Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -5.34 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | GCL Orioles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -2.90 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 75 | 302 | 94 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 23.5% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 0.9% | 1.57 | 2.62 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 0 | 75 | 302 | 94 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 31.1% | 7.0% | 24.2% | 1.0% | 1.57 | 1.95 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 41 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 67 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 0.9% | 3.00 | 2.92 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 41 | 0 | 63 | 265 | 67 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.3% | 7.5% | 17.7% | 0.8% | 3.00 | 2.34 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 67 | 279 | 76 | 25 | 11 | 2% | 1.3 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 4.16 | 4.39 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 50 | 1 | 67 | 279 | 76 | 25 | 11 | 2% | 1.3 | 27.2% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 3.9% | 4.16 | 4.09 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 21 | 3 | 35 | 154 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 14% | 1.7 | 24.0% | 6.8% | 17.2% | 3.7% | 3.09 | 3.97 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 21 | 3 | 35 | 154 | 42 | 10 | 5 | 14% | 1.7 | 27.3% | 6.5% | 20.8% | 3.2% | 3.09 | 3.41 | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 30.8% | -7.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.1% | 30.8% | -7.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 5.35 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 48 | 217 | 68 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.5% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 4.8% | 4.72 | 4.55 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 48 | 217 | 68 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 1.2 | 31.3% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 4.6% | 4.72 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 13 | 0 | 15 | 69 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.14 | 7.43 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Reno Aces | 13 | 0 | 15 | 69 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 6.14 | 6.78 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 40 | 185 | 50 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.3% | 18.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.30 | 5.37 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 40 | 185 | 50 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.0% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 6.30 | 4.88 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 33 | 1 | 37 | 164 | 36 | 22 | 9 | 3% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.82 | 5.90 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 177 | 5 | 200 | 883 | 193 | 118 | 48 | 3% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.82 | 5.90 | -1.2 | ||
| Career | — | 237 | 4 | 346 | 1487 | 358 | 152 | 44 | 2% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 3.65 | 4.00 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 137 | 2 | 200 | 860 | 207 | 88 | 26 | 2% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 3.65 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Meisinger (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.75 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 20 | +0.27 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 85 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 81 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.94 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .292 | 3.77 | 19.5% | 9.5% | 55 | -0.17 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 80 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.43 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 115 | 79 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 79 |
| Tyler Clippard R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 27.3% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .243 | 3.59 | 28.0% | 21.3% | 157 | -0.61 | 2.49 | 417 | 79 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 79 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.06 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .243 | 4.48 | 17.6% | 3.6% | 14 | +0.42 | 3.03 | 256 | 78 |
| Rafael Martín R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.79 | 20.5% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .265 | 3.93 | 21.3% | 15.8% | 110 | -0.86 | 2.85 | 227 | 78 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.51 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .290 | 3.93 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.42 | 3.51 | 219 | 77 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 1.7% | .338 | 4.07 | 24.4% | 11.0% | 97 | +0.63 | 2.73 | 410 | 77 |
| Logan Kensing R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 77 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 77 |
| James Hoyt R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.47 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .355 | 5.93 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 50 | +2.46 | 1.60 | 312 | 76 |
| Miguel Socolovich R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.60 | 20.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.59 | 18.4% | 13.7% | 42 | -0.01 | 2.60 | 283 | 76 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 76 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 76 |
| Manny Acosta R 2029 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 75 |