Angel Alvarez

IF DSL Pirates Gold

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Pirates G…	74	.186/.351/.237	0	2	17	—	.115/.270/.148
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	184	.196/.277/.264	1	2	57	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	56	.201/.283/.277	0	1	62	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%53

Speed24

wOBA21

wRC+20

BB%19

ISO16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJean Selmo (age 18) · Sherten Apostel (age 18) · Victor Cardoza (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj PA

wRC+57

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .275 / .262

PA70

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	74	59	11	3	0	0	8	23	7	2	4	186	351	237	589	51	306	31	11	295	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	74	61	7	2	0	0	6	28	7	2	4	115	270	148	418	33	201	38	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	74	61	7	2	0	0	6	28	7	2	4	115	270	148	418	33	212	38	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	74	59	11	3	0	0	8	23	7	2	4	186	351	237	589	51	306	31	11	295	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	74	61	7	2	0	0	6	28	7	2	4	115	270	148	418	33	201	38	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	74	61	7	2	0	0	6	28	7	2	4	115	270	148	418	33	201	38	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	184	163	32	6	1	1	13	57	6	2	1	196	277	264	541	68	290	31	7	252	57	-9	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	162	145	28	5	1	1	11	49	5	2	1	201	283	277	560	76	292	30	7	260	62	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	56	50	9	2	0	0	4	17	2	1	0	201	283	277	560	76	292	30	7	260	62	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	50	9	2	0	0	4	17	2	1	0	180	268	220	488	40	273	30	7	260	50	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	104	23	0	0	46	197	23	12	0	179	266	219	485	40	272	30	7	260	50	-29	+2	+0	+0	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	306	269	46	9	1	1	22	99	14	5	5	171	269	223	492	52	265	32	7	242	50	-11	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	97	19	2	2	47	210	30	11	11	170	269	221	489	51	263	32	7	242	50	-31	+1	+0	+0	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Alvarez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	194/275/262	67	290	0	1	31%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	37	38→40	53→45	42	178/244/257	79	264	5	8	33%	7%	43	-2.8	187/256/268	81	287	4	8	33%	8%	49	-2.4	189/276/283	93	254	3	8	24%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Sherten Apostel 2017 · A	18	37→35	35→45	46→40	41	175/245/234	59	282	3	4	36%	8%	38	-3.2	186/275/297	111	261	11	4	30%	10%	64	-1.3	193/267/324	131	282	16	2	36%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Victor Cardoza 2024 · A	18	40	37→40	50	41	188/264/265	77	274	3	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/247/286	91	301	7	13	36%	5%	51	-2.3	191/238/278	88	304	8	14	38%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	34	38→40	50	39	169/229/246	77	248	5	6	33%	6%	34	-3.5	162/235/226	64	222	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Roni Cabrera 2023 · A	18	38	37→45	51→55	42	182/249/251	69	265	4	10	31%	7%	43	-2.8	183/257/282	99	270	8	12	33%	8%	54	-2.0	154/234/265	111	235	11	17	37%	8%	40	-0.8
✕Robert Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	36	38→40	51→60	46	169/274/247	78	269	5	6	36%	10%	54	-2.0	182/297/263	81	257	4	11	27%	12%	66	-1.1	156/296/225	69	205	4	20	22%	14%	57	-0.6
✕Kendry Chirinos 2023 · A	18	37	36→40	47→50	50	173/283/243	70	269	3	4	33%	11%	57	-1.8	188/290/262	74	322	5	5	38%	11%	63	-1.4	190/285/262	72	323	6	3	38%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Maximo Rivera 2011 · A	18	38	35→40	46→60	41	182/244/236	54	260	2	9	29%	6%	38	-3.2	188/248/259	71	238	6	19	22%	6%	45	-2.7	211/263/264	53	270	3	24	22%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	37	37→40	48→40	49	176/273/245	69	259	5	4	31%	10%	53	-2.1	181/273/257	76	304	5	4	38%	9%	55	-2.0	161/257/235	74	286	5	3	41%	9%	43	-0.8
✕Yoel Romero 2016 · A	18	35	35→40	43→50	39	171/229/232	61	249	2	6	30%	5%	31	-3.7	185/246/243	58	237	3	11	22%	7%	40	-3.0	216/278/289	73	280	6	10	24%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	39	38→45	45	48	183/272/267	84	278	5	7	33%	10%	56	-1.9	171/272/262	91	324	7	5	44%	11%	56	-1.9	141/253/223	82	287	7	3	47%	12%	39	-1.2
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A	18	38	36→30	45→55	43	182/261/246	64	267	4	8	31%	7%	47	-2.5	191/274/257	66	277	5	15	30%	8%	55	-2.0	178/262/237	58	268	6	17	33%	8%	44	-0.9
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	39→36	37→40	50	43	187/252/262	75	256	4	8	27%	7%	47	-2.6	212/263/294	82	263	5	14	20%	5%	58	-1.7	223/269/315	92	265	7	18	18%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2011 · A	18	37	35→45	48→40	42	177/235/231	54	239	3	5	27%	6%	33	-3.6	184/243/259	75	261	6	4	30%	5%	43	-2.8	180/240/266	87	256	7	2	31%	5%	41	-0.9
✕Omar Meregildo 2016 · A	18	32→31	37→50	46→30	41	158/243/240	81	249	4	5	35%	8%	40	-3.1	178/239/259	81	271	5	5	34%	6%	42	-2.9	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Johan Lopez 2018 · A	18	37	35→45	46→55	43	176/237/233	57	229	2	11	23%	6%	34	-3.5	195/259/271	76	231	3	15	16%	6%	51	-2.2	197/272/303	107	268	9	18	28%	7%	63	-0.7
✕José Suárez 2023 · A	18	38	40	48→50	42	183/254/278	95	277	7	5	34%	8%	51	-2.2	188/244/278	90	306	8	7	39%	6%	48	-2.5	188/243/267	80	307	7	10	39%	5%	41	-1.4
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	35	37→40	46→50	41	173/237/247	74	261	4	10	34%	7%	38	-3.2	169/266/252	83	245	7	8	31%	10%	52	-2.2	142/256/221	79	200	9	6	31%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	40→37	36→40	43→50	42	189/253/255	66	268	3	10	29%	7%	45	-2.7	186/285/263	77	351	4	9	43%	10%	61	-1.5	162/274/240	78	346	5	7	47%	10%	51	-1.0
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7