Hans Crouse
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 180 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 98
ERA3.97
FIP4.30
K%31.7%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%18.0%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1088.1
Whiff%
p9035.4%
K%
p9031.8%
xwOBA vs
p650.297
FB+5.3 (50%)
SI (49%)
CH-0.9 (11%)
SL-1.0 (39%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 10 | 6 | 20 | 74 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 60% | 2.0 | 27.6% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 1.9% | 0.45 | 3.31 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 10 | 6 | 20 | 74 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 60% | 2.0 | 40.5% | 9.5% | 31.1% | 1.4% | 0.45 | 1.80 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 5 | 5 | 17 | 76 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.70 | 4.11 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 5 | 5 | 17 | 76 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | 19.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 1.3% | 2.70 | 3.52 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 19 | 19 | 88 | 367 | 76 | 19 | 12 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.3% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 4.41 | 4.29 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 19 | 19 | 88 | 367 | 76 | 19 | 12 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.7% | 5.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | 4.41 | 3.80 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 92 | 369 | 100 | 41 | 11 | 100% | 4.2 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 1.8% | 3.42 | 3.46 | +1.9 |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 92 | 369 | 100 | 41 | 11 | 100% | 4.2 | 27.1% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 3.42 | 3.82 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 5 | 5 | 12 | 63 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 2.5 | 18.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 13.14 | 4.61 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | 5 | 5 | 12 | 63 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 2.5 | 20.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 13.14 | 4.56 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 22 | 110 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.2% | 19.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.14 | 5.90 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 22 | 110 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.4% | 18.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 6.14 | 5.55 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 57 | 236 | 93 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 36.4% | 12.6% | 23.8% | 3.3% | 2.53 | 3.42 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 54 | 0 | 57 | 236 | 93 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 39.4% | 12.3% | 27.1% | 2.5% | 2.53 | 2.73 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.29 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.5 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 28 | 1 | 29 | 127 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 4% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.40 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BAL | 62 | 0 | 66 | 277 | 88 | 38 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 31.7% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 3.97 | 4.30 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BAL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.7% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 3.97 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 94 | 404 | 122 | 54 | 13 | — | — | 30.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 3.2% | 4.10 | 4.40 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 7 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 31.7% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 3.97 | 3.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 269 | 83 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 4.38 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 58 | 0 | 61 | 256 | 76 | 34 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.6% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 3.4% | 4.41 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.8% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 3.3% | 4.22 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 45 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.6% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 3.4% | 4.41 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 93 | 2 | 102 | 432 | 125 | 62 | 14 | 2% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 3.99 | 4.24 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 183 | 4 | 200 | 849 | 246 | 122 | 28 | 2% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 3.2% | 3.99 | 4.24 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 163 | 58 | 337 | 1425 | 325 | 153 | 39 | 36% | 2.1 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 3.92 | 4.03 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 34 | 200 | 845 | 193 | 91 | 23 | 36% | 2.1 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 3.92 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hans Crouse (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 31.7% | 13.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.46 | 30.2% | 16.8% | 124 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 68 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.33 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .309 | 6.08 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 22 | +2.75 | 2.33 | 480 | 64 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 63 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 62 |
| Luke Farrell R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 24.9% | 11.7% | 3.2% | .269 | 4.61 | 22.1% | 10.6% | 25 | +0.35 | 3.84 | 584 | 61 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 61 |
| Brad Brach R 2028 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 27.5% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .259 | 3.16 | 25.6% | 17.1% | 210 | -0.09 | 2.73 | 410 | 61 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 60 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 60 |
| Ryan Meisinger R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.55 | 30.5% | 11.1% | 4.8% | .300 | 5.92 | 21.8% | 5.7% | 55 | +1.37 | 2.62 | 335 | 60 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 60 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .277 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 2.7% | 45 | +0.84 | 3.74 | 163 | 60 |
| Noé Ramirez R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 24.9% | 8.7% | 3.6% | .269 | 3.88 | 26.1% | 18.8% | 172 | -0.23 | 3.41 | 423 | 60 |
| Dany Jiménez R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.37 | 34.4% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .286 | 4.68 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 107 | +1.31 | 3.14 | 321 | 60 |
| Colin McKee R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.77 | 29.3% | 13.5% | 4.4% | .302 | 4.40 | 16.6% | -4.7% | 14 | -0.37 | 4.10 | 148 | 59 |
| Nick Hernandez R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.70 | 27.5% | 12.4% | 4.3% | .227 | 3.49 | 28.0% | 17.1% | 171 | -1.21 | 2.97 | 404 | 59 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.01 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 5.1% | .261 | 4.52 | 30.7% | 16.5% | 88 | -0.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 59 |
| Greg Holland R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.21 | 25.4% | 13.0% | 1.1% | .316 | 3.35 | 26.4% | 14.2% | 104 | +0.14 | 1.97 | 268 | 59 |
| Cody Allen R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.19 | 33.0% | 9.5% | 3.0% | .229 | 4.21 | 29.4% | 19.2% | 157 | +1.02 | 1.58 | 295 | 59 |
| David Lebron R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.07 | 26.7% | 14.7% | 4.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 144 | 59 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 30.7% | 13.5% | 1.27 | 4.19 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| Michael Kopech ('24) | 4 | 96 | 26.1% | 12.5% | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |