Alex Kirilloff — OGILVIE

Alex KirilloffRF Minnesota Twins

Age 28 L/L 6'2" / 195 lbs MLB Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 313 proj PA

wRC+†113

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .320 / .427

PA313

HR11

K%25

BB%8

ISO183

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

4311.7%

xwOBA

590.319

POWER55

Barrel%

508.2

Avg EV

5589.5

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE50

Chase%

3734.2%

SPEED45

Sprint

3626.8

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.0M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	220	54	7	1	5	7	45	2	0	1	245	275	355	630	109	283	19	3	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	216	66	9	1	7	11	32	2	0	1	306	345	454	799	148	328	14	5	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	2 teams	—	561	527	155	36	6	13	23	121	4	4	3	294	329	459	788	165	355	22	4	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	2 teams	—	561	512	178	44	7	20	38	86	4	4	3	348	397	578	975	230	383	15	7	420	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	386	93	11	2	8	18	93	6	7	6	241	285	342	627	101	297	23	4	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	375	106	18	2	9	29	76	6	7	6	283	344	413	757	131	333	18	7	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	231	215	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	251	300	423	723	172	295	23	6	308	94	-2	-0	-1	-4	+7	-0.0
2021	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	231	215	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	251	300	423	723	172	295	23	6	319	102	+1	-0	-1	-4	+7	0.2
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	313	283	80	12	0	14	20	68	8	1	0	283	347	473	821	191	325	22	6	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	313	275	83	14	0	13	27	62	8	1	0	302	379	495	874	193	347	20	9	385	153	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	3 teams	—	407	361	100	16	1	16	34	101	9	3	1	277	354	460	814	183	340	25	8	350	126	+12	+0	-8	-7	+12	0.8
2023	25	MLB	3 teams	—	407	358	103	18	1	17	37	96	9	3	1	288	369	486	855	198	347	24	9	376	146	+21	+0	-8	-7	+12	1.8
2024	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	178	159	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	201	274	384	658	182	245	26	8	284	75	-5	+0	-3	-2	+5	-0.5
2024	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	178	159	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	201	274	384	658	182	245	26	8	288	78	-4	+0	-3	-2	+5	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	MIN	—	313	280	69	13	2	11	26	77	4	3	1	246	319	425	744	179	300	25	8	332	113	+4	+0	-1	-6	+9	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	MIN	92%	336	300	75	14	3	12	29	83	4	3	1	250	324	437	761	187	299	25	9	330	111	+4	+0	-3	-6	+10	0.5
2028	30	MLB	MIN	92%	350	312	77	15	3	12	30	88	5	3	1	247	323	429	752	183	297	25	9	327	108	+3	+0	-3	-6	+10	0.4
2029	31	MLB	MIN	92%	335	299	72	14	2	11	29	85	4	2	1	241	316	411	728	171	294	25	9	322	105	+2	+0	-4	-6	+9	0.1
2030	32	MLB	MIN	92%	316	282	66	12	2	10	27	81	4	2	1	234	310	397	707	163	289	26	9	315	100	-0	+0	-5	-6	+9	-0.1
2031	33	MLB	MIN	92%	286	256	58	10	2	9	24	75	4	1	0	227	303	387	690	160	283	26	8	307	93	-2	+0	-5	-5	+8	-0.4
2027	29	MLB	MIN	92%	309	276	68	13	2	11	26	76	4	3	1	246	320	428	748	181	299	25	8	321	104	+1	+0	-2	-6	+9	0.2
2028	30	MLB	MIN	92%	322	288	69	13	2	11	27	81	4	3	1	240	313	413	727	174	297	25	8	318	101	+0	+0	-3	-6	+9	0.1
2029	31	MLB	MIN	92%	308	275	66	13	2	10	26	78	4	2	1	240	315	411	726	171	294	25	8	313	98	-1	+0	-4	-6	+9	-0.1
2030	32	MLB	MIN	92%	291	260	60	11	2	9	25	75	4	2	0	231	308	392	700	162	289	26	9	307	93	-2	+0	-4	-5	+8	-0.3
