JJ Bleday

CF Cincinnati Reds
Age 29 L/L 6'2" / 205 lbs MLB HR +16%BB +6% Svc 3.169 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202426MLBOakland Athle…642.243/.324/.4372021162.6
202527MLBOAK344.212/.294/.40414190-0.3
202628MLBCIN545.217/.325/.4162461021.5
2027PROJ29MLBCIN569.226/.321/.4262461051.4
2028PROJ30MLBCIN644.223/.317/.4182641021.0
2029PROJ31MLBCIN631.219/.312/.407253980.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.8  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 3.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.169First FA2030
2027Arb-1$3M2028Arb-2$6M2029Arb-3$6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Whiff%85
xwOBA58
Barrel%53
Bat Spd53
Speed50
Form.219/.308/.383 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .223/.315/.412
CompsLaMonte Wade Jr. (age 29) · Yoshi Tsutsugo (age 29) · DJ Stewart (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 101105vR 106
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .321 / .426
PA569
HR24
SB6
K%23
BB%12
BABIP255
ISO200
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+4BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -5.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-5FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +12.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: +1.60+1.6WAR
0.01.12.11.61.00.627282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$11M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
857.4%
xAVG
230.229
POWER50
Barrel%
538.6
Avg EV
4288.5
Bat Spd
5371.7
EYE55
Chase%
9018.4%
SPEED50
Sprint
5027.5
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%22%·22% over 112 PA (60d) · proj 23%
BB%11%·11% over 112 PA (60d) · proj 12%
ISO.164▼.122 over 98 AB (60d) · proj .190
HR/BB5.2%▼4.1% over 74 BBE (60d) · proj 6.0%
BABIP.253·.239 over 71 BIP (60d) · proj .254
SLASH.219/.308/.383▼proj .223/.315/.412
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 986 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
198
788
—
wRC+
114
104
◀L
wOBA
336
321
◀L
ISO
212
188
◀L
BABIP
303
259
◀L
K%
25.3%
21.1%
▶▶R
BB%
6.6%
10.9%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2022
Service   3.169 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$3M+1.6$13M+$10M
2028Arb-2$6M+1.0$7M+$2M
2029Arb-3$6M+0.6$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $9M $22M +$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201921 A+Jupiter Hammerheads — 151140 36803 11290 00 257311379690 121306 197 310 57 — — — — — —
202123 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos — 468397 8422312 641013 53 212325373698 161250 2214 315 53 — — — — — —
202123 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 11595 30825 20230 20 3164356001.035 284373 2017 447 189 — — — — — —
202224 MLBMiami Marlins — 238204 341025 30672 41 167280309588 142216 2813 270 75 -7 +0 -2 +2 +5 -0.2
202224 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 367302 6913020 60995 11 228365470835 242268 2716 372 73 — — — — — —
202325 MLBOakland Athletics — 303256 5011010 42722 51 195313355669 160226 2414 303 95 -2 +1 -3 -5 +7 -0.2
202325 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 133108 36828 23180 11 3334506671.117 333333 1417 470 141 — — — — — —
202426 MLBOakland Athletics — 642572 13943420 671252 23 243324437762 194279 1910 337 116 +12 -1 -2 +2 +14 2.6
202527 MLBAthletics — 344307 6517014 36910 12 212294404698 192251 2610 311 90 -4 -1 -7 +2 +7 -0.3
202527 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 132119 42616 12250 31 353412571984 218404 199 427 107 — — — — — —
202628 MLBCincinnati Reds — 545466 10117224 721213 65 217325416741 200238 2213 330 102 +2 -1 +0 +2 +12 1.5
202628 AAALouisville Bats — 10485 29716 18231 10 3414626591.120 318411 2217 480 130 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 20721805 38998873 2474769 1812 216313400713 184250 2312 318 102 +4 -1 -15 +4 +45 3.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201921 A+ MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 151143 29703 8410 00 203245315560 112270 275 252 57 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLEPensacola Blue Wahoos — 468416 711829 451273 53 171256288545 118215 2710 246 53 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEMiami Marlins — 238204 351125 30672 41 172284319603 147216 2813 279 75 -7 +0 -2 +2 +5 -0.2
202224 AAA MLEJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp — 367318 5411013 441235 11 170281327608 157227 3412 276 73 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 303256 5111011 42722 51 199317371688 172226 2414 309 95 -2 +1 -3 -5 +7 -0.2
202325 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 133116 32626 15210 11 276359517876 241282 1611 377 141 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 642574 14042422 651252 23 244323446769 202279 1910 340 116 +12 -1 -2 +2 +14 2.6
202527 MLB MLEAthletics — 344309 6315014 34910 12 204283388671 184251 2610 301 90 -4 -1 -7 +2 +7 -0.3
