Brailyn Marquez — OGILVIE

Brailyn Marquez P Tennessee Smokies

Age 27 LHP 6'4" / 185 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%23.2%

BB%15.5%

K-BB%7.7%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

FB-0.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 1	12	12	55	228	48	23	1	100%	4.6	14.3%	12.6%	1.7%	0.6%	1.48	3.83	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 1	12	12	55	228	48	23	1	100%	4.6	21.1%	10.1%	11.0%	0.4%	1.48	2.84	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs	11	9	44	199	52	12	3	82%	4.0	17.8%	7.5%	10.2%	2.1%	5.52	3.71	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs	11	9	44	199	52	12	3	82%	4.0	26.1%	6.0%	20.1%	1.5%	5.52	2.44	—
2018	19	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	2	2	7	31	7	2	0	100%	3.5	22.6%	6.5%	16.1%	0.0%	2.57	2.01	—
2018	19	A RAW	South Bend Cubs	2	2	7	31	7	2	0	100%	3.5	22.6%	6.5%	16.1%	0.0%	2.57	1.96	—
2019	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	104	438	128	50	5	100%	4.7	21.8%	13.4%	8.4%	1.6%	3.13	3.84	—
2019	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	104	438	128	50	5	100%	4.7	29.2%	11.4%	17.8%	1.1%	3.13	2.70	—
2020	21	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	1	0	1	7	1	3	0	0%	0.7	14.3%	42.9%	-28.6%	0.0%	67.50	7.32	-0.0
2020	21	MLB RAW	Chicago Cubs	1	0	1	7	1	3	0	0%	0.7	14.3%	42.9%	-28.6%	0.0%	67.50	13.60	-0.1
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	23	2	31	155	44	38	1	9%	1.3	22.9%	30.2%	-7.3%	0.9%	4.99	5.48	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	23	2	31	155	44	38	1	9%	1.3	22.9%	30.2%	-7.3%	0.9%	4.99	5.48	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	23	2	31	155	44	38	1	9%	1.3	28.4%	24.5%	3.9%	0.6%	4.99	4.37	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	7	1	3	0	0%	0.7	14.3%	42.9%	-28.6%	0.0%	67.50	13.60	-0.1
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CHC	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	23.2%	15.5%	7.7%	2.9%	5.10	5.10	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CHC	3	3	20	84	20	13	3	100%	6.7	23.1%	15.1%	8.1%	3.1%	5.07	5.11	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	CHC	1	1	8	34	8	5	1	100%	8.0	23.1%	15.1%	8.1%	3.1%	5.07	5.11	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	1	8	39	8	8	1	50%	4.1	21.5%	20.1%	1.5%	2.5%	10.16	5.20	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		55	31	200	947	196	196	24	56%	3.6	21.5%	20.1%	1.5%	2.5%	10.16	5.20	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		71	47	241	1058	207	154	14	66%	3.4	19.6%	14.6%	5.0%	1.3%	3.59	4.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	39	200	879	172	128	12	66%	3.4	19.6%	14.6%	5.0%	1.3%	3.59	4.02	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brailyn Marquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	23.2%	15.5%	2.9%	—	5.11	23.1%	8.1%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
Brandon Knarr L 2023 · 5.04 FIP	25	SP-	5.04	24.8%	16.0%	3.7%	.450	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	256	62
Jimmy Robbins L 2023 · 4.69 FIP	25	SP-	4.69	17.8%	15.2%	2.1%	.290	5.79	18.9%	3.1%	13	+1.10	3.85	176	60
Luis Ysla L 2019 · 5.78 FIP	27	SP-	5.78	18.0%	14.4%	4.3%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	378	60
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	59
Matt Lujan L 2016 · 5.05 FIP	27	SP	5.05	18.5%	11.3%	3.8%	.319	4.69	14.3%	7.9%	70	-0.36	4.06	227	59
Garrett Williams L 2022 · 4.71 FIP	27	SP-	4.71	24.9%	14.2%	3.5%	.323	4.06	22.9%	1.9%	53	-0.65	3.37	470	59
Nick Allgeyer L 2023 · 5.70 FIP	27	SW	5.70	18.2%	12.1%	4.8%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	390	59
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.43	16.3%	8.9%	346	-0.44	3.70	569	58
Garrett Schoenle L 2023 · 5.38 FIP	25	SP-	5.38	20.5%	15.0%	3.9%	.307	3.59	20.9%	12.2%	172	-1.79	2.32	359	58
Lael Lockhart L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	25	SW	4.29	22.6%	12.9%	2.7%	.302	4.94	19.6%	8.8%	307	+0.65	3.59	520	58
Mike Minor L 2016 · 5.63 FIP	28	SP	5.63	19.2%	11.8%	4.8%	.330	3.76	23.2%	16.4%	443	-1.87	2.43	807	57
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	55
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	55
Taylor Varnell L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	26	SP	4.48	20.1%	10.3%	3.2%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	248	55
Luis Lugo L 2021 · 5.21 FIP	27	SP-	5.21	19.5%	13.2%	3.8%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	622	55
Tyler Alexander L 2019 · 5.56 FIP	27	SP-	5.56	21.7%	9.8%	5.6%	.289	5.27	15.7%	5.0%	26	-0.29	5.27	128	55
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	54
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	54
Chris Reed L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	26	SW	4.67	16.4%	9.8%	3.1%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	137	54
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	54