Alex Kirilloff — OGILVIE

Alex Kirilloff1B Minnesota Twins

Age 28 L/L 6'2" / 195 lbs MLB Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†111

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .296 / .400

PA27

HR1

K%26

BB%7

BABIP300

ISO160

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

4311.7%

xAVG

370.241

POWER55

Barrel%

508.2

Avg EV

5589.5

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE50

Chase%

3734.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

3626.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	216	66	9	1	7	11	32	2	0	1	306	345	454	799	148	328	14	5	350	123	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.1
2018	20	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	280	260	94	24	2	7	14	39	2	3	2	362	399	550	949	188	399	14	5	411	164	+21	-0	—	—	+6	2.8
2018	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	281	252	84	20	5	13	24	47	2	1	1	333	396	607	1.003	274	364	17	9	429	177	+26	-0	—	—	+6	3.2
2019	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	375	106	18	2	9	29	76	6	7	6	283	344	413	757	131	333	18	7	339	116	+8	-1	—	—	+9	1.6
2021	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	231	215	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	251	300	423	723	172	295	23	6	319	102	+1	-0	-1	-4	+5	0.0
2022	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	156	144	36	7	0	3	5	36	4	0	0	250	292	361	653	111	308	23	3	290	82	-3	+0	-4	-3	+3	-0.8
2022	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	157	131	47	7	0	10	22	26	4	1	0	359	465	641	1.106	282	389	17	14	479	210	+21	+0	—	—	+3	2.5
2023	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	319	281	76	14	1	11	28	80	7	1	0	270	351	445	796	174	337	25	9	352	125	+9	+0	-8	-7	+7	0.1
2023	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	73	65	24	4	0	5	6	13	2	2	1	369	438	662	1.100	292	404	18	8	476	208	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	15	12	3	0	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	250	400	500	900	250	250	20	20	399	156	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	178	159	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	201	274	384	658	182	245	26	8	288	81	-4	+0	-3	-2	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	884	799	198	40	5	27	62	215	13	2	1	248	312	412	724	164	302	24	7	320	102	+3	+0	-17	-17	+19	-1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	18	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	220	54	7	1	5	7	45	2	0	1	245	275	355	630	109	278	19	3	274	72	-8	-0	—	—	+5	-0.3
2018	20	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	—	280	263	84	21	2	6	11	55	2	3	2	319	351	483	834	163	370	20	4	353	125	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.4
2018	20	A MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	281	263	73	16	5	9	13	65	2	1	1	278	317	479	796	202	327	23	5	339	116	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1
2019	21	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	385	92	13	2	7	19	90	6	7	6	239	285	338	623	99	292	22	5	272	70	-15	-1	—	—	+9	-0.7
2021	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	231	215	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	251	300	423	723	172	295	23	6	309	95	-1	-0	-1	-4	+5	-0.2
2022	24	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	156	145	36	7	0	3	5	36	4	0	0	248	292	359	651	110	308	23	3	286	80	-4	+0	-4	-3	+3	-0.8
2022	24	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	157	138	41	5	0	8	15	32	4	1	0	297	382	507	889	210	340	20	10	386	147	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	319	281	76	14	1	11	28	80	7	1	0	270	351	445	796	174	337	25	9	346	120	+8	+0	-8	-7	+7	-0.1
2023	25	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	73	67	19	2	0	3	4	16	2	2	1	284	342	448	790	164	349	22	5	362	131	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	25	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	15	13	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	242	27	13	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	178	159	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	201	274	384	658	182	245	26	8	284	78	-5	+0	-3	-2	+4	-0.6
2016	18	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	220	54	7	1	5	7	45	2	0	1	245	275	355	630	109	283	19	3	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	216	66	9	1	7	11	32	2	0	1	306	345	454	799	148	328	14	5	350	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	561	526	156	38	6	14	24	120	4	4	3	297	332	471	804	175	356	21	4	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	561	512	178	44	7	20	38	86	4	4	3	348	397	578	975	230	383	15	7	420	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	385	92	13	2	7	19	90	6	7	6	239	285	338	623	99	294	22	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	375	106	18	2	9	29	76	6	7	6	283	344	413	757	131	333	18	7	339	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	231	215	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	251	300	423	723	172	295	23	6	309	95	-1	-0	-1	-4	+5	-0.2
