.00	3.88	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	14	57	20	2	2	0%	1.4	35.1%	3.5%	31.6%	3.5%	3.95	2.51	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	14	57	20	2	2	0%	1.4	35.1%	3.5%	31.6%	3.5%	3.95	2.51	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	21	93	24	10	0	0%	1.3	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	0.0%	1.71	2.96	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	21	93	24	10	0	0%	1.3	20.4%	12.5%	7.9%	0.0%	1.71	2.96	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	21	93	24	10	0	0%	1.3	25.8%	10.8%	15.1%	0.0%	1.71	2.24	—
2024	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	23	0	30	141	35	16	2	0%	1.3	20.1%	12.5%	7.6%	1.8%	4.55	3.96	—
2024	24	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	23	0	30	141	35	16	2	0%	1.3	20.1%	12.5%	7.6%	1.8%	4.55	3.96	—
2024	24	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	23	0	30	141	35	16	2	0%	1.3	24.8%	11.3%	13.5%	1.4%	4.55	3.23	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	34	0	59	255	72	43	5	0%	1.7	22.9%	18.5%	4.3%	2.1%	3.03	4.67	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	34	0	59	255	72	43	5	0%	1.7	22.9%	18.5%	4.3%	2.1%	3.03	4.67	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	34	0	59	255	72	43	5	0%	1.7	28.2%	16.9%	11.4%	2.0%	3.03	3.94	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			11	0	10	47	11	7	1	0%	0.9	23.4%	14.9%	8.5%	2.1%	5.23	4.26	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	49	0	53	237	70	25	5	0%	1.1	25.8%	8.5%	17.2%	2.3%	3.74	3.27	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	49	0	53	237	70	25	5	0%	1.1	25.8%	8.5%	17.2%	2.3%	3.74	3.27	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	WSH	38	0	43	190	59	18	4	0%	1.1	31.1%	9.5%	21.6%	2.1%	3.38	2.83	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	WSH	11	0	10	47	11	7	1	0%	0.9	23.4%	14.9%	8.5%	2.1%	5.23	4.18	+0.0
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	WSH	11	0	10	47	11	7	1	0%	0.9	23.4%	14.9%	8.5%	2.1%	5.23	4.18	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB MLE	WSH	5	0	5	23	5	4	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	17.4%	6.0%	2.7%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	WSH	5	0	5	21	5	4	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	17.4%	6.0%	2.7%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	WSH	—	—	58	260	75	29	6	—	—	29.0%	11.2%	17.8%	2.2%	3.83	3.42	+0.8
FULL	26	MLB A+C	WSH	—	—	16	66	75	29	6	—	—	113.4%	43.6%	69.8%	8.4%	14.23	3.68	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	66	0	69	291	67	50	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	17.3%	5.7%	2.7%	5.21	5.22	-0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	64	0	67	282	65	48	8	0%	1.0	22.9%	16.8%	6.1%	2.9%	5.20	5.24	-0.5
2029	29	MLB MLE	WSH	61	0	64	270	61	45	8	0%	1.0	22.7%	16.7%	6.0%	3.0%	5.26	5.32	-0.5
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	63	0	66	279	64	48	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	17.3%	5.7%	2.7%	5.21	5.22	-0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	61	0	64	270	62	45	8	0%	1.0	22.9%	16.8%	6.1%	2.9%	5.20	5.24	-0.5
2029	29	MLB CTX	WSH	58	0	61	258	58	43	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	16.7%	6.0%	3.0%	5.26	5.32	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		197	0	206	871	200	147	25	0%	1.0	22.9%	16.8%	6.1%	2.8%	5.21	4.84	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	0	200	848	195	143	24	0%	1.0	22.9%	16.8%	6.1%	2.8%	5.21	4.84	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		159	26	286	1246	264	139	21	16%	1.8	21.2%	11.2%	10.0%	1.7%	3.37	3.65	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	18	200	871	185	98	15	16%	1.8	21.2%	11.2%	10.0%	1.7%	3.37	3.65	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yovanny Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	22.9%	18.5%	2.7%	—	5.26	22.9%	6.0%	200	-0.11	—	—	—
Brian Ellington R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	26	SU	4.75	25.5%	14.9%	3.5%	.283	5.61	22.4%	5.3%	29	+0.86	2.75	233	78
Michael Petersen R 2019 · 4.52 FIP	25	SU	4.52	21.8%	17.0%	2.0%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	399	75
Sean Reynolds R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	19.6%	15.8%	1.7%	.315	4.29	20.2%	6.6%	109	-0.10	3.62	258	73
Ryan Zeferjahn R 2023 · 5.71 FIP	25	SU	5.71	27.0%	21.6%	3.9%	.292	3.71	28.6%	17.5%	185	-2.00	3.08	344	72
Tayron Guerrero R 2017 · 5.93 FIP	26	SU	5.93	18.6%	18.9%	3.6%	.250	4.65	23.0%	9.6%	104	-1.28	2.24	374	72
José A. Váldez R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	22.2%	13.1%	2.9%	.205	4.22	19.6%	8.3%	211	-0.28	4.02	328	71
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	71
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	70
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	70
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	70
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	69
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	69
Dario Beltre R 2019 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.4%	17.0%	1.4%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.71	110	69
Chris Perry R 2016 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	21.3%	19.3%	0.9%	.254	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	113	69
Mitchell Stumpo R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	26	SU	4.55	24.0%	16.8%	2.4%	.225	5.67	21.5%	6.6%	78	+1.12	3.97	158	69
Noah Murdock R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.8%	17.1%	1.8%	.314	3.18	22.5%	9.0%	144	-1.38	2.60	306	69
Brandon Johnson R 2023 · 4.94 FIP	24	SU	4.94	22.4%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	4.49	22.0%	11.9%	189	-0.45	3.35	250	69
Kyle Wilcox R 2019 · 5.16 FIP	25	SU	5.16	25.1%	21.2%	2.7%	.310	5.57	25.1%	-1.5%	13	+0.41	2.78	310	69
Jacob Webb R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	24	SU	4.55	19.8%	15.3%	2.1%	.283	4.56	18.8%	8.2%	155	+0.01	3.33	268	69
Cody Scroggins R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SU	4.50	20.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.351	3.78	14.2%	4.6%	18	-0.72	3.78	108	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	22.9%	17.3%	1.09	5.26
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Michael Kopech ('24)	1.9	96	26.1%	12.5%	1.45	4.15
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91