2031	33	MLB	MIN	92%	263	236	54	10	2	8	22	69	3	1	0	229	303	390	693	161	283	26	8	298	87	-4	+0	-5	-5	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2377	2134	515	100	15	76	188	594	32	13	4	241	312	409	721	168	296	25	8	315	99	-3	+1	-35	-43	+67	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	141	27	4	21	51	162	9	4	1	241	312	409	721	168	296	25	8	315	99	-1	+0	-9	-12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	4269	3880	985	179	28	134	296	1016	56	30	17	254	316	418	734	164	308	24	7	320	103	+17	-1	-37	-73	+121	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	149	27	4	20	45	155	9	5	3	252	315	413	728	161	306	24	7	320	103	+3	-0	-6	-11	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	232	216	66	9	1	7	11	32	2	0	1	306	345	454	799	148	328	14	5	350	126	+7	-0	—	—	+7	1.3
2018	20	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	280	260	94	24	2	7	14	39	2	3	2	362	399	550	949	188	399	14	5	411	173	+23	-0	—	—	+8	3.1
2018	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	281	252	84	20	5	13	24	47	2	1	1	333	396	607	1.003	274	364	17	9	429	187	+28	-0	—	—	+8	3.6
2019	21	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	411	375	106	18	2	9	29	76	6	7	6	283	344	413	757	131	333	18	7	339	118	+8	-1	—	—	+12	1.9
2021	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	231	215	54	11	1	8	14	52	1	1	1	251	300	423	723	172	295	23	6	319	102	+1	-0	-1	-4	+7	0.2
2022	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	156	144	36	7	0	3	5	36	4	0	0	250	292	361	653	111	308	23	3	290	80	-4	+0	-4	-3	+4	-0.7
2022	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	157	131	47	7	0	10	22	26	4	1	0	359	465	641	1.106	282	389	17	14	479	225	+22	+0	—	—	+4	2.7
2023	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	319	281	76	14	1	11	28	80	7	1	0	270	351	445	796	174	337	25	9	352	128	+10	+0	-8	-7	+9	0.4
2023	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	73	65	24	4	0	5	6	13	2	2	1	369	438	662	1.100	292	404	18	8	476	223	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2023	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	15	12	3	0	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	250	400	500	900	250	250	20	20	399	163	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	178	159	32	8	3	5	15	47	1	0	0	201	274	384	658	182	245	26	8	288	78	-4	+0	-3	-2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	884	799	198	40	5	27	62	215	13	2	1	248	312	412	724	164	302	24	7	320	103	+3	+0	-17	-17	+25	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Raburnlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,703 PA	11	2,703	93	15	255	318	439	-20	-40	5.0	6.6
	/162	664	23	4	255	318	439	-4.9	-9.9	1.2	pk7: 8
#2Stephen Piscottylast yr '22 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,802 PA	8	2,802	93	23	255	324	430	-30	-35	5.0	5.3
	/162	664	22	5	255	324	430	-7.1	-8.4	1.2	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	2,690	87	16	243	311	414	-37	-54	4.9	5.0
	/162	664	22	4	243	311	414	-9.2	-13.3	1.2	pk7: 5
#3Nolan Reimoldlast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,556 PA	8	1,556	56	18	246	323	422	-17	-27	1.6	1.9
	/162	664	24	8	246	323	422	-7.1	-11.6	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	8	1,653	64	6	237	329	420	-28	-31	1.0	1.7
#5Darin Ruflast yr '23 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,653 PA	/162	664	26	2	237	329	420	-11.3	-12.4	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Ben Franciscolast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,771 PA	7	1,771	50	30	253	323	418	-19	-29	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	19	11	253	323	418	-7.1	-10.9	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Kirilloff (OGILVIE)	28	40	55	45	50	246/320/427	181	300	11	3	25%	8%	113	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Vosler 2022 · MLB	28	44→43	55	49→40	49	233/303/420	187	265	23	5	23%	8%	103	+1.9	216/278/387	171	274	22	6	29%	7%	84	+0.6	206/267/372	166	264	22	4	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕DJ Stewart 2022 · MLB	28	41→47	55→60	42→50	56	218/324/402	184	266	23	4	27%	12%	108	+2.3	225/328/415	190	281	26	6	28%	11%	113	+2.6	211/325/400	189	260	26	6	29%	12%	106	+1.0