2021	23	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	231	215	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	251	300	423	723	172	295	23	6	319	95	-1	-0	-1	-4	+5	-0.2
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	313	283	77	12	0	11	20	68	8	1	0	272	338	431	769	159	320	22	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	313	275	83	14	0	13	27	62	8	1	0	302	379	495	874	193	347	20	9	385	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	407	361	98	16	1	15	34	100	9	3	1	271	349	446	795	175	333	25	8	348	122	+10	+0	-8	-7	+9	0.4
2023	25	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	407	358	103	18	1	17	37	96	9	3	1	288	369	486	855	198	347	24	9	376	122	+10	+0	-8	-7	+9	0.4
2024	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	178	159	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	201	274	384	658	182	245	26	8	284	78	-5	+0	-3	-2	+4	-0.6
2024	26	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	—	178	159	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	201	274	384	658	182	245	26	8	288	78	-5	+0	-3	-2	+4	-0.6
2016	18	ROK MLE	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	221	54	7	1	5	7	45	2	0	1	244	275	353	628	109	278	19	3	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	561	528	156	38	6	14	24	120	4	4	3	295	332	470	802	174	348	21	4	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	383	92	13	2	7	19	90	6	7	6	240	285	339	625	99	292	22	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	231	214	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	252	300	425	725	173	295	23	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	313	282	77	12	0	11	20	68	8	1	0	273	338	433	770	160	324	22	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	407	361	98	16	1	15	34	100	9	3	1	271	349	446	795	175	335	25	8	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	178	160	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	200	274	381	656	181	245	26	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	407	361	98	16	1	15	34	100	9	3	1	271	349	446	795	175	335	25	8	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	—	178	160	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	200	274	381	656	181	245	26	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	MIN	100%	27	25	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	240	296	400	696	160	300	26	7	332	111	+0	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.9
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	28	MLB CTX	MIN	100%	27	25	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	240	296	400	696	160	300	26	7	323	111	+0	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	336	300	74	14	3	12	29	83	4	3	1	247	321	433	755	187	299	25	9	330	110	+4	+0	-3	-6	+7	0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	350	312	77	15	3	12	30	87	5	3	1	247	323	429	752	183	297	25	9	327	107	+3	+0	-3	-6	+8	0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	335	299	72	14	2	11	29	84	4	2	1	241	316	411	728	171	294	25	9	322	104	+2	+0	-4	-6	+7	-0.1
2030	32	MLB MLE	MIN	92%	316	282	66	12	2	10	27	81	4	2	1	234	310	397	707	163	289	26	9	315	100	-0	+0	-5	-6	+7	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	309	276	68	13	2	11	26	76	4	3	1	246	320	428	748	181	299	25	8	321	110	+4	+0	-2	-6	+7	0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	322	287	70	14	2	11	28	80	4	3	1	244	320	422	741	178	297	25	9	318	107	+3	+0	-3	-6	+7	0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	308	275	66	13	2	10	26	77	4	2	1	240	315	411	726	171	294	25	8	313	104	+1	+0	-4	-6	+7	-0.1
2030	32	MLB CTX	MIN	92%	291	260	61	12	2	9	25	74	4	2	0	235	311	400	711	165	289	25	9	306	100	-0	+0	-4	-5	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2114	1897	463	92	13	68	167	522	29	12	4	244	315	414	729	170	299	25	8	317	102	+10	+1	-30	-39	+46	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	142	28	4	21	51	161	9	4	1	244	314	413	727	170	298	25	8	317	102	+3	+0	-9	-12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3697	3367	858	161	24	111	250	864	48	26	16	255	315	416	731	161	309	23	7	319	102	+11	+0	-31	-41	+49	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	151	28	4	20	44	152	8	5	3	255	315	417	732	162	308	23	7	319	102	+3	+0	-9	-12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Raburnlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,703 PA	4.1	2,703	93	15	255	318	439	-20	-40	5.0	6.6
/162	664	23	4	-4.9	-9.9	1.2	pk7: 8
