Kenny Fermin

SS DSL Athletics

Age 20 S/R ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ROKOAK	125	.211/.395/.263	1	9	36	—	.130/.298/.140
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBOAK	235	.205/.292/.271	2	6	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBOAK	66	.214/.301/.293	1	2	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBOAK	155	.218/.304/.305	2	4	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%93

Whiff%59

Speed57

Z-Con%55

wRC+43

wOBA41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBrainer Bonaci (age 20) · Javier Herrera (age 19) · Allan Castro (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .290 / .268

PA105

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	125	95	20	2	0	1	17	29	12	9	1	211	395	263	658	53	288	23	14	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	125	100	13	1	0	0	12	35	12	9	1	130	298	140	438	10	191	28	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	125	100	13	1	0	0	12	35	12	9	1	130	298	140	438	10	197	28	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	125	95	20	2	0	1	17	29	12	9	1	211	395	263	658	53	288	23	14	326	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	125	100	13	1	0	0	12	35	12	9	1	130	298	140	438	10	191	28	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	125	100	13	1	0	0	12	35	12	9	1	130	298	140	438	10	191	28	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	235	208	42	6	1	2	18	66	7	6	1	205	292	271	563	66	288	28	8	263	64	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	191	168	35	5	1	2	15	53	6	5	1	209	296	284	580	75	290	28	8	270	69	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	319	281	61	9	2	4	25	88	10	8	2	212	299	296	595	83	291	28	8	275	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	406	358	76	11	2	5	33	110	12	11	2	216	302	306	608	90	292	27	8	280	76	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	465	412	90	13	3	7	37	125	13	12	2	218	304	315	619	97	293	27	8	284	78	-12	+2	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	498	442	97	15	3	8	40	132	13	13	2	220	305	322	628	102	293	27	8	287	81	-12	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	517	456	101	15	3	9	42	138	14	13	2	221	306	324	630	103	293	27	8	288	81	-12	+2	+0	+6	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	525	463	102	15	3	9	43	140	14	13	3	220	305	321	626	102	292	27	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	525	463	101	15	3	8	43	142	14	13	3	218	303	317	620	99	291	27	8	284	78	-14	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	519	458	100	15	3	8	42	141	14	12	3	216	300	311	611	95	290	27	8	281	76	-15	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	510	451	95	14	2	7	41	141	13	12	3	213	297	303	600	91	289	28	8	276	73	-16	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	66	59	12	2	0	1	5	18	2	2	0	214	301	293	594	79	298	27	8	275	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	155	137	30	5	1	2	12	43	5	4	1	218	304	305	609	87	299	28	8	281	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	220	194	43	7	1	3	18	60	6	6	1	221	307	315	622	94	300	27	8	285	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	258	228	51	8	2	4	21	69	7	7	1	224	309	324	633	100	301	27	8	290	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	279	246	55	9	2	4	23	74	8	7	1	226	310	331	642	105	301	27	8	293	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	291	257	59	10	2	5	24	77	8	8	1	226	311	333	644	107	301	26	8	294	81	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	290	256	59	10	2	5	24	78	8	7	1	225	310	330	640	105	301	27	8	292	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	288	255	56	9	2	4	23	78	8	7	1	223	308	326	634	102	300	27	8	290	78	-7	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	277	246	55	9	2	4	22	75	7	7	1	221	305	320	625	99	299	27	8	286	76	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	268	238	51	8	1	4	21	74	7	6	1	218	301	312	614	94	297	28	8	282	73	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2392	2116	471	77	15	36	193	646	66	61	9	223	307	324	632	102	301	27	8	288	76	-64	+9	-2	+26	+52	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	128	21	4	10	52	176	18	17	2	223	307	325	632	103	302	27	8	288	76	-17	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4705	4145	891	131	26	68	381	1275	138	124	24	215	302	308	611	93	291	27	8	280	76	-126	+14	-4	+49	+99	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	123	18	4	9	53	176	19	17	3	215	303	307	610	92	291	27	8	280	76	-18	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.8	2,497	37	63	218	299	313	+27	+18	3.5	3.4
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+4.8	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kenny Fermin (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	203/290/268	66	288	1	3	28%	8%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	40→47	38→45	50	46	194/262/268	74	258	6	14	26%	8%	52	-2.2	208/274/317	109	299	10	11	32%	7%	68	-1.0	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Jeison Guzmán 2019 · A	20	42→43	37→45	53→50	41	199/250/268	69	276	4	14	28%	6%	47	-2.6	210/250/303	93	285	7	12	28%	4%	55	-2.0	202/251/311	109	284	10	10	31%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	38→47	35→40	52→60	47	181/251/244	63	237	2	17	23%	8%	42	-2.9	216/281/305	89	285	5	23	24%	7%	68	-1.0	218/285/304	87	285	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	42	193/245/268	75	263	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	238/286/328	90	316	8	10	26%	6%	74	-0.6	253/308/344	91	321	4	24	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Riley Unroe 2017 · A	21	42→47	36→45	46→55	44	199/262/261	62	279	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	203/271/281	78	291	6	12	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	42	177/241/251	73	261	4	13	32%	7%	40	-3.1	211/262/329	118	307	9	6	32%	7%	65	-1.2	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Michael Beltre 2015 · A	20	40→50	35→45	50→60	43	187/269/245	58	279	2	12	31%	8%	51	-2.3	200/263/276	76	291	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	224/296/341	118	306	9	22	28%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Raimundo De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	40	34→40	53→55	46	186/261/233	47	268	2	14	29%	8%	44	-2.8	194/271/245	51	308	2	22	34%	9%	51	-2.3	191/274/238	46	312	3	30	36%	10%	47	-0.9
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Raymel Flores 2015 · A	20	39	36→45	49→50	43	180/261/252	71	278	2	10	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/250/274	76	300	5	10	34%	6%	48	-2.5	186/237/250	64	284	4	11	34%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2007 · A	20	41→42	36→40	53→55	41	194/256/262	68	274	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	211/260/281	70	297	3	17	28%	5%	53	-2.1	221/265/291	71	306	2	19	27%	4%	54	-1.0
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2016 · A	19	41→45	37→45	53→50	49	193/276/274	81	272	2	12	28%	9%	59	-1.7	206/262/321	115	307	9	14	34%	7%	63	-1.3	199/269/311	112	312	11	14	37%	8%	62	-0.8
✕Cutter Coffey 2024 · A	20	38→45	39→45	49→50	44	185/262/271	86	271	7	13	32%	8%	53	-2.1	201/271/317	116	296	12	10	34%	8%	67	-1.1	199/268/315	116	299	12	9	35%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→46	36→45	51→55	38	195/248/268	73	295	3	10	33%	6%	46	-2.6	200/255/265	65	287	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1

Kenny Fermin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps