Deret Gonzalez

OF DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Blue Jays…	78	.125/.273/.172	0	1	-17	—	.075/.195/.104
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBTOR	188	.180/.255/.247	1	2	44	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBTOR	57	.186/.262/.262	0	1	50	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%53

BB%41

Speed30

ISO14

wOBA3

wRC+3

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsShalin Polanco (age 18) · Luis Montano (age 18) · Deward Tovar (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 72 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .253 / .245

PA72

HR0

K%36

BB%8

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	64	8	3	0	0	11	33	2	1	0	125	273	172	445	47	258	42	14	225	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	67	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	75	195	104	299	30	168	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	67	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	75	195	104	299	30	185	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	64	8	3	0	0	11	33	2	1	0	125	273	172	445	47	258	42	14	225	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	68	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	74	195	103	298	29	168	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	78	68	5	2	0	0	8	40	2	1	0	74	195	103	298	29	168	51	10	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	188	169	30	6	1	1	15	68	2	2	1	180	255	247	502	68	290	36	8	233	44	-13	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	165	149	27	5	1	1	13	59	2	2	1	185	262	261	522	76	292	36	8	242	50	-10	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
2028	19	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	57	51	9	2	0	0	5	20	1	1	0	186	262	262	524	76	293	35	9	243	50	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	51	9	2	0	0	5	20	1	1	0	176	263	216	479	39	290	35	9	243	32	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	103	23	0	0	57	228	11	11	0	177	263	216	480	40	291	35	9	243	32	-39	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	315	281	43	9	1	1	27	125	5	4	1	153	240	203	442	50	269	40	9	215	32	-15	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	89	19	2	2	56	258	10	8	2	153	240	203	443	50	270	40	9	215	32	-40	+1	+0	-4	+14	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deret Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	178/253/245	67	290	0	1	36%	8%	44	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shalin Polanco 2022 · A	18	33→24	37→45	50	41	166/225/237	71	243	4	9	32%	7%	30	-3.8	184/243/289	105	285	11	12	37%	6%	50	-2.3	167/230/282	114	265	13	13	40%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Luis Montano 2018 · A	18	35	38→40	43→40	42	171/240/251	80	267	5	4	36%	8%	40	-3.1	165/240/242	77	293	3	4	41%	8%	38	-3.2	144/218/232	88	257	4	2	42%	8%	26	-1.3
✕Deward Tovar 2024 · A	18	40→32	36→50	47→40	44	188/257/254	67	280	3	7	32%	8%	47	-2.5	183/259/279	96	306	9	6	39%	9%	54	-2.0	168/247/288	120	280	14	4	42%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Diowill Burgos 2019 · A	18	33	39→45	44→40	42	165/236/249	84	254	6	5	36%	8%	38	-3.2	192/265/314	122	286	12	6	34%	9%	64	-1.3	169/255/295	126	259	12	4	37%	10%	55	-1.0
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2022 · A	18	38	35→40	52→50	45	172/270/233	61	296	2	9	38%	10%	49	-2.4	184/266/264	80	282	5	12	33%	9%	53	-2.1	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Thomas Sosa 2023 · A	18	36→41	37→45	44→50	40	176/242/247	71	258	5	4	32%	6%	40	-3.0	191/255/285	94	290	8	13	34%	7%	53	-2.1	179/247/278	99	271	9	16	35%	7%	46	-1.2
✕Jeremias Portorreal 2016 · A	18	32	35→40	48→40	49	155/250/217	62	242	2	3	33%	11%	37	-3.3	179/253/259	80	275	4	4	33%	8%	47	-2.6	162/234/245	82	251	5	2	35%	7%	34	-1.0
✕Jhon Diaz 2022 · A	19	34→26	35→45	47→50	43	163/238/223	60	266	3	7	37%	9%	33	-3.6	174/231/267	93	282	7	13	38%	7%	40	-3.1	164/219/273	109	248	11	18	37%	6%	35	-1.9
✕Roberto Rodriguez 2007 · A	18	34	35→40	43→45	37	160/231/217	56	288	2	7	42%	7%	29	-3.8	183/262/245	62	258	3	6	27%	9%	47	-2.5	182/235/254	73	256	5	7	29%	6%	36	-1.7
✕Skeiling Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38	35→40	46→50	43	175/253/234	59	290	1	7	37%	9%	41	-3.0	187/251/264	77	274	3	8	30%	7%	47	-2.6	178/238/267	89	247	4	8	28%	7%	40	-0.9
✕Gilbert Marrero 2016 · A	19	35	37→40	44→40	43	169/242/238	68	258	4	4	34%	8%	38	-3.2	181/235/248	67	324	3	6	42%	6%	36	-3.3	128/165/165	37	265	0	3	49%	4%	-12	-1.2
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	36	40→45	46→30	44	176/254/269	93	267	7	5	35%	9%	50	-2.3	190/273/308	118	316	13	3	40%	9%	66	-1.1	177/264/302	125	302	16	1	43%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Omar Meregildo 2016 · A	18	32→31	37→50	46→30	41	158/243/240	81	249	4	5	35%	8%	40	-3.1	178/239/259	81	271	5	5	34%	6%	42	-2.9	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2022 · A	18	39→36	36→40	47→50	43	180/257/249	68	299	3	8	38%	9%	46	-2.6	189/284/269	80	303	5	13	35%	11%	61	-1.5	168/270/246	78	276	6	15	37%	11%	49	-0.8
✕Jancory De La Cruz 2024 · A	18	37	38→40	50→45	47	178/266/259	80	278	5	8	35%	10%	52	-2.2	165/252/242	77	274	6	9	38%	10%	44	-2.8	128/223/197	69	215	7	9	41%	10%	22	-1.1
✕Junior Amarante 2013 · A	18	36	35→30	48→55	37	170/231/227	56	268	2	8	35%	6%	31	-3.7	180/246/225	45	260	1	15	29%	7%	36	-3.4	181/246/207	26	251	0	22	26%	6%	29	-1.2
✕Derlin Figueroa 2022 · A	18	34→38	34→45	42→50	47	165/247/220	55	243	2	6	31%	9%	36	-3.4	190/262/294	104	257	10	9	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/248/292	114	235	13	11	29%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Dan Arcila 2008 · A	18	34	34→40	45→50	41	162/226/217	55	259	2	5	36%	8%	26	-4.0	163/245/220	57	251	2	13	32%	9%	35	-3.4	148/205/259	111	200	11	10	31%	6%	25	-1.3
✕José Suárez 2023 · A	18	38	40	48→50	42	183/254/278	95	277	7	5	34%	8%	51	-2.2	188/244/278	90	306	8	7	39%	6%	48	-2.5	188/243/267	80	307	7	10	39%	5%	41	-1.4
✕Jakey Josepha 2022 · A	18	40→45	36→40	44→55	41	187/248/253	65	285	3	7	34%	7%	43	-2.8	196/268/264	68	300	5	12	33%	9%	53	-2.1	172/246/236	64	290	6	13	39%	8%	39	-1.1