#2Stephen Piscottylast yr '22 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,802 PA	4.2	2,802	93	23	255	324	430	-30	-35	5.0	5.3
/162	664	22	5	-7.1	-8.4	1.2	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	3.7	2,427	79	14	245	313	417	-35	-48	4.8	5.0
/162	664	22	4	-9.5	-13.2	1.3	pk7: 5
#3Nolan Reimoldlast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,556 PA	2.3	1,556	56	18	246	323	422	-17	-27	1.6	1.9
/162	664	24	8	-7.1	-11.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	2.5	1,653	64	6	237	329	420	-28	-31	1.0	1.7
/162	664	26	2	-11.3	-12.4	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Ben Franciscolast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,771 PA	2.7	1,771	50	30	253	323	418	-19	-29	1.7	1.7
/162	664	19	11	-7.1	-10.9	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Kirilloff (OGILVIE)	28	40	55	45	50	246/320/426	180	300	11	3	24%	8%	111	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→48	53→55	42→50	56	217/324/392	175	268	22	4	27%	12%	105	+1.7	221/325/401	180	278	24	6	28%	11%	107	+1.9	207/321/383	176	258	24	6	28%	12%	99	+0.6
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2019 · MLB	28	45→53	55→60	48→45	44	234/303/422	188	309	23	4	31%	8%	103	+1.6	227/309/398	171	316	20	10	32%	9%	100	+1.3	204/299/379	175	283	21	9	34%	9%	91	+0.3
✕Scott Schebler 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	55→60	44→50	48	240/313/427	187	277	23	6	23%	8%	109	+2.0	202/271/336	134	264	16	5	29%	7%	72	-0.7	165/226/270	105	237	13	4	35%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Jason Vosler 2022 · MLB	28	44	53→55	49→40	49	230/300/401	171	266	21	5	23%	8%	97	+1.1	213/276/378	165	270	21	6	29%	7%	83	+0.1	204/265/369	165	261	22	4	30%	7%	74	-0.5
✕Brad Miller 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	53→60	47→50	54	230/318/413	182	279	21	9	25%	11%	106	+1.8	236/317/428	192	304	23	6	28%	10%	109	+2.0	230/323/459	228	279	31	5	28%	11%	116	+1.2
✕Mike Carp 2014 · MLB	28	51→54	53→55	44→40	47	256/322/435	179	318	20	5	26%	8%	113	+2.3	220/298/346	126	287	12	7	26%	9%	84	+0.1	171/276/232	61	230	2	0	23%	10%	46	-0.7
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/318/445	195	302	25	9	26%	7%	114	+2.4	246/321/409	163	310	17	5	25%	8%	107	+1.8	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.5
✕Chris Duncan 2009 · MLB	28	49→50	54→60	43→40	55	252/339/433	181	306	23	4	25%	12%	119	+2.7	210/288/327	117	267	12	5	25%	10%	76	-0.4	187/264/284	97	241	10	3	25%	9%	55	-1.1
✕John Bowker 2011 · MLB	28	48→54	53→55	44→45	48	249/310/424	175	285	20	6	21%	7%	105	+1.7	249/293/395	146	296	16	6	21%	6%	93	+0.8	233/261/348	116	279	13	2	22%	3%	65	-0.8
✕Zach Reks 2022 · AAA	28	46→41	53→50	44→40	43	232/306/407	175	324	21	4	33%	8%	101	+1.4	223/297/364	141	325	15	6	34%	8%	88	+0.4	173/260/276	102	259	10	2	35%	9%	52	-0.7
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	46→56	55	48→45	53	241/324/429	188	278	22	9	22%	10%	113	+2.3	246/346/420	174	285	21	5	20%	12%	118	+2.7	247/362/401	154	290	18	2	20%	14%	116	+1.7
✕Jake Fraley 2023 · MLB	28	47	53→55	51→55	56	241/339/409	168	299	22	15	26%	12%	114	+2.3	253/328/402	149	299	17	23	20%	9%	107	+1.9	253/327/392	138	298	15	27	19%	9%	101	+0.8
✕Rowdy Tellez 2022 · MLB	27	47→49	57→60	43→45	48	249/315/448	199	281	25	3	22%	8%	114	+2.3	229/303/422	193	254	26	3	21%	9%	103	+1.6	223/298/409	186	246	26	1	22%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Greg Bird 2021 · MLB	28	43→48	51→55	48→30	51	221/306/384	163	278	19	6	27%	10%	96	+1.0	205/276/351	146	267	18	4	29%	8%	77	-0.3	185/259/322	138	237	17	1	29%	8%	62	-0.8
✕David Bote 2021 · MLB	28	46→49	54→50	48→45	51	236/325/416	179	297	22	9	27%	10%	110	+2.1	219/294/363	144	279	16	7	26%	8%	86	+0.3	222/290/366	144	290	14	8	27%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Brian Goodwin 2020 · MLB	29	49→52	55→60	48→50	46	249/315/441	192	320	22	10	28%	8%	112	+2.2	231/308/398	167	301	19	10	28%	10%	99	+1.3	209/295/359	150	271	17	9	28%	11%	82	+0.0
✕Eric Munson 2006 · MLB	28	42→43	57→60	44→40	47	229/291/421	191	255	26	4	22%	7%	99	+1.2	221/289/377	156	253	19	4	21%	8%	88	+0.4	209/286/342	134	246	14	1	21%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Jeff Larish 2011 · MLB	28	45→44	52→55	41→45	46	231/302/398	167	299	20	4	29%	8%	97	+1.1	205/275/346	141	294	15	4	33%	9%	76	-0.4	175/247/300	124	260	12	1	36%	9%	51	-0.9
●Luke Raley 2023 · MLB	28	48→49	51→60	49→50	41	240/320/396	156	327	20	11	31%	6%	104	+1.6	242/324/441	199	318	24	14	31%	7%	116	+2.5	236/323/443	207	309	26	15	31%	7%	114	+1.5
✕Jake Lamb 2019 · MLB	28	45→55	57→60	44→45	56	238/333/440	202	284	24	6	25%	12%	118	+2.7	213/313/375	162	267	19	4	26%	11%	97	+1.1	221/311/373	152	291	19	1	29%	10%	93	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps