Kale Emshoff — OGILVIE

Kale EmshoffC Frisco RoughRiders

Age 28 R/R 6'2" / 228 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .241 / .305

PA11

HR0

K%36

BB%6

ISO123

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE39

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	33	27	6	2	0	0	6	13	0	0	0	222	364	296	660	74	429	39	18	314	99	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	234	198	54	14	1	10	30	74	5	0	0	273	382	505	887	232	383	32	13	390	150	+14	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	415	361	81	19	0	12	39	148	11	2	2	224	319	377	695	152	337	36	9	313	98	-1	-0	—	—	+9	0.8
2023	25	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	353	316	71	15	2	10	29	91	4	2	1	225	296	380	676	155	281	26	8	301	90	-4	+0	—	—	+8	0.3
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	93	87	19	6	0	3	5	38	1	0	0	218	269	391	660	172	348	41	5	293	84	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	26	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	143	127	35	7	0	7	11	41	3	2	0	276	348	496	844	220	346	29	8	367	134	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	27	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	16	2	0	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	125	263	125	388		250	42	16	205	25	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	33	29	4	1	0	0	4	17	0	0	0	138	242	172	415	34	365	52	12	216	32	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	234	208	39	10	1	6	20	103	5	0	0	188	275	332	606	144	314	44	9	258	61	-11	+0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2022	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	415	376	58	13	0	8	24	197	11	2	2	154	226	253	479	98	277	47	6	215	32	-34	-0	—	—	+9	-2.6
2023	25	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	353	325	57	12	2	7	22	122	4	2	1	175	236	289	526	114	247	35	6	231	42	-24	+0	—	—	+8	-1.7
2024	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	93	89	13	4	0	2	3	47	1	0	0	146	183	258	441	112	283	51	3	201	22	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	26	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	143	130	28	5	0	6	8	54	3	2	0	215	277	392	669	177	292	38	6	279	75	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	118	211	118	328		241	53	11	148	-14	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	267	237	42	11	1	6	24	121	5	0	0	177	267	308	575	131	324	45	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	267	225	60	16	1	10	36	87	5	0	0	267	380	480	860	213	388	33	13	381	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	415	376	58	13	0	8	24	197	11	2	2	154	226	253	479	98	286	47	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	415	361	81	19	0	12	39	148	11	2	2	224	319	377	695	152	337	36	9	313	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	353	325	57	12	2	7	22	122	4	2	1	175	236	289	526	114	253	35	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	353	316	71	15	2	10	29	91	4	2	1	225	296	380	676	155	281	26	8	301	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	236	219	41	9	0	8	11	101	4	2	0	187	239	338	577	151	295	43	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	236	214	54	13	0	10	16	79	4	2	0	252	316	453	770	201	346	33	7	338	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	118	211	118	328		286	53	11	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	16	2	0	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	125	263	125	388		250	42	16	205	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	267	236	42	11	1	6	24	121	5	0	0	178	267	309	576	131	320	45	9	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	415	377	58	13	0	8	24	197	11	2	2	154	226	252	478	98	277	47	6	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	353	324	57	12	2	7	22	122	4	2	1	176	236	290	527	114	247	35	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	236	219	41	9	0	8	11	101	4	2	0	187	239	338	577	151	288	43	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	118	211	118	328		241	53	11	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	353	324	57	12	2	7	22	122	4	2	1	176	236	290	527	114	247	35	6	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	236	219	41	9	0	8	11	101	4	2	0	187	239	338	577	151	288	43	5	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	19	17	2	0	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	118	211	118	328		241	53	11	