Player 842660 — OGILVIE

Player 8426601B Fayetteville Woodpeckers

Age — —/— A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION93 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP298

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	HOU	—	93	81	20	4	2	0	8	18	4	5	1	247	344	346	690	99	317	19	9	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+2	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	HOU	—	93	76	23	5	3	0	12	13	4	5	1	303	419	447	867	145	365	14	13	389	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	HOU	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		296	23	8	296	86	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	HOU	—	106	93	22	4	2	0	9	21	4	5	1	237	330	323	653	86	306	20	8	313	98	-0	+1	+0	-2	+2	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	217	194	45	8	3	3	17	50	4	7	1	232	307	351	657	119	297	23	8	299	89	-3	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	343	305	71	13	5	5	28	79	7	11	2	233	312	357	669	125	296	23	8	302	91	-4	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	428	382	90	17	6	7	35	98	8	14	3	236	313	366	679	131	296	23	8	304	92	-4	+2	+0	-8	+9	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	485	433	101	19	6	8	40	111	9	16	3	233	311	360	671	127	295	23	8	305	93	-4	+2	+0	-9	+11	-0.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	525	467	110	20	7	9	43	121	10	18	3	236	313	366	680	131	295	23	8	306	93	-4	+2	+0	-9	+11	0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	552	491	115	21	7	10	45	127	11	19	4	234	313	367	679	132	295	23	8	307	94	-4	+2	+0	-10	+12	0.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	572	509	120	22	7	11	47	131	11	19	4	236	314	371	685	136	295	23	8	307	94	-4	+2	+0	-10	+12	0.0
2034	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	587	522	123	23	7	11	48	135	12	20	4	236	314	370	684	134	294	23	8	308	95	-4	+2	+0	-10	+13	0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	299	—	—	285	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	298	—	—	288	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	298	—	—	290	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	298	—	—	292	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	297	—	—	292	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	297	—	—	293	94	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	297	—	—	293	94	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	297	—	—	294	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3722	3315	777	143	48	64	304	855	72	124	24	234	312	364	677	130	295	23	8	305	93	-32	+15	+0	-66	+81	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	135	25	8	11	53	149	13	22	4	233	312	361	673	128	294	23	8	305	93	-6	+3	+0	-12	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,924	67	130	236	310	366	-44	+0	5.0	4.9
/162	664	11	22	-7.4	+0.0	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 842660 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	228/308/339	111	296	2	7	23%	8%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→48	44→50	54→65	47	216/295/339	123	274	11	23	24%	8%	81	-0.1	209/275/329	120	265	11	18	25%	7%	71	-0.8	207/330/379	172	285	16	41	30%	12%	101	+0.7
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→50	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	76	-0.4	206/252/317	111	266	11	17	26%	5%	59	-1.6	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	73	-0.6	199/284/276	77	275	4	12	27%	9%	63	-1.4	176/273/228	52	251	2	11	27%	10%	47	-1.5
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	42→52	46→45	55	45	207/293/340	133	287	12	21	30%	8%	81	-0.1	221/300/334	113	289	9	19	25%	8%	82	-0.0	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	47→52	40→45	53→55	40	228/277/321	93	297	7	20	25%	5%	70	-0.9	229/299/337	108	283	9	16	21%	6%	82	+0.0	227/303/337	110	275	9	18	20%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	51→54	43→45	59→55	48	246/306/367	121	297	8	21	20%	7%	91	+0.6	255/316/349	94	318	6	20	20%	7%	90	+0.6	259/323/341	82	327	5	21	21%	8%	88	+0.2
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	46	41→45	52→70	47	220/294/324	104	280	8	25	24%	8%	77	-0.3	221/324/338	117	285	11	35	24%	11%	93	+0.8	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	52→49	39→45	54→50	46	243/301/332	89	319	6	19	25%	7%	80	-0.1	232/280/333	101	293	8	15	23%	6%	73	-0.6	227/272/322	96	275	8	14	20%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→53	43→45	55→45	44	232/282/350	118	296	9	13	24%	6%	78	-0.3	247/285/359	112	295	9	7	19%	5%	80	-0.1	255/291/364	109	301	8	5	18%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→40	42→45	51→50	47	212/287/316	104	274	9	17	25%	8%	73	-0.6	207/267/342	135	274	15	11	29%	6%	72	-0.7	196/253/347	151	253	19	7	30%	6%	64	-0.7
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→50	40→45	55→60	43	197/264/288	91	273	7	19	29%	7%	57	-1.8	216/270/336	120	285	13	28	28%	6%	71	-0.8	213/270/337	124	278	12	27	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Taylor Motter 2014 · A	24	48→50	41→55	53→55	50	230/296/333	103	284	7	24	21%	8%	80	-0.2	231/281/350	119	272	12	18	19%	6%	78	-0.3	208/287/374	165	259	20	5	27%	10%	85	+0.1
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→45	43→45	53→50	48	203/279/317	114	256	10	15	24%	8%	70	-0.8	227/288/340	113	300	9	10	26%	6%	78	-0.3	236/295/344	109	315	9	9	26%	6%	78	-0.2
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2011 · A	25	44→46	45→55	50	47	216/293/342	126	269	11	11	23%	8%	81	-0.1	211/268/374	163	269	17	10	27%	6%	79	-0.2	233/278/405	172	262	21	11	20%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→48	38→40	53→55	47	235/298/314	79	300	6	15	23%	7%	76	-0.4	222/305/297	75	290	6	18	23%	10%	75	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Vince Faison 2006 · A	25	51→44	43→50	57→50	44	246/294/375	129	317	8	16	24%	6%	88	+0.4	217/267/351	134	278	11	8	25%	6%	72	-0.7	208/257/345	138	264	11	6	25%	6%	65	-0.9
✕Danny Muno 2013 · A	24	49→51	41→45	54→50	52	231/310/331	100	297	7	18	23%	10%	84	+0.2	230/313/336	106	292	9	12	23%	10%	87	+0.4	226/311/326	100	286	10	11	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	42→45	58→65	44	222/293/331	108	316	8	23	30%	8%	78	-0.3	203/281/302	99	319	8	27	36%	8%	68	-1.0	212/292/295	83	324	7	47	34%	9%	67	-0.7
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	45→55	45	53→55	45	223/287/353	130	295	13	20	28%	8%	81	-0.1	247/317/352	105	324	8	18	24%	9%	91	+0.7	251/326/344	93	326	6	18	23%	9%	90	+0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps