Triston Casas

1B Boston Red Sox

Age 27 L/R 6'4" / 244 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 3.186 · Ctrl thru 2029 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBD6040-MANArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	23	MLBBOS	502	.263/.368/.490	24	0	137	1.2
2024	24	MLBBOS	243	.241/.337/.462	13	0	116	0.1
2025	25	MLBBOS	112	.182/.277/.303	3	0	57	-0.9
2027PROJ	27	MLBBOS	121	.231/.313/.430	5	1	104	0.1
2028PROJ65% MLB	28	MLBBOS	198	.229/.310/.425	8	1	102	0.0
2029PROJ65% MLB	29	MLBBOS	215	.226/.307/.418	9	0	100	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.186First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.4M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Arb-3$0.7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Bat Spd86

xwOBA85

Barrel%80

Chase%75

Avg EV69

Whiff%39

CompsKarim Garcia (age 28) · Jay Gibbons (age 27) · Adam LaRoche (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 97104vR 106

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .313 / .430

PA121

HR5

K%26

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO185

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3912.2%

xAVG

300.235

POWER55

Barrel%

8012.7

Avg EV

6990.4

Bat Spd

8675.1

EYE55

Chase%

7526.8%

SPEED30

Sprint

1024.4

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 343 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

282

—

wRC+

111

◀◀L

wOBA

333

304

◀L

ISO

196

177

◀L

BABIP

344

258

◀◀L

34.4%

28.7%

▶▶R

BB%

8.2%

10.3%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.186 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.4M
2028	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$0.5M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	493	422	107	25	5	19	58	116	7	3	2	254	353	472	825	218	300	24	12	361	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	42	33	8	3	1	1	8	8	0	1	0	242	390	485	875	242	280	19	19	377	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	329	275	78	12	2	13	49	63	3	6	3	284	398	484	881	200	323	19	15	390	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	97	78	29	6	0	1	17	18	2	0	1	372	495	487	982	115	475	19	18	444	186	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	95	76	15	1	0	5	19	23	0	1	0	197	358	408	766	211	208	24	20	348	122	+2	+0	-0	-8	+2	-0.4
2022	22	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	317	264	72	20	1	11	46	68	3	0	0	273	387	481	868	208	323	21	15	381	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	17	14	6	3	0	1	3	2	0	0	0	429	529	857	1.387	429	455	12	18	579	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	15	9	2	0	0	0	5	3	0	0	1	222	500	222	722		286	20	33	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	502	429	113	21	2	24	70	126	1	0	0	263	368	490	858	226	317	25	14	377	137	+22	+0	-12	-9	+11	1.2
2024	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	243	212	51	8	0	13	30	77	1	0	1	241	337	462	800	222	311	32	12	354	116	+5	-0	-4	-5	+5	0.1
2024	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	49	42	12	7	0	1	6	14	1	0	0	286	388	524	912	238	407	29	12	400	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	112	99	18	3	0	3	11	27	2	0	0	182	277	303	580	121	217	24	10	269	57	-6	+0	-3	-2	+2	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	952	816	197	33	2	45	130	253	4	1	1	241	348	452	801	211	292	27	14	356	127	+31	-0	-19	-24	+21	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	493	444	88	19	4	14	36	162	7	3	2	198	269	354	623	155	262	33	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	42	35	8	3	1	1	6	9	0	1	0	229	341	457	799	229	260	21	14	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	329	291	75	11	2	12	33	75	3	6	3	258	339	433	772	175	302	23	10	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	95	76	15	1	0	5	19	23	0	1	0	197	358	408	766	211	208	24	20	348	122	+2	+0	-0	-8	+2	-0.4
