Player 840570 — OGILVIE

Player 8405701B Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age — —/— A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .278 / .327

PA1

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP291

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	43	37	10	5	0	0	4	11	1	0	1	270	357	405	763	135	370	26	9	337	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	90	82	19	9	0	3	7	27	1	0	0	232	300	451	751	220	308	30	8	331	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	83	67	16	5	0	1	15	21	1	6	2	239	386	358	744	119	333	25	18	346	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	AAA MLE	St. Paul Saints	—	43	38	9	4	0	0	3	13	1	0	1	237	310	342	652	105	326	30	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	90	84	15	7	0	2	5	34	1	0	0	179	233	333	567	155	257	38	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	83	72	14	4	0	1	10	29	1	6	2	194	301	292	593	97	297	35	12	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	216	194	37	15	0	3	18	76	3	6	3	191	270	314	584	124	293	35	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	216	186	45	19	0	4	26	59	3	6	3	242	344	409	753	167	331	27	12	338	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	216	193	37	15	0	3	18	76	3	6	3	192	270	316	586	124	286	35	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	216	193	37	15	0	3	18	76	3	6	3	192	270	316	586	124	286	35	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	266	241	50	11	1	5	20	82	3	5	2	208	278	326	604	118	291	31	8	273	71	-9	+0	+0	-5	+6	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	208	278	327	605	118	291	0	0	273	71	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	315	285	59	13	1	6	24	96	3	5	2	210	280	333	613	122	290	30	8	276	73	-10	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	211	281	333	614	123	290	50	0	277	73	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0							50	0	277	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	650	0	0	0	0	0	325	0	0	0							50	0	277	69	-21	+0	+0	-12	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	761	686	139	38	2	13	60	243	9	15	6	203	275	321	596	118	290	32	8	270	69	-18	+1	+0	-10	+12	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	118	32	2	11	51	208	8	13	5	201	274	319	594	118	289	32	8	270	69	-22	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 840570 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	206/276/323	117	291	4	4	31%	8%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brennen Davis 2024 · AAA	24	37→43	43→50	46→45	41	187/271/296	108	268	12	11	33%	7%	63	-1.3	200/289/350	150	264	19	8	31%	8%	83	+0.1	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	41→40	46→50	53→55	45	203/286/334	131	286	13	16	32%	8%	77	-0.3	201/278/310	109	271	10	16	28%	8%	68	-1.0	161/249/251	90	216	7	20	27%	8%	42	-1.3
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	196/271/312	116	260	11	11	28%	8%	66	-1.1	211/300/351	140	290	16	6	31%	9%	86	+0.3	202/300/344	142	280	17	3	32%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Sean Coyle 2017 · AAA	25	36→38	44→50	48→50	38	184/248/296	113	287	12	11	39%	7%	54	-2.0	191/252/295	104	286	9	10	34%	7%	55	-2.0	155/215/247	92	224	3	6	30%	7%	26	-1.0
✕Dustin Geiger 2017 · AA	25	41→48	44→50	47→40	42	207/265/325	118	283	12	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/252/309	119	284	13	5	36%	6%	58	-1.7	163/229/276	113	245	13	1	37%	6%	40	-1.4
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	41→45	41→40	49→50	41	198/277/294	96	292	8	11	33%	7%	65	-1.2	214/291/318	104	318	9	11	33%	7%	75	-0.5	211/293/311	100	318	10	12	34%	7%	72	-0.5
✕Jacob Heyward 2021 · AA	25	41→40	44→45	44→50	47	199/291/316	117	303	12	11	35%	10%	75	-0.5	189/269/323	134	288	17	6	38%	8%	69	-0.9	161/244/293	131	239	18	2	39%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	42	45→50	43→50	41	210/264/333	123	276	13	9	28%	6%	68	-1.0	218/269/346	128	285	14	10	28%	6%	73	-0.6	207/260/336	129	270	15	8	28%	6%	64	-0.9
✕Brandon Parker 2024 · AA	25	40	44→45	49→50	42	194/274/309	115	303	11	11	37%	8%	67	-1.1	198/257/323	125	322	14	12	40%	6%	63	-1.3	160/214/294	134	257	17	12	44%	4%	38	-1.4
✕Cristian Pache 2024 · MLB	25	42→52	43→50	44→50	43	209/268/317	108	281	10	10	29%	7%	65	-1.2	213/279/319	106	315	8	12	32%	8%	70	-0.8	203/265/299	96	316	6	16	35%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Tyler Marincov 2017 · AA	25	42→41	44→50	45→50	40	209/261/328	118	282	12	10	30%	6%	65	-1.2	198/254/329	131	289	15	10	35%	6%	63	-1.3	177/235/308	132	263	16	10	38%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Riley Tirotta 2024 · AA	25	41→46	44→45	50	42	198/273/317	118	311	11	14	37%	9%	68	-1.0	209/290/331	122	316	13	13	35%	9%	78	-0.3	199/285/314	115	298	13	12	34%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	42	45	53→50	43	207/283/331	124	287	13	14	31%	8%	75	-0.5	191/260/300	109	276	11	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	165/237/264	99	239	10	12	34%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	39→41	45→50	51→50	39	197/255/317	121	276	13	15	33%	6%	61	-1.5	202/265/347	145	308	17	11	38%	7%	72	-0.7	193/259/342	149	302	19	10	40%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Taylor Featherston 2016 · MLB	26	41→46	46→50	50	39	210/255/341	131	269	13	12	27%	4%	66	-1.1	199/252/321	122	275	13	11	31%	5%	61	-1.5	185/242/302	117	264	13	12	34%	5%	51	-1.5
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/274/298	107	258	11	5	29%	9%	64	-1.3	195/276/301	106	276	9	7	31%	8%	65	-1.2	110/220/193	83	161	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Dustin Lawley 2014 · AAA	25	39→42	48→50	47→45	38	205/249/353	148	269	15	7	30%	5%	67	-1.1	194/235/326	132	264	14	7	31%	4%	55	-2.0	180/218/305	126	242	14	6	32%	4%	42	-2.1
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2