Jack Hopko — OGILVIE

Jack HopkoOF Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 L/L A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 86 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .297 / .334

PA86

HR2

K%26

BB%9

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	76	60	18	1	1	2	14	11	1	0	0	300	440	450	890	150	333	14	18	398	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	76	64	17	1	1	2	10	15	1	0	0	266	373	406	780	141	297	20	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	76	64	17	1	1	2	10	15	1	0	0	266	373	406	780	141	312	20	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	76	60	18	1	1	2	14	11	1	0	0	300	440	450	890	150	333	14	18	398	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	76	65	17	1	1	2	10	15	1	0	0	262	373	400	773	138	297	20	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	76	65	17	1	1	2	10	15	1	0	0	262	373	400	773	138	297	20	13	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	186	166	38	5	2	4	16	48	2	2	1	224	300	337	637	113	290	26	9	288	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	174	155	37	5	2	4	15	45	2	2	1	226	302	344	645	117	291	26	9	291	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	272	243	55	7	2	6	24	70	3	3	1	228	303	348	651	121	291	26	9	294	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	340	304	69	9	3	7	30	86	3	4	1	228	304	352	655	123	291	25	9	295	86	-6	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	375	336	77	11	3	8	33	95	3	4	1	228	304	352	655	124	291	25	9	295	86	-6	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	396	354	81	11	3	9	35	101	4	3	1	227	302	350	652	123	290	26	9	294	85	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	401	359	80	11	3	8	35	103	4	1	1	225	299	343	643	119	288	26	9	290	82	-8	-0	-1	-2	+9	-0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	402	361	80	11	3	8	35	105	3	0	1	222	296	335	631	114	286	26	9	285	79	-10	-0	-2	-2	+9	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	52	47	10	1	0	1	5	13	0	1	0	228	303	350	653	122	292	25	10	294	83	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	120	108	25	3	1	3	10	31	1	1	0	229	305	355	659	125	292	26	8	297	85	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	172	153	35	5	1	4	15	44	2	2	1	230	305	358	664	128	292	26	9	298	86	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	197	176	41	5	2	5	17	50	2	2	1	230	305	358	664	128	292	25	9	298	86	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	211	189	44	6	2	5	18	54	2	1	1	229	304	356	660	127	291	26	9	297	85	-4	-0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	228	204	46	6	2	5	20	59	2	1	1	226	301	350	651	123	289	26	9	293	82	-5	-0	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	220	197	45	6	2	5	19	57	2	0	0	223	297	341	639	118	287	26	9	288	79	-5	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1200	1074	246	32	10	28	104	308	11	8	4	229	304	356	659	127	293	26	9	295	84	-23	+0	-2	-7	+26	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	132	17	5	15	56	167	6	4	2	227	301	351	652	124	290	26	9	295	84	-13	+0	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2522	2253	514	68	21	54	225	642	24	18	7	228	305	349	654	121	293	25	9	293	84	-48	+1	-4	-15	+53	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	133	18	5	14	58	165	6	5	2	229	305	349	655	120	294	25	9	293	84	-13	+0	-1	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,287	27	9	227	299	347	-8	+0	0.2	0.3
/162	664	14	5	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jack Hopko (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	222/297/334	112	290	2	1	26%	9%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Imanol Vargas 2021 · A	23	42→43	44→50	46→45	47	204/287/322	118	294	12	8	32%	10%	74	-0.5	206/286/361	155	328	19	4	39%	10%	83	+0.1	198/285/355	157	311	19	2	39%	10%	79	-0.2
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	211/270/330	119	277	11	9	28%	7%	69	-0.9	228/285/369	141	298	16	5	28%	6%	84	+0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Josh Sale 2014 · A	23	43	45	46→40	47	213/284/337	124	284	12	8	28%	9%	76	-0.4	203/263/296	93	356	7	4	41%	7%	59	-1.7	182/253/284	102	300	10	2	40%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Daniel Palka 2014 · A	22	44→43	44→55	44→50	44	216/276/336	120	286	11	5	28%	7%	73	-0.6	206/262/372	166	293	20	9	35%	7%	76	-0.4	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jabari Henry 2014 · A	23	41	45→55	45	49	207/280/336	129	259	12	7	25%	9%	74	-0.5	198/276/358	160	265	19	6	31%	9%	79	-0.2	180/260/343	163	239	21	5	33%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Anthony Hall 2024 · A	23	43	44→45	46→45	43	210/276/326	115	297	11	6	32%	8%	70	-0.8	190/248/277	87	313	7	10	38%	7%	49	-2.4	150/206/208	58	270	4	13	43%	7%	14	-1.4
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Peyton Williams 2024 · A	23	43	45→50	45→30	42	213/283/332	118	297	13	5	32%	7%	75	-0.5	217/276/343	126	311	14	3	33%	7%	75	-0.5	212/272/343	131	299	14	0	33%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→38	43→60	54→50	46	194/258/307	113	251	9	8	26%	8%	59	-1.6	188/270/299	111	264	10	14	30%	9%	63	-1.4	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2019 · A	23	42→50	47→50	44→50	41	213/260/351	139	283	14	6	30%	6%	70	-0.8	225/272/352	127	297	14	7	28%	6%	74	-0.5	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	44→48	46→50	44→50	42	220/267/347	126	283	13	7	27%	6%	72	-0.7	223/266/347	124	299	12	8	28%	5%	71	-0.8	223/280/330	107	273	9	7	21%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Preston Beck 2015 · A	24	43→42	42→45	48→45	49	209/284/315	106	269	9	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	212/270/317	105	265	8	7	22%	7%	66	-1.1	213/262/313	100	267	8	3	23%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Anthony Seigler 2022 · A	23	41→40	42→45	44→55	45	198/274/307	110	297	9	6	34%	9%	66	-1.1	190/290/299	109	249	10	15	25%	12%	71	-0.8	221/312/347	126	270	10	25	21%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Logan Parker 2007 · A	23	48→47	45	48→45	46	235/293/358	123	299	13	4	25%	8%	84	+0.1	222/281/337	115	297	11	6	27%	8%	74	-0.5	211/274/325	113	281	11	6	27%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕RJ Schreck 2024 · A	24	47→39	41→50	50	48	227/283/329	101	269	8	8	18%	7%	74	-0.6	209/306/356	147	253	16	10	23%	10%	90	+0.6	195/303/347	152	231	18	9	24%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Brett Newsome 2010 · A	23	45	43→45	49→40	44	216/283/339	123	306	9	6	31%	8%	76	-0.4	222/282/321	99	321	7	3	30%	7%	72	-0.7	218/275/314	96	315	7	2	31%	6%	64	-0.7
✕Nick Maton 2019 · A	22	43→42	42→50	47→45	40	211/264/322	111	295	9	5	30%	6%	65	-1.2	211/278/312	101	291	8	8	28%	8%	68	-1.0	210/302/353	143	263	16	4	25%	10%	86	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps