Player 837522 DSL Astros Orange
Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION115 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+85
AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .328 / .344
PA188
HR3
SB10
K%28
BB%11
BABIP324
ISO110
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +0.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+0BATRUN: +4.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -5.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +8.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.30.40.40.5+$15M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKDSL Astros Orange 11594 26502 17332 150 277398394792 117393 2915 352 128 +4 +3 +0 -2 +3 0.8
YTD ROKDSL Astros Orange 11584 30603 27232 150 3575225361.058 179450 2023 463 213 +15 +3 +0 -2 +3 1.9
ROS ROK 0% 188163 38713 21532 100 233328344672 110312 2811 297 85 -3 +2 +0 -3 +5 0.1
ROS MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 312 297 85 +0 -0
FULL ROK 11595 26502 17332 150 274398389788 116387 2915 352 128 +4 +3 +0 -2 +3 0.8
TOT ROK 303257 641215 38864 250 249355362716 113349 2813 318 101 +0 +5 +0 -5 +9 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLB 0% 305266 601115 33853 91 226318331649 105307 2811 300 87 -4 +1 +0 -5 +9 0.0
202825 MLB 0% 401351 801428 431104 111 228319348667 120306 2711 302 89 -5 +2 +0 -7 +11 0.1
202925 MLB 0% 466408 931729 501275 131 228320346665 118305 2711 304 91 -5 +2 +0 -8 +13 0.2
203025 MLB 0% 510445 10318211 541386 141 231323355678 124304 2711 305 92 -5 +2 +0 -9 +14 0.3
203125 MLB 0% 541472 10819211 581466 141 229321347668 119304 2711 306 92 -5 +2 +0 -10 +15 0.3
203225 MLB 0% 563492 11320212 601526 151 230321352672 122304 2711 306 92 -5 +3 +0 -10 +16 0.4
203325 MLB 0% 579505 11721213 621577 151 232324358682 127304 2711 307 93 -5 +3 +0 -10 +16 0.4
203425 MLB 0% 591516 11821213 631607 161 229321353674 124303 2711 307 93 -4 +3 +0 -11 +17 0.5
202725 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 307 300 87 +0 -0
202825 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 306 302 89 +0 -0
202925 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 305 304 91 +0 -0
203025 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 304 305 92 +0 -0
203125 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 304 306 92 +0 -0
203225 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 304 306 92 +0 -0
203325 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 304 307 93 +0 -0
203425 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 303 307 93 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 41443618 8301481685 444112846 1178 229321350671 120307 2711 305 91 -41 +20 +0 -74 +117 2.3
/ 162G 650567 13023313 701777 181 229321349670 120308 2711 305 91 -6 +3 +0 -12 +18 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA
114,96317933242316418-54-338.39.6
/162664244-7.3-4.41.1pk7: 11
#2Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA
102,74339106241331351-11-25.36.2
/162664926-2.7-0.51.3pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
94,25987116229317349-48+04.94.9
/1626641418-7.5+0.00.8pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 837522 (OGILVIE) 25 249/355/362 113349 525 28% 13% 101 +0.9
Nate Eaton
2022 · A
25 40→49 40→50 55→60 44 195/262/286 91267 719 29% 7% 50 -1.7 218/272/351 133286 1528 28% 6% 72 -0.2 219/272/357138284142727%5%70-0.2
Quincy Hamilton
2022 · A
24 46→44 40→50 51→50 46 220/295/307 87301 715 28% 8% 70 -0.3 219/300/362 143286 1614 28% 9% 87 +0.8 207/292/361154264181428%9%80+0.3
Jeremy Rathjen
2014 · A
24 44→41 42→50 51→50 47 214/288/323 109274 917 24% 8% 72 -0.2 210/270/352 142276 1611 29% 7% 72 -0.2 199/257/35916125521731%6%64-0.4
Jonathan Davis
2017 · A
25 40→50 46→45 54→55 44 199/284/331 132279 1321 32% 8% 72 -0.2 219/298/335 116289 1019 26% 8% 79 +0.3 221/302/335114287102025%8%78+0.2
Nick Podkul
2021 · A
24 43 38→50 52→50 48 205/281/287 81278 514 26% 8% 59 -1.1 205/289/343 138278 168 30% 9% 78 +0.2 208/303/36715928421332%10%85+0.3
Allen Córdoba
2021 · A
25 48→53 41→45 53→55 40 231/281/330 100302 720 26% 5% 69 -0.4 233/301/351 118292 1016 23% 6% 84 +0.6 231/305/357125285111822%6%86+0.3
Mario Lisson
2008 · A
24 47→49 42→55 52→55 43 226/287/335 108297 919 26% 6% 73 -0.1 206/252/321 115268 1217 27% 5% 55 -1.4 231/301/37714630019828%7%90+0.7
Tucker Bradley
2022 · A
24 47→53 41→50 54→50 47 223/295/331 108303 811 27% 8% 76 +0.1 244/308/384 140316 1315 26% 8% 95 +1.4 252/316/405153320161725%8%100+1.2
Daniel Lyons
2010 · A
25 44→48 40→45 51→50 50 209/293/306 97268 715 23% 9% 69 -0.4 198/286/274 76275 412 27% 9% 59 -1.1 173/276/2235024921128%10%41-1.4
Jimmy Herron
2021 · A
25 39→45 40→45 48→55 48 189/266/279 90247 814 26% 8% 51 -1.7 208/286/327 119270 1218 26% 9% 72 -0.2 212/289/340128261152424%8%74-0.1
Brian O'Grady
2017 · A
25 39→37 42→60 53→50 48 191/276/300 109267 1014 30% 10% 61 -1.0 199/268/347 148275 1614 32% 8% 69 -0.4 207/269/398192270241532%7%82+0.3
Corey Julks
2021 · AA
25 43→51 40→55 48→55 44 206/273/302 95290 712 30% 8% 59 -1.1 226/284/379 153298 1817 29% 7% 84 +0.6 227/289/390162290202128%7%86+0.6
Kyle Petty
2016 · A
25 46→49 42→50 53→50 39 221/266/325 104308 911 30% 5% 61 -1.0 230/288/343 113330 119 32% 6% 76 +0.1 233/295/34811533512832%7%78+0.1
Reid Gorecki
2006 · AA
25 42→51 43→50 50→55 45 209/273/323 114278 1019 28% 8% 65 -0.7 218/279/350 132281 1519 27% 7% 75 -0.0 249/303/371121310122123%6%86+0.4
Kyle Datres
2022 · A
26 39→40 45→50 54→55 44 194/276/317 123270 1218 31% 8% 66 -0.6 209/287/354 145287 1823 32% 8% 79 +0.3 198/279/346148268202632%8%71-0.1
Dylan Moore
2017 · A
24 44→47 43→50 55→65 47 214/294/334 120273 1023 24% 8% 77 +0.1 206/272/327 121267 1118 26% 7% 66 -0.6 210/332/386176289164130%12%104+1.0
Stuart Fairchild
2021 · AA
25 43→42 43→50 47→55 42 212/278/328 116288 1010 29% 7% 69 -0.4 223/300/379 156295 1713 29% 8% 92 +1.2 220/316/365145284152626%9%92+0.7
Scott Heineman
2017 · A
24 46→56 43→45 51→50 42 222/289/341 118312 1017 30% 7% 76 +0.1 239/297/355 116328 1114 29% 6% 83 +0.6 257/317/388131330151625%6%97+0.8
Ben Harrison
2006 · A
24 45→50 41→50 50 41 217/268/312 96298 912 29% 6% 59 -1.1 229/289/375 146313 1811 31% 6% 85 +0.7 229/293/384155314201232%7%88+0.7
Eli White
2019 · AA
25 49 41→50 49→60 42 230/288/337 107320 712 29% 6% 74 -0.1 213/280/330 117302 1113 31% 7% 70 -0.3 238/302/384146318183130%7%89+0.5