Avain Rachal

Pos1B
B/TR/R
Born1994-02-11
Age (2027)33
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
ALAST SEASON 2017
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201521ACIN445.239/.332/.33241446—.193/.264/.260
201622A+/ACIN190.206/.349/.3104544—.166/.280/.246
201723ACIN73.207/.361/.3281239—.161/.278/.258
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201218 ROKAZL Reds — 132118 35640 12241 51 297366415782 119368 189 348 63 — — — — — —
201319 ROKBillings Mustangs — 233186 47614 41394 62 253398360758 108299 1718 351 62 — — — — — —
201420 ADayton Dragons — 276244 47822 21785 132 193270266537 74269 288 245 28 — — — — — —
201521 ADayton Dragons — 445389 931644 4310111 146 239332332663 93313 2310 305 46 — — — — — —
201622 A+Daytona Tortugas — 164133 27214 26514 41 203350323673 120295 3116 315 47 — — — — — —
201622 ADayton Dragons — 2622 5000 292 11 227346227573 385 358 284 24 — — — — — —
201723 ADayton Dragons — 7358 12211 12232 22 207361328689 121324 3216 320 39 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201218 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 132122 28430 8351 51 230282311594 82313 276 261 63 — — — — — —
201319 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 233202 41513 25564 62 203303282585 79252 2411 260 62 — — — — — —
201420 A MLEDayton Dragons — 276250 44722 15985 132 176237244481 68262 365 210 28 — — — — — —
201521 A MLEDayton Dragons — 445404 781233 2814211 146 193264260524 67287 326 236 46 — — — — — —
201622 A+ MLEDaytona Tortugas — 164140 23213 19724 41 164282257539 93284 4412 237 47 — — — — — —
201622 A MLEDayton Dragons — 2623 4000 1122 11 174269174443 347 464 204 24 — — — — — —
201723 A MLEDayton Dragons — 7362 10111 8322 22 161278258536 97282 4411 226 39 — — — — — —
201218 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 132122 28430 8351 51 230282311594 82318 276 261 63 — — — — — —
201218 ROK RAWAZL Reds — 132118 35640 12241 51 297366415782 119368 189 348 63 — — — — — —
201319 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 233202 41513 25564 62 203303282585 79264 2411 260 62 — — — — — —
201319 ROK RAWBillings Mustangs — 233186 47614 41394 62 253398360758 108299 1718 351 62 — — — — — —
201420 A MLEDayton Dragons — 276250 44722 15985 132 176237244481 68275 365 210 28 — — — — — —
201420 A RAWDayton Dragons — 276244 47822 21785 132 193270266537 74269 288 245 28 — — — — — —
201521 A MLEDayton Dragons — 445404 781233 2814211 146 193264260524 67290 326 236 46 — — — — — —
201521 A RAWDayton Dragons — 445389 931644 4310111 146 239332332663 93313 2310 305 46 — — — — — —
201622 A+ MLE2 teams — 190163 26213 20856 52 160275239514 80307 4511 232 43 — — — — — —
201622 A+ RAW2 teams — 190155 32214 28606 52 206349310659 103308 3215 311 43 — — — — — —
201723 A MLEDayton Dragons — 7362 10111 8322 22 161278258536 97310 4411 226 39 — — — — — —
201723 A RAWDayton Dragons — 7358 12211 12232 22 207361328689 121324 3216 320 39 — — — — — —
201218 ROK MLEAZL Reds — 132122 28430 8351 51 230282311594 82313 276 261 63 — — — — — —
201319 ROK MLEBillings Mustangs — 233202 41513 25564 62 203303282585 79252 2411 260 62 — — — — — —
201420 A MLEDayton Dragons — 276254 44722 15985 132 173237240477 67262 365 210 28 — — — — — —
201521 A MLEDayton Dragons — 445403 781233 2814211 146 194264261525 67287 326 236 46 — — — — — —
201622 A+ MLE2 teams — 190162 26213 20856 52 160275241516 80293 4511 232 43 — — — — — —
201723 A MLEDayton Dragons — 7363 10111 8322 22 159278254532 95282 4411 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 13491203 227311112 10444829 4515 189269263532 74287 338 236 46 -87 +3 +0 -24 +29 -8.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 1091556 5021614 227 188269262531 74286 338 236 46 -42 +2 +0 -12 +14 -3.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 ADayton Dragons · 73 PAwOBA .313 → .226 (−86)K% 31.5% → 43.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.51%÷0.984×1.360——43.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.44%÷1.055×0.690—×0.99010.64%
HBP% /PA2.74%—×0.780—×0.9902.12%
Singles /BIP22.86%÷1.005×0.920—×0.99020.71%
Doubles /BIP5.71%÷0.999×0.830—×0.9904.70%
Triples /BIP2.86%÷1.150×0.910—×0.9902.24%