202527 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 132123 35514 8290 31 285328439767 154339 226 326 107 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLECincinnati Reds — 545468 9917222 711213 65 212319397717 186238 2213 320 102 +2 -1 +0 +2 +12 1.5
202628 AAA MLELouisville Bats — 10491 24614 12281 10 264356484839 220334 2712 361 130 — — — — — —
201921 A+ MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 151143 29703 8410 00 203245315560 112263 275 252 57 — — — — — —
201921 A+ RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 151140 36803 11290 00 257311379690 121306 197 310 57 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE2 teams — 583519 8922312 571583 73 171257295552 123218 2710 246 53 — — — — — —
202123 AA RAW2 teams — 583492 11430517 841243 73 232347417764 185273 2114 341 53 — — — — — —
202224 AAA MLE2 teams — 605522 9022219 741907 52 172284331615 159225 3112 277 74 — — — — — —
202224 AAA RAW2 teams — 605506 10323225 901667 52 204332405737 202246 2715 332 74 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLE2 teams — 436372 8317217 57932 62 223329417746 194247 2113 330 109 +5 +0 -3 -5 +9 0.7
202325 MLB RAW2 teams — 436364 8619218 65902 62 236355448803 212261 2115 354 109 +5 +0 -3 -5 +9 0.7
202426 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 642574 14042422 651252 23 244323446769 202276 1910 340 116 +12 -1 -2 +2 +14 2.6
202426 MLB RAWOakland Athletics — 642572 13943420 671252 23 243324437762 194279 1910 337 116 +12 -1 -2 +2 +14 2.6
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 476432 9820118 421200 43 227295403698 176270 259 308 95 -3 -0 -7 +2 +10 0.1
202527 MLB RAW2 teams — 476426 10723120 481160 43 251327451778 200298 2410 343 95 -3 -0 -7 +2 +10 0.1
202628 MLB MLE2 teams — 649559 12323326 831494 75 220325411737 191251 2313 326 107 +5 -1 +0 +2 +14 2.2
202628 MLB RAW2 teams — 649551 13024330 901444 75 236347454800 218263 2214 354 107 +5 -1 +0 +2 +14 2.2
201921 A+ MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 151142 29703 8410 00 204245317562 113270 275 252 57 — — — — — —
202123 AA MLE2 teams — 583518 8922312 571583 73 172257295553 124215 2710 246 53 — — — — — —
202224 AAA MLE2 teams — 605519 9022219 741907 52 173284333617 160223 3112 277 74 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLE2 teams — 436374 8317217 57932 62 222329414744 193243 2113 330 109 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 642570 14042422 651252 23 246323449772 204279 1910 340 116 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 476431 9820118 421200 43 227295404699 176276 259 308 95 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLE2 teams — 649557 12323326 831494 75 221325413738 192253 2313 326 107 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 642570 14042422 651252 23 246323449772 204279 1910 340 116 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLE2 teams — 476431 9820118 421200 43 227295404699 176276 259 308 95 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLE2 teams — 649557 12323326 831494 75 221325413738 192253 2313 326 107 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLECIN 100% 569495 11023222 661303 61 223318412730 189254 2312 324 105 +4 +1 -5 +2 +12 1.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXCIN 100% 569495 11223224 661303 61 226321426746 199255 2312 330 105 +4 +1 -5 +2 +12 1.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLECIN 100% 644562 12426324 741493 41 220314404719 185252 2311 320 102 +2 +0 -8 +2 +14 1.0
202931 MLB MLECIN 100% 631552 11925223 721482 31 215309394703 179249 2311 314 98 -1 +0 -9 +2 +14 0.6
203032 MLB MLECIN 100% 619542 11423222 701482 31 210303381683 171244 2411 306 93 -5 +0 -9 +2 +13 0.1
203133 MLB MLECIN 100% 493434 8717216 551211 20 202295364658 161238 2511 296 86 -8 +0 -9 +2 +11 -0.4
203234 MLB MLECIN 100% 446393 7615114 491131 10 193284343628 150230 2511 283 78 -12 +0 -9 +2 +10 -1.0
202830 MLB CTXCIN 100% 644562 12525326 741493 41 223317418735 194253 2311 326 102 +2 +0 -8 +2 +14 1.0
202931 MLB CTXCIN 100% 631552 12024225 721482 31 219312407719 188250 2311 319 98 -1 +0 -9 +2 +14 0.6
203032 MLB CTXCIN 100% 619542 11523223 701482 31 213305393698 180245 2411 311 93 -5 +0 -9 +2 +13 0.1
203133 MLB CTXCIN 100% 493434 8917218 551211 20 205297375672 170239 2511 301 86 -8 +0 -9 +2 +11 -0.4
203234 MLB CTXCIN 100% 446393 7614115 491131 10 196287354641 158231 2511 288 78 -12 +0 -9 +2 +10 -1.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 49054288 91420118180 567115518 3115 213308394702 181247 2412 314 93 -20 +0 -60 +14 +106 4.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650568 12127224 751532 42 213307394701 181246 2412 314 93 -3 +0 -8 +2 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 69446099 128228227238 772168530 5022 210302382684 172248 2411 305 93 -17 +1 -65 +16 +119 5.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650571 12026322 721583 52 210302382684 172249 2411 305 93 -2 +0 -8 +2 +14 0.6