Rafi Santo

P DSL Royals Ventura

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 156 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	7	0	13	4.05	5.05	20.3%	13.6%	—	K 13.8% · BB 16.9% · FIP 7.05
2026	19	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	12	3	24	5.92	4.29	10.7%	8.0%	—	K 7.3% · BB 10.0% · FIP 5.13
2027PROJ	20	MLBKC	11	0	12	4.98	4.98	18.1%	10.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBKC	10	0	11	4.81	4.74	19.4%	10.1%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsSaul Teran (age 20) · Joangel Gonzalez (age 20) · Josnier Parra (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%18.1%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%7.2%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	7	0	13	59	12	8	2	0%	1.9	13.8%	16.9%	-3.1%	5.4%	4.05	7.05	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	7	0	13	59	12	8	2	0%	1.9	13.8%	16.9%	-3.1%	5.4%	4.05	7.05	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	7	0	13	59	12	8	2	0%	1.9	20.3%	13.6%	6.8%	3.4%	4.05	5.05	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	3	24	112	12	9	2	25%	2.0	7.3%	10.0%	-2.8%	2.5%	5.92	5.13	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	12	3	24	112	12	9	2	25%	2.0	7.3%	10.0%	-2.8%	2.5%	5.92	5.13	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	12	3	24	112	12	9	2	25%	2.0	10.7%	8.0%	2.7%	1.8%	5.92	4.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	KC	11	0	12	51	9	6	2	0%	1.1	18.1%	10.9%	7.2%	3.0%	4.98	4.98	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	KC	22	0	23	97	19	10	3	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	2.9%	4.81	4.74	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	KC	10	0	11	46	9	5	1	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	2.9%	4.81	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	9	5	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	2.9%	4.81	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	88	18	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.1%	9.3%	2.9%	4.81	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		19	3	38	171	16	21	6	16%	2.0	9.5%	12.4%	-2.9%	3.5%	5.26	5.79	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	16	200	908	87	113	32	16%	2.0	9.5%	12.4%	-2.9%	3.5%	5.26	5.79	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rafi Santo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	18.1%	10.9%	3.0%	—	4.74	19.4%	9.3%	23	-0.24	—	—	—
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	89
Joangel Gonzalez R 2024 · 4.23 FIP	20	SU	4.23	18.3%	11.7%	2.1%	.312	5.15	18.3%	2.5%	116	+0.92	3.93	151	87
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	87
Yeuris Jimenez R 2021 · 4.42 FIP	20	SU	4.42	16.3%	9.6%	2.7%	.290	4.24	18.1%	4.6%	162	-0.18	3.32	328	85
Logan Lombana R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	21	SU	4.63	16.9%	10.0%	3.1%	.315	4.02	15.7%	8.1%	123	-0.61	3.80	155	84
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	84
Blake Workman R 2018 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.98	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.02	3.09	213	83
Edgar Sanchez R 2021 · 3.89 FIP	20	SW	3.89	17.2%	11.0%	1.5%	.288	4.34	16.2%	3.0%	189	+0.45	2.53	257	83
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	83
Carlos Campos R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	20	SU	4.82	20.4%	10.7%	3.8%	.304	5.85	15.3%	8.1%	19	+1.03	4.82	134	83
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	82
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	82
Joseilyn Gonzalez R 2022 · 4.98 FIP	20	SU	4.98	14.5%	8.5%	3.7%	.321	5.20	14.5%	-3.2%	107	+0.22	4.98	168	82
Dan Wheeler R 2000 · 3.82 FIP	22	SW	3.82	15.3%	8.1%	1.8%	.325	4.16	15.7%	9.7%	69	+0.34	2.77	641	82
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	82
Huei-Sheng Lin R 2019 · 4.59 FIP	20	SW	4.59	17.4%	7.4%	3.7%	.360	5.64	16.1%	3.7%	88	+1.05	4.59	120	81
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	81
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	81
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	81