Home runs /BIP2.86%÷1.168×0.800—×0.9901.94%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 97, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .313 → .226; ISO .121 → .082; BABIP .324 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Daytona Tortugas · 164 PAwOBA .308 → .237 (−71)K% 31.1% → 44.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.10%÷1.004×1.420——44.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.85%÷1.059×0.750—×1.01211.37%
HBP% /PA2.44%—×0.930—×1.0122.30%
Singles /BIP24.39%÷0.983×0.920×1.038×1.01223.98%
Doubles /BIP2.44%÷1.061×0.960×1.038×1.0122.32%
Triples /BIP1.22%÷1.150×0.810×1.038×1.0120.90%
Home runs /BIP4.88%÷1.063×0.880—×1.0124.09%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 97, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 101, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .308 → .237; ISO .120 → .086; BABIP .295 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ADayton Dragons · 26 PAwOBA .278 → .204 (−74)K% 34.6% → 47.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.62%÷0.986×1.360——47.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.69%÷1.052×0.690——5.05%
HBP% /PA7.69%—×0.780——6.00%
Singles /BIP38.46%÷1.021×0.920——34.67%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.966×0.830——0.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910——0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.153×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 104, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 97, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .278 → .204; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .385 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 ADayton Dragons · 445 PAwOBA .296 → .236 (−60)K% 22.7% → 31.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.70%÷0.966×1.360——31.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.21%÷1.002×0.690—×1.0156.44%
HBP% /PA2.47%—×0.780—×1.0151.96%
Singles /BIP23.96%÷1.012×0.920×1.023×1.01522.61%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.037×0.830×1.023×1.0154.62%
Triples /BIP1.39%÷1.137×0.910×1.023×1.0151.15%
Home runs /BIP1.39%÷1.078×0.800—×1.0151.05%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 127, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .296 → .236; ISO .093 → .069; BABIP .313 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ADayton Dragons · 276 PAwOBA .242 → .210 (−31)K% 28.3% → 35.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.26%÷1.082×1.360——35.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.61%÷0.990×0.690—×1.0305.46%
HBP% /PA1.81%—×0.780—×1.0301.46%
Singles /BIP21.08%÷1.007×0.920×1.037×1.03020.57%
Doubles /BIP4.82%÷0.940×0.830×1.037×1.0304.54%
Triples /BIP1.20%÷0.900×0.910×1.037×1.0301.30%
Home runs /BIP1.20%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0300.99%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 116, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .242 → .210; ISO .074 → .066; BABIP .269 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKBillings Mustangs · 233 PAwOBA .344 → .260 (−84)K% 16.7% → 24.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.74%÷1.000×1.440——24.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.60%÷1.000×0.610—×1.00810.81%
HBP% /PA1.72%—×0.720—×1.0081.25%
Singles /BIP24.49%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×1.00821.24%
Doubles /BIP4.08%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×1.0083.11%
Triples /BIP0.68%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×1.0080.52%
Home runs /BIP2.72%÷1.000×0.750—×1.0082.06%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .344 → .260; ISO .108 → .082; BABIP .299 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 ROKAZL Reds · 132 PAwOBA .342 → .261 (−80)K% 18.2% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.18%÷1.000×1.440——26.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0225.76%
HBP% /PA0.76%—×0.720—×1.0220.56%
Singles /BIP26.60%÷1.000×0.820×1.050×1.02223.41%
Doubles /BIP6.38%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×1.0224.93%
Triples /BIP4.26%÷1.000×0.720×1.050×1.0223.29%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .342 → .261; ISO .119 → .087; BABIP .368 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).