Oscar Rivas

IF DSL Astros Orange

Age 19 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	18	ROKDSL Astros Or…	79	.262/.416/.344	1	1	54	—	.185/.312/.246
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLB—	189	.211/.291/.281	2	2	65	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	56	.215/.295/.292	1	1	70	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%77

Whiff%68

wOBA55

wRC+49

K%49

BB%49

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsHenry Pena (age 19) · Luis Castillo (age 19) · Iverson Leonardo (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+65

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .288 / .278

PA73

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	79	61	16	2	0	1	12	17	4	1	2	262	416	344	760	82	333	22	15	351	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	79	65	12	1	0	1	8	21	4	1	2	185	312	246	558	62	229	27	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	79	65	12	1	0	1	8	21	4	1	2	185	312	246	558	62	244	27	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	79	61	16	2	0	1	12	17	4	1	2	262	416	344	760	82	333	22	15	351	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	79	67	12	1	0	1	8	21	4	1	2	179	312	239	550	60	229	27	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	79	67	12	1	0	1	8	21	4	1	2	179	312	239	550	60	229	27	10	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	189	168	36	5	1	2	15	51	4	2	1	211	291	281	571	70	290	27	8	264	65	-8	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	164	147	32	5	1	2	13	44	3	2	1	215	295	292	587	77	292	27	8	271	70	-6	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	56	50	11	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	215	295	292	587	77	292	27	9	271	70	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	50	11	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	220	304	320	624	100	294	27	9	271	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	128	23	0	12	58	174	12	12	0	221	305	322	627	102	294	27	9	271	65	-24	+2	+0	+0	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	316	278	58	8	1	4	27	85	8	4	3	209	297	288	585	79	281	27	9	264	65	-9	+0	+0	+0	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	119	16	2	8	56	175	16	8	6	208	297	285	582	77	281	27	9	264	65	-25	+1	+0	+0	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oscar Rivas (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	209/288/278	69	290	1	1	27%	8%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Luis Castillo 2023 · A	19	43→36	39→50	47→40	44	207/268/293	86	280	7	7	28%	7%	59	-1.6	186/256/287	101	276	10	4	34%	8%	55	-2.0	164/248/298	134	222	17	2	33%	10%	54	-1.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	42	38→45	46→50	48	198/278/293	95	270	4	9	26%	8%	64	-1.3	187/263/295	108	293	10	8	37%	8%	59	-1.6	153/242/259	106	250	10	8	40%	8%	42	-0.7
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	40	38→40	49→50	45	192/259/276	85	264	5	8	28%	8%	53	-2.1	181/236/251	70	267	4	6	32%	6%	38	-3.2	148/203/199	52	218	3	3	32%	5%	12	-1.4
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Willian Berti 2024 · A	18	39	36→40	45→40	51	184/277/252	68	253	4	5	27%	10%	55	-1.9	174/276/249	75	247	5	5	28%	11%	55	-2.0	136/272/212	76	189	5	4	28%	14%	45	-0.7
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	40	38→40	44→45	45	188/266/270	82	276	4	6	31%	8%	55	-2.0	207/268/294	87	267	4	10	23%	7%	59	-1.6	240/273/329	88	342	5	9	30%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	42	172/250/235	63	266	3	6	34%	8%	40	-3.0	198/264/283	85	295	7	4	33%	8%	57	-1.8	188/259/268	80	276	7	3	32%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2017 · A	19	37	35→55	53→50	43	177/251/241	65	256	2	8	30%	7%	42	-2.9	192/259/282	90	265	4	9	27%	7%	54	-2.0	185/255/303	118	252	4	11	26%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Deward Tovar 2024 · A	18	40→32	36→50	47→40	44	188/257/254	67	280	3	7	32%	8%	47	-2.5	183/259/279	96	306	9	6	39%	9%	54	-2.0	168/247/288	120	280	14	4	42%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	42	37→40	48→40	51	197/283/270	73	274	5	9	28%	10%	61	-1.5	201/292/304	103	274	9	5	27%	11%	72	-0.7	185/288/299	114	245	11	3	27%	12%	68	-0.3
✕Guillermo Williamson 2023 · A	19	36	40→45	46→30	44	176/254/269	93	267	7	5	35%	9%	50	-2.3	190/273/308	118	316	13	3	40%	9%	66	-1.1	177/264/302	125	302	16	1	43%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Eddinson Paulino 2021 · A	19	44→42	36→50	43→50	48	208/278/279	71	278	3	7	25%	8%	60	-1.6	214/283/340	126	290	8	13	27%	8%	76	-0.4	207/274/352	145	279	12	17	29%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	46	190/261/259	69	270	4	9	29%	8%	50	-2.3	191/256/256	65	306	3	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	156/231/187	31	268	0	14	38%	8%	19	-1.5
✕Randel Alcantara 2016 · A	19	41	39→45	45	46	193/272/285	92	247	5	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	191/250/292	101	251	8	6	26%	5%	53	-2.1	133/176/243	110	158	14	3	27%	3%	13	-1.3
✕Albert Fabian 2021 · A	19	41→45	38→50	47→45	47	195/270/276	81	266	4	7	27%	8%	57	-1.8	193/253/309	116	288	12	5	35%	7%	59	-1.7	217/272/336	119	265	13	9	23%	6%	70	-0.4