2022	22	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	317	279	64	15	1	9	31	81	3	0	0	229	313	387	700	158	280	26	10	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	17	15	5	2	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	333	412	667	1.078	333	294	18	12	382	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	502	431	111	19	2	25	68	126	1	0	0	258	360	485	845	227	317	25	14	370	137	+22	+0	-12	-9	+11	1.2
2024	24	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	243	216	50	7	0	13	26	77	1	0	1	231	317	444	761	213	311	32	11	340	116	+5	-0	-4	-5	+5	0.1
2024	24	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	49	44	11	6	0	1	4	17	1	0	0	250	327	455	781	205	373	35	8	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	112	101	18	3	0	3	9	27	2	0	0	178	259	297	556	119	217	24	8	252	57	-6	+0	-3	-2	+2	-0.9
2019	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	493	444	88	19	4	14	36	162	7	3	2	198	269	354	623	155	270	33	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A RAW	Greenville Drive	—	493	422	107	25	5	19	58	116	7	3	2	254	353	472	825	218	300	24	12	361	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	411	104	17	4	16	49	106	5	7	4	253	340	431	770	178	301	23	10	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	468	386	115	21	3	15	74	89	5	7	4	298	417	484	902	187	351	19	16	400	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	444	383	86	18	1	15	53	110	3	1	1	225	323	394	718	170	270	25	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	444	363	95	24	1	17	73	96	3	1	1	262	390	474	863	212	306	22	16	380	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	502	431	111	19	2	25	68	126	1	0	0	258	360	485	845	227	305	25	14	370	137	+22	+0	-12	-9	+11	1.2
2023	23	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	502	429	113	21	2	24	70	126	1	0	0	263	368	490	858	226	317	25	14	377	137	+22	+0	-12	-9	+11	1.2
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	292	260	60	13	0	14	30	94	2	0	1	231	315	442	757	212	303	32	10	337	114	+5	-0	-4	-5	+6	0.2
2024	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	292	254	63	15	0	14	36	91	2	0	1	248	346	472	818	224	329	31	12	362	114	+5	-0	-4	-5	+6	0.2
2025	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	112	101	18	3	0	3	9	27	2	0	0	178	259	297	556	119	211	24	8	252	57	-6	+0	-3	-2	+2	-0.9
2025	25	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	—	112	99	18	3	0	3	11	27	2	0	0	182	277	303	580	121	217	24	10	269	57	-6	+0	-3	-2	+2	-0.9
2019	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	493	447	88	19	4	14	36	162	7	3	2	197	269	351	620	154	262	33	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	468	411	104	17	4	16	49	106	5	7	4	253	340	431	770	178	297	23	10	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	444	385	86	18	1	15	53	110	3	1	1	223	323	392	716	169	265	25	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	502	428	111	19	2	25	68	126	1	0	0	259	360	488	848	229	317	25	14	370	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	292	258	60	13	0	14	30	94	2	0	1	233	315	446	761	213	322	32	10	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	112	100	18	3	0	3	9	27	2	0	0	180	259	300	559	120	217	24	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	292	258	60	13	0	14	30	94	2	0	1	233	315	446	761	213	322	32	10	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	112	100	18	3	0	3	9	27	2	0	0	180	259	300	559	120	217	24	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BOS	100%	180	159	37	7	1	8	17	46	2	1	1	225	307	423	730	198	263	26	9	323	104	+1	-0	-0	-3	+4	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	BOS	100%	121	108	24	5	0	5	11	31	1	1	0	231	313	430	743	199	274	26	9	328	104	+1	+0	-0	-2	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	305	270	61	12	1	13	29	79	3	1	1	223	305	418	723	195	262	26	10	320	102	+1	-0	-1	-5	+7	0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	331	293	65	13	1	14	31	87	4	1	1	220	302	411	712	190	260	26	9	315	100	-0	-0	-2	-6	+7	-0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	BOS	65%	347	308	67	13	1	14	32	92	4	1	1	216	297	401	699	185	257	27	9	310	96	-2	-0	-3	-6	+8	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	198	175	41	9	1	8	19	52	2	1	1	229	310	425	735	196	272	26	10	325	102	+1	-0	-1	-4	+4	0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	215	191	43	9	0	9	20	57	2	0	0	226	307	418	725	192	270	27	9	321	100	-0	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	BOS	65%	226	201	45	10	0	9	21	60	2	0	0	222	303	408	711	186	267	27	9	315	96	-1	+0	-2	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1591	1383	326	61	3	71	190	422	10	2	2	236	332	438	770	202	285	27	12	341	103	+30	-0	-23	-36	+34	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	133	25	1	29	78	172	4	1	1	235	332	437	769	202	284	26	12	341	103	+12	-0	-9	-15	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3415	3009	684	132	14	133	348	914	32	15	11	227	314	413	727	186	278	27	10	320	103	+30	-1	-25	-44	+45	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	130	25	3	25	66	174	6	3	2	227	313	412	725	185	278	27	10	320	103	+10	-0	-8	-14	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jonny Gomeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,978 PA	6.0	3,978	162	50	243	335	438	-43	-67	8.3	9.2
/162	664	27	8	-7.1	-11.1	1.4	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	2.6	1,725	78	4	234	326	437	-31	-43	4.6	4.8
/162	664	30	1	-11.9	-16.7	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Ray Demmitt'09-'19 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,870 PA	2.8	1,870	8	42	257*	335*	438*	-15	-14	4.0	4.0
/162	664	3	15	-5.5	-5.0	1.4	pk7: 4
#3Harry Simpson'51-'59 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,137 PA	4.7	3,137	73	17	260*	317*	433*	-32	-40	2.8	3.3
/162	664	15	4	-6.7	-8.5	0.6	pk7: 4
#4Jimmy Ripple'36-'43 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,022 PA	3.0	2,022	28	7	264*	331*	423*	-12	-26	3.0	3.0
/162	664	9	2	-4.0	-8.5	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ji Man Choilast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,823 PA	2.7	1,823	65	6	234	338	423	-33	-31	1.8	1.8
/162	664	24	2	-11.9	-11.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	2.5	1,653	64	6	237	329	420	-28	-31	1.0	1.7
/162	664	26	2	-11.3	-12.4	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Triston Casas (OGILVIE)	27	40	55	30	55	223/305/419	196	263	6	1	26%	9%	104	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Karim Garcia 2004 · MLB	28	49	60	34→50	43	268/304/472	204	288	31	3	20%	5%	116	+2.5	242/286/408	166	268	22	7	19%	6%	93	+0.8	267/312/437	170	304	19	10	19%	6%	108	+1.0
●Jay Gibbons 2004 · MLB	27	50→53	56→60	36→30	50	260/310/457	197	263	24	2	13%	6%	114	+2.4	264/312/450	186	275	22	2	14%	7%	113	+2.3	265/316/454	189	274	23	0	13%	7%	116	+1.8
●Adam LaRoche 2007 · MLB	27	50→53	61→65	34→40	49	268/328/499	231	298	29	2	21%	8%	130	+3.5	268/333/478	210	312	25	2	22%	9%	127	+3.3	267/334/470	203	312	23	1	22%	9%	126	+3.3
●Trevor Plouffe 2013 · MLB	27	44→54	57→60	40→45	47	236/297/432	196	262	25	5	22%	7%	103	+1.6	249/311/417	168	289	19	3	20%	8%	105	+1.7	249/313/413	164	289	17	2	20%	8%	105	+1.6
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	42→49	54→60	42→50	56	219/324/399	180	269	22	4	27%	12%	106	+1.8	220/322/398	178	276	23	6	28%	11%	105	+1.7	205/316/378	174	254	24	6	28%	11%	98	+0.6
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB	26	46→47	54→55	40	44	241/291/416	175	278	23	3	23%	6%	97	+1.1	218/272/379	161	262	19	3	24%	6%	82	-0.0	225/297/368	143	264	15	1	20%	8%	87	+0.2
●Max Kepler 2020 · MLB	27	45→55	60	37→50	56	241/324/462	220	248	27	4	17%	10%	120	+2.8	231/318/429	198	246	24	8	18%	10%	110	+2.1	230/316/412	182	253	22	6	19%	10%	106	+1.4
✕Devin Mesoraco 2015 · MLB	27	47→50	56→60	35→40	48	249/316/438	189	281	24	3	21%	8%	112	+2.2	231/311/393	162	270	19	6	22%	9%	100	+1.3	208/295/367	159	233	21	1	21%	9%	89	+0.2
✕Jorge Guzman 2012 · AAA	28	40→50	57→55	38→40	46	224/279/407	184	247	27	4	23%	7%	91	+0.7	231/281/379	148	272	19	4	22%	6%	85	+0.2	225/274/347	122	271	16	3	23%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Rowdy Tellez 2022 · MLB	27	47→53	57→60	43→45	47	249/310/450	201	281	26	3	22%	7%	112	+2.2	228/296/420	192	252	26	3	21%	8%	100	+1.3	221/291/406	185	244	26	1	22%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Jeff Clement 2011 · MLB	27	44→49	53→55	38→30	42	233/283/410	177	282	21	3	26%	6%	93	+0.8	217/262/368	151	274	16	3	26%	6%	75	-0.5	200/247/340	141	249	15	1	26%	6%	60	-0.9
●Chris Duncan 2007 · MLB	26	48→50	57→60	39→40	48	251/319/449	199	304	26	3	26%	9%	115	+2.4	244/326/420	176	302	22	4	25%	11%	111	+2.1	232/324/387	155	287	18	2	24%	12%	103	+1.0
✕Tommy Joseph 2017 · MLB	26	46→48	58→60	40→30	44	250/296/447	198	270	27	3	20%	5%	107	+1.8	239/290/422	183	283	24	3	24%	6%	99	+1.2	232/284/416	184	274	24	1	25%	6%	95	+0.7
✕Eric Munson 2006 · MLB	28	42→43	59→60	44→40	46	232/291/435	203	254	28	4	22%	7%	102	+1.5	220/286/380	160	250	20	4	21%	8%	87	+0.4	200/275/334	134	227	15	1	20%	8%	72	-0.3
●Daniel Vogelbach 2020 · MLB	27	43→53	59→60	42→40	60	233/339/438	205	267	28	2	24%	14%	120	+2.8	232/346/425	193	276	25	2	24%	15%	120	+2.8	238/354/415	177	288	23	0	24%	15%	121	+1.8
✕Rougned Odor 2021 · MLB	27	37→47	59→60	41→50	45	210/278/416	206	249	28	10	29%	8%	93	+0.8	207/280/377	170	248	21	6	26%	7%	85	+0.2	201/278/356	155	240	19	5	25%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ike Davis 2015 · MLB	28	44→54	52→60	37→40	59	228/325/398	170	265	20	3	22%	13%	106	+1.8	218/293/353	135	278	14	3	25%	10%	83	+0.1	209/276/327	118	268	12	0	25%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Gavin Sheets 2023 · MLB	27	46→53	53→55	43→40	46	242/298/414	172	279	22	3	22%	7%	99	+1.3	231/293/378	147	269	17	3	21%	8%	89	+0.5	234/311/393	159	270	18	3	20%	9%	100	+1.1
✕Yasmany Tomás 2018 · MLB	27	48→54	57→60	41→40	42	255/297/453	198	302	26	4	25%	6%	108	+1.9	218/249/388	170	290	22	4	32%	4%	75	-0.5	200/224/359	160	270	21	3	35%	3%	56	-1.2
✕Cody Decker 2013 · AAA	26	38→39	59→65	38→30	42	213/275/417	204	266	28	3	32%	7%	93	+0.8	201/264/383	182	277	23	2	35%	7%	80	-0.1	175/244/325	149	254	20	0	38%	8%	59	-0.5

Triston Casas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps