Eli Wilson — OGILVIE

Eli WilsonC Indianapolis Indians

Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .277 / .352

PA170

HR4

K%27

BB%7

ISO135

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	219	191	45	10	2	2	20	80	7	0	0	236	330	340	671	105	391	37	9	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	219	175	50	11	2	4	36	59	7	0	0	286	427	440	867	154	407	27	16	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	220	200	37	4	1	3	11	75	6	1	2	185	249	260	509	75	274	34	5	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	220	193	45	5	2	6	18	56	6	1	2	233	318	373	691	140	293	25	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	202	182	34	6	1	5	14	42	3	3	1	187	256	313	569	126	213	21	7	245	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	202	174	42	9	1	7	22	32	3	3	1	241	337	425	762	184	257	16	11	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Altoona Curve	—	75	69	10	1	0	4	5	28	0	3	1	145	203	333	536	188	158	37	7	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Altoona Curve	—	75	67	11	1	0	3	7	20	0	3	1	164	243	313	557	149	178	27	9	250	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	60	57	13	2	0	2	1	21	1	0	0	228	254	368	623	140	324	35	2	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	60	56	14	2	0	2	2	17	1	0	0	250	288	393	681	143	324	28	3	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	PIT	—	170	155	34	6	1	4	11	46	2	3	1	219	280	348	628	129	281	27	6	283	75	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	PIT	33%	243	222	49	9	1	6	17	65	2	4	1	221	282	351	634	131	282	27	7	285	76	-6	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.4
2028	30	MLB	PIT	46%	290	265	58	11	1	7	20	78	3	4	1	219	281	347	628	128	281	27	7	285	76	-8	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2029	31	MLB	PIT	54%	278	253	55	10	1	7	20	75	3	4	1	217	283	348	630	130	279	27	7	283	75	-8	+0	-3	+5	+8	0.3
2030	32	MLB	PIT	58%	258	236	50	9	1	6	18	70	2	3	1	212	273	335	608	123	277	27	7	279	71	-8	+0	-4	+5	+7	0.0
2027	29	MLB	PIT	33%	79	73	16	3	0	2	5	21	1	1	0	219	278	342	621	123	280	27	6	277	70	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	30	MLB	PIT	46%	133	122	27	5	1	3	9	36	1	2	1	221	280	352	633	131	280	27	7	277	70	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2029	31	MLB	PIT	54%	149	137	30	5	1	4	10	40	1	2	1	219	277	358	635	139	278	27	7	275	69	-5	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.0
2030	32	MLB	PIT	58%	150	137	30	5	1	4	11	41	1	2	0	219	282	358	640	139	275	27	7	271	65	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	511	469	103	18	3	13	35	138	4	7	2	220	280	354	633	134	280	27	7	275	68	-18	+1	-5	+9	+14	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	132	23	4	17	45	176	5	9	3	221	282	358	640	137	282	27	7	275	68	-23	+1	-6	+12	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2015	1830	385	68	9	46	137	580	29	25	9	210	276	333	609	122	279	29	7	271	66	-78	+1	-10	+36	+57	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	125	22	3	15	44	187	9	8	3	212	276	336	612	124	281	29	7	271	66	-25	+0	-3	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	67	59	12	3	2	1	5	21	3	0	0	203	299	373	671	169	297	31	7	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	152	116	38	8	0	3	31	38	4	0	0	328	483	474	958	147	461	25	20	431	188	+15	+0	—	—	+4	2.0
2022	24	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	220	193	45	5	2	6	18	56	6	1	2	233	318	373	691	140	293	25	8	309	95	-1	-1	—	—	+6	0.4
2023	25	AA	Altoona Curve	—	65	61	16	2	0	3	3	12	0	1	1	262	297	443	739	180	283	18	5	321	104	+0	-0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	25	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	137	113	26	7	1	4	19	20	3	2	0	230	356	416	771	186	244	15	14	343	121	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	26	AA	Altoona Curve	—	75	67	11	1	0	3	7	20	0	3	1	164	243	313	557	149	178	27	9	250	49	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	27	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	35	34	10	2	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	294	314	441	755	147	391	29	3	334	114	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	27	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	25	22	4	0	0	1	1	7	1	0	0	182	250	318	568	136	214	28	4	249	49	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	528	13	7	220	279	352	+9	+8	0.8	0.8
	/162	664	17	9	220	279	352	+11.9	+10.1	1.0	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Wilson (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	218/277/352	134	281	4	3	27%	7%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pedro Severino 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	49→50	48→45	49	233/301/374	141	274	17	6	22%	8%	90	+1.0	239/299/374	135	304	15	6	25%	8%	89	+1.0	230/288/355	125	295	14	6	26%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB	28	43	48→50	44→45	45	219/279/365	145	272	15	5	25%	7%	79	+0.3	213/262/323	110	282	10	6	27%	6%	59	-1.1	198/242/289	91	267	7	4	28%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB	28	41	48→45	46→30	43	210/274/348	137	279	17	4	30%	8%	72	-0.2	197/260/308	111	344	12	5	43%	7%	56	-1.3	179/245/267	88	331	10	1	45%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Brett Hayes 2012 · MLB	28	43	48→45	48→40	43	220/269/365	145	274	16	4	26%	6%	74	-0.1	217/256/369	152	290	18	6	31%	5%	70	-0.3	187/219/319	133	241	16	2	30%	3%	36	-1.1
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→38	46→50	46→45	51	190/285/315	126	261	13	9	31%	11%	69	-0.4	190/284/317	127	263	14	10	31%	11%	69	-0.4	173/272/299	126	234	15	8	31%	11%	58	-0.7
✕Chris Owings 2020 · MLB	28	43→53	47→50	48→55	41	219/272/353	134	292	14	16	30%	6%	72	-0.2	214/278/359	145	296	16	14	31%	8%	76	+0.1	184/261/307	123	264	15	11	35%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Francisco Peña 2019 · MLB	29	44→46	47→55	48→40	40	226/263/353	127	273	15	6	24%	5%	68	-0.5	221/263/389	168	255	23	5	24%	5%	78	+0.2	198/243/382	184	213	28	1	23%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Andrew Susac 2017 · MLB	27	41→40	47→50	47→30	43	210/272/345	135	276	15	3	29%	7%	70	-0.3	196/269/337	141	275	17	5	33%	9%	68	-0.5	165/254/305	140	229	19	0	35%	10%	53	-0.5
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jett Bandy 2019 · MLB	29	43	48→50	47→45	41	218/283/355	137	263	16	6	24%	5%	79	+0.3	206/269/342	136	270	17	5	30%	5%	69	-0.4	174/240/294	120	233	17	0	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/285/393	164	294	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.9	197/266/322	125	295	12	18	35%	8%	62	-0.9	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	40	47→50	48→40	48	204/290/339	135	259	14	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	218/297/342	124	289	13	7	27%	9%	81	+0.4	195/295/265	70	263	10	0	27%	12%	58	-0.2
✕Austin Wynns 2019 · MLB	28	47→51	45	47→30	44	235/285/349	114	286	14	3	23%	6%	76	+0.1	223/276/327	104	271	13	4	22%	6%	66	-0.6	235/302/338	104	290	12	3	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Riley Adams 2023 · MLB	27	41→42	50	42→40	43	209/294/364	155	295	17	3	34%	8%	85	+0.7	225/296/383	158	313	17	4	32%	7%	91	+1.1	219/289/370	151	311	17	2	33%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Chris Herrmann 2017 · MLB	29	47→48	47→50	57→50	46	230/294/372	142	295	13	11	26%	8%	86	+0.8	221/302/378	157	287	19	8	28%	10%	92	+1.2	209/296/361	152	272	19	4	29%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Zack Collins 2023 · MLB	28	36→43	49→50	46→40	50	190/284/340	150	262	16	6	32%	11%	75	-0.0	214/291/357	143	326	16	7	36%	10%	82	+0.5	207/287/340	133	326	15	4	38%	10%	73	-0.1
✕Tim Olson 2006 · MLB	27	46	48→50	45→50	45	232/289/379	147	283	15	12	24%	7%	86	+0.8	225/268/357	132	293	15	12	27%	5%	71	-0.3	205/244/322	117	273	14	12	30%	5%	50	-0.7
✕Matt Macri 2010 · MLB	28	41→38	48→55	43→45	41	212/261/361	149	264	15	7	26%	6%	70	-0.3	210/260/343	133	270	14	5	27%	6%	65	-0.7	204/255/332	128	261	13	2	27%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Andrew Knizner 2022 · MLB	27	43	43→50	48→40	50	212/293/324	112	254	11	6	21%	8%	75	-0.0	218/287/334	116	270	13	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	218/299/361	142	257	17	2	22%	7%	83	+0.2