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	TEX	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		267	36	9	247	54	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TEX	23%	194	178	35	7	1	5	12	67	2	3	1	197	255	331	587	135	269	35	6	253	57	-10	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	TEX	23%	44	41	8	2	0	1	3	15	0	1	0	195	250	317	567	122	271	34	7	250	57	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	44	41	8	2	0	1	3	15	0	1	0	195	250	317	567	122	280	34	7	250	45	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	119	30	0	15	44	222	0	15	0	196	251	320	571	124	282	34	7	250	45	-33	+3	-5	+12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1495	1362	236	52	4	34	96	622	26	9	4	173	241	292	533	119	282	42	6	235	45	-10	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	103	23	2	15	42	270	11	4	2	174	241	296	537	122	283	42	6	235	45	-33	+1	-4	+12	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kale Emshoff (OGILVIE)	28	20	50	45	39	184/241/305	122	267	3	2	36%	6%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Seby Zavala 2021 · AAA	27	37→40	48→50	43→40	35	193/247/329	135	288	17	5	38%	6%	61	-1.5	195/262/329	134	314	16	4	40%	8%	67	-1.1	191/270/315	124	298	14	1	38%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Arden Pabst 2023 · AA	28	36	48→45	48→30	33	192/233/327	135	282	18	6	38%	4%	55	-2.0	193/264/318	125	299	15	7	38%	8%	65	-1.2	107/209/207	100	155	15	0	42%	10%	19	-1.1
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA	28	34	46→45	43→40	42	181/255/303	122	248	15	5	33%	8%	59	-1.7	209/279/324	115	282	12	7	29%	8%	72	-0.7	201/279/293	92	266	9	0	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	47→50	45→40	40	199/259/332	133	276	16	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	210/269/319	109	308	10	9	33%	7%	66	-1.1	181/242/260	79	275	6	4	34%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	28	36→29	46→45	42→30	33	191/227/313	122	275	14	3	36%	4%	49	-2.4	183/220/279	96	282	9	4	37%	4%	38	-3.2	140/173/207	67	257	7	1	47%	3%	2	-2.1
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	44→45	48→40	33	194/233/309	115	283	13	6	36%	4%	51	-2.3	219/273/304	85	296	5	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	228/287/304	76	299	3	2	23%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Mark Thomas 2015 · AA	27	34→41	45	46→45	36	180/225/303	123	249	13	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	178/238/293	115	276	11	7	37%	6%	49	-2.4	137/196/248	112	199	9	6	35%	6%	21	-1.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	48→50	51→50	35	197/244/332	135	278	17	9	35%	5%	60	-1.6	219/269/349	130	282	14	11	27%	5%	73	-0.6	219/270/346	127	273	14	10	24%	5%	70	-0.5
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	38	46→50	47→30	41	194/260/321	128	274	14	4	33%	7%	64	-1.3	204/259/337	133	281	15	7	31%	6%	67	-1.1	167/218/340	174	195	23	0	29%	5%	51	-0.4
✕Taylor Snyder 2023 · AAA	28	35→34	52→50	52→50	34	191/237/352	161	283	21	11	40%	6%	63	-1.4	188/253/306	118	299	13	15	39%	8%	58	-1.7	142/223/229	87	220	11	21	38%	9%	28	-1.8
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	38	45	47→40	40	197/251/316	119	276	14	4	33%	7%	59	-1.6	196/255/316	120	281	15	5	34%	7%	61	-1.5	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Matt Spring 2013 · AA	28	35	47→45	39→45	36	182/241/311	130	287	15	4	41%	6%	55	-2.0	188/241/330	142	288	17	4	39%	6%	59	-1.7	164/217/307	142	242	17	0	39%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	43→45	48→30	43	194/259/298	104	257	12	6	29%	7%	58	-1.7	211/261/323	112	273	12	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	207/251/312	105	265	11	1	25%	5%	55	-0.8
✕David Masters 2021 · AA	28	43→37	47→45	44→40	43	214/279/348	134	291	15	4	31%	7%	77	-0.3	215/275/359	144	308	17	9	34%	7%	78	-0.3	171/232/331	160	227	25	6	37%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→32	46→45	51→45	43	183/260/311	127	264	14	9	35%	8%	62	-1.4	186/255/300	114	261	13	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	133/209/225	92	172	14	8	32%	7%	22	-1.9
✕Edwin Díaz 2023 · AAA	27	32→33	48→50	50→40	32	172/225/303	131	290	17	5	46%	6%	47	-2.6	186/245/326	140	291	17	7	40%	7%	59	-1.6	164/253/317	152	221	20	6	35%	9%	59	-0.6
✕John Nelson 2007 · AAA	28	34→35	47→45	48→45	37	180/240/310	130	274	16	9	39%	7%	54	-2.0	193/252/337	144	285	19	8	38%	7%	65	-1.2	158/218/302	144	215	22	0	38%	6%	43	-1.4