✕Brad Miller 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	54→60	47→50	54	230/318/416	186	277	21	9	25%	11%	108	+2.3	237/318/434	197	305	24	6	29%	10%	113	+2.6	231/323/465	234	278	32	5	28%	11%	120	+1.5
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2019 · MLB	28	44→51	54→60	47→45	42	226/294/403	177	308	22	4	33%	8%	95	+1.4	236/311/438	202	321	25	10	33%	8%	111	+2.5	221/309/454	233	293	31	9	34%	9%	112	+1.3
✕George Kottaras 2011 · MLB	28	42→52	52→55	49→30	55	220/305/394	174	255	19	5	22%	11%	97	+1.5	239/336/427	188	291	22	4	24%	13%	118	+3.0	233/347/429	197	288	24	1	26%	15%	118	+1.0
●Pedro Álvarez 2015 · MLB	28	44→46	60	47→45	48	239/310/448	209	288	29	6	28%	9%	114	+2.7	240/307/454	214	285	30	4	27%	9%	114	+2.7	234/296/450	216	273	31	2	27%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Tyler Moore 2015 · MLB	28	45→48	52→65	42→40	46	232/299/398	166	294	21	3	28%	8%	95	+1.4	218/272/366	148	278	17	3	27%	7%	76	+0.0	208/253/359	151	261	17	0	27%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Jorge Piedra 2007 · MLB	28	45	52→55	43→45	45	233/285/403	169	266	19	8	21%	6%	91	+1.1	244/305/397	153	281	16	6	19%	7%	98	+1.6	267/333/422	155	300	14	0	16%	7%	112	+1.3
✕Eric Munson 2007 · MLB	29	42→43	56→60	43→40	46	227/289/415	187	251	25	3	22%	7%	96	+1.5	219/290/362	143	256	16	4	21%	8%	82	+0.5	209/286/342	134	246	14	1	21%	9%	74	-0.0
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	57→55	52→40	45	249/317/444	195	301	25	9	26%	7%	115	+2.8	245/320/409	164	309	17	5	25%	8%	107	+2.2	239/321/389	150	307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
●Paul McAnulty 2009 · MLB	28	47→50	49→60	41→40	53	237/316/389	152	283	16	2	22%	10%	100	+1.7	225/289/388	163	269	20	3	24%	8%	89	+0.9	235/297/429	194	268	26	2	23%	8%	101	+1.5
✕Colin Moran 2021 · MLB	28	53→57	52→55	40→30	48	267/327/436	169	320	19	2	23%	8%	117	+2.9	237/306/379	142	303	17	3	26%	9%	93	+1.3	223/296/345	122	288	15	1	27%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Christin Stewart 2021 · MLB	27	46→50	53→60	44→45	48	236/309/408	172	287	21	3	25%	8%	103	+1.9	212/285/396	184	288	24	8	34%	8%	90	+1.0	192/271/381	190	259	27	7	36%	8%	78	+0.1
●Renato Núñez 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	56→60	44→30	46	243/308/431	189	288	25	3	26%	8%	108	+2.3	244/314/463	219	292	30	5	27%	7%	120	+3.1	232/307/469	237	267	35	1	28%	7%	116	+2.1
✕Jason Grabowski 2005 · MLB	29	45	52→50	47→40	50	236/308/403	167	287	21	5	26%	10%	101	+1.8	231/301/379	148	268	17	6	20%	9%	91	+1.1	218/289/352	134	247	16	2	19%	9%	74	-0.0
✕David Bote 2021 · MLB	28	46→48	53→55	48→45	51	234/322/409	175	295	21	9	27%	10%	108	+2.3	219/293/364	145	278	16	7	26%	8%	85	+0.7	225/292/380	155	289	17	8	27%	7%	85	+0.4
●Trevor Plouffe 2014 · MLB	28	47→52	53→60	41→45	47	245/306/414	169	281	21	4	21%	7%	102	+1.9	251/313/420	169	290	18	3	20%	8%	107	+2.2	250/313/422	172	285	18	2	19%	8%	105	+1.8
✕Scott Schebler 2019 · MLB	28	45→52	56→60	44→50	48	241/314/434	193	277	24	6	23%	8%	111	+2.5	202/270/345	143	262	18	5	29%	7%	70	-0.3	163/224/278	115	232	15	4	36%	5%	31	-1.5
✕Mike Carp 2014 · MLB	28	51→56	53→55	44→40	47	257/322/436	179	319	20	5	25%	8%	115	+2.8	219/296/344	125	286	11	7	26%	8%	81	+0.4	173/277/235	62	232	2	0	23%	10%	44	-0.6
✕Brennan Boesch 2013 · MLB	28	53→58	51→60	46→50	47	266/319/429	163	306	18	8	20%	6%	111	+2.5	246/289/400	154	302	17	9	24%	5%	92	+1.2	234/269/369	135	294	15	9	26%	4%	72	-0.1