Brailyn Marquez
P
Tennessee Smokies
Age 27
LHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102111vR 120
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
K%23.4%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
FB-0.9
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs 1 | 12 | 12 | 55 | 228 | 48 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 14.3% | 12.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.48 | 3.83 | — |
| 2016 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cubs 1 | 12 | 12 | 55 | 228 | 48 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 4.6 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 0.4% | 1.48 | 2.84 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | 11 | 9 | 44 | 199 | 52 | 12 | 3 | 82% | 4.0 | 17.8% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 5.52 | 3.71 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | 11 | 9 | 44 | 199 | 52 | 12 | 3 | 82% | 4.0 | 26.1% | 6.0% | 20.1% | 1.5% | 5.52 | 2.44 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | South Bend Cubs | 2 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 3.5 | 22.6% | 6.5% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 2.01 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | South Bend Cubs | 2 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 3.5 | 22.6% | 6.5% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 2.57 | 1.96 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 104 | 438 | 128 | 50 | 5 | 100% | 4.7 | 21.8% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 3.13 | 3.92 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 104 | 438 | 128 | 50 | 5 | 100% | 4.7 | 29.2% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 1.1% | 3.13 | 2.70 | — |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 14.3% | 42.9% | -28.6% | 0.0% | 67.50 | 7.32 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 21 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 14.3% | 42.9% | -28.6% | 0.0% | 67.50 | 13.60 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 2 | 31 | 155 | 44 | 38 | 1 | 9% | 1.3 | 22.9% | 30.2% | -7.3% | 0.8% | 4.99 | 5.45 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 23 | 2 | 31 | 155 | 44 | 38 | 1 | 9% | 1.3 | 28.4% | 24.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 4.99 | 4.37 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 23.2% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.49 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 50% | 4.1 | 21.6% | 16.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 9.62 | 4.72 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 31 | 200 | 947 | 196 | 147 | 24 | 56% | 3.6 | 21.6% | 16.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 9.62 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 71 | 47 | 241 | 1058 | 207 | 154 | 15 | 66% | 3.4 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 3.59 | 4.05 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 39 | 200 | 879 | 172 | 128 | 12 | 66% | 3.4 | 19.6% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 3.59 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brailyn Marquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 2.9% | — | 4.52 | 23.2% | 12.7% | 20 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Garrett Gainey L 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.52 | 17.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 116 | 65 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 64 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.77 | 18.0% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .274 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 154 | 62 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 62 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 61 |
| Nate Peterson L 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.67 | 17.2% | 11.2% | 1.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 288 | 61 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 61 |
| Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.91 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.91 | 19.6% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 200 | 60 |
| Matt Lujan L 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.90 | 18.5% | 11.3% | 3.5% | .319 | 5.13 | 14.3% | 7.9% | 70 | +0.23 | 4.25 | 227 | 60 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.13 | 16.2% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 300 | 60 |
| Roy Merritt L 2029 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 60 |
| Andy Otero L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 59 |
| Taylor Varnell L 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.52 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 248 | 58 |
| Mike Minor L 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 28 | SP | 5.50 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .330 | 3.78 | 23.2% | 16.4% | 443 | -1.72 | 2.42 | 807 | 58 |
| Edgar Barclay L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.15 | 21.2% | 14.4% | 1.9% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.06 | 402 | 57 |
| Garrett Williams L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 24.9% | 14.2% | 3.3% | .323 | 4.39 | 24.3% | -0.2% | 53 | -0.21 | 3.36 | 470 | 57 |
| Michael Sansone L 2025 · 5.64 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.64 | 17.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 255 | 57 |
| Brandon Knarr L 2024 · 4.94 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.94 | 24.8% | 16.0% | 3.5% | .450 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 256 | 57 |
| Onelki Garcia L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.07 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 164 | 57 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 57 |