Joseilyn Gonzalez P Great Lakes Loons
Age 24 RHP 5'11" / 160 lbs A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 164155vR 146
ERA6.52
FIP6.52
K%13.6%
BB%21.5%
K-BB%-7.9%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
K: -4.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: -11.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-11BBCONTACT: -2.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +5.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -1.40 (72 IP)-1.4WAR
-0.10.00.00.0262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3535
CTRL2020
CMD2020
K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202220ROKDSL LAD Mega1712611725836%1.514.5%8.5%6.0%3.8%6.665.03
202220ROKDSL LAD Mega1712611725836%1.521.4%6.8%14.5%2.6%6.663.61
202422ARancho Cucamonga Quakes39062287553570%1.614.2%14.4%-0.2%2.8%5.665.25
202422ARancho Cucamonga Quakes39062287553570%1.619.2%12.2%7.0%2.4%5.664.49
202523A+Great Lakes Loons40145198383812%1.114.8%22.1%-7.3%0.6%2.805.00
202523A+Great Lakes Loons40145198383812%1.119.2%19.2%0.0%0.5%2.804.23
▸ 2026 Season
202624A+Great Lakes Loons1401579161520%1.115.6%21.8%-6.2%3.2%7.046.29-0.3
ROS24MLBLAD54057241335260%1.113.6%21.5%-7.9%2.7%6.526.52-1.3
ROS24MLBLAD013.6%21.5%-7.9%2.7%6.526.52
2026 TOT24MLBLAD723204967815.2%20.9%-5.7%2.6%6.636.47-1.4
2026 FULL24MLBLAD0100013.6%21.5%-7.9%2.7%6.526.14-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBLAD55058244384670%1.115.6%18.9%-3.3%2.7%6.146.03-1.0
202826MLBLAD55058244414470%1.116.7%18.1%-1.4%2.7%5.915.85-0.9
202927MLBLAD54057240414370%1.117.0%17.7%-0.7%2.8%5.825.81-0.8
202725MLBLAD24025106162030%1.015.6%18.9%-3.3%2.7%6.146.03-0.4
202826MLBLAD36038160272940%1.116.7%18.1%-1.4%2.7%5.915.85-0.6
202927MLBLAD42044186323350%1.017.0%17.7%-0.7%2.8%5.825.81-0.6
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career10201084547582120%1.116.6%18.1%-1.6%2.7%5.935.50-0.1
/ 200 IP1900200844139152220%1.116.6%18.1%-1.6%2.7%5.935.50-0.2
Career110214868199112162%1.314.6%16.5%-1.9%2.4%5.115.26+0.2
/ 200 IP1493200920134152222%1.314.6%16.5%-1.9%2.4%5.115.26+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Joseilyn Gonzalez (OGILVIE) 6.52 13.6%21.5%2.7% 5.90 16.4%-1.8%172 -0.62
Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP 24 SU 5.71 17.1%21.3%2.5%.289 5.52 107 89
CJ Weins R 2026 · 5.54 FIP 24 SU 5.54 17.8%23.0%1.9%.302 5.65 15.5%0.6%32 +0.11 4.42 113 87
Kelvin Vasquez R 2026 · 6.27 FIP 24 SU 6.27 15.0%23.2%2.7%.247 5.23 14.5%-0.2%48 -1.04 4.80 180 85
Luke Savage R 2026 · 5.70 FIP 24 SU 5.70 15.0%17.7%3.0%.358 3.69 117 85
Jairo Beras R 2026 · 5.32 FIP 24 SU 5.32 15.0%20.3%1.7%.310 3.29 110 85
Jake Gozzo R 2026 · 7.15 FIP 24 SU 7.15 14.3%30.2%2.6%.200 5.29 15.8%-0.7%129 -1.86 4.29 162 84
Yordy Cabrera R 2027 · 5.43 FIP 25 SU 5.43 15.8%17.2%2.7%.321 4.31 13.7%2.7%140 -1.12 3.48 159 84
Leandro Linares R 2026 · 5.59 FIP 24 SU 5.59 16.2%22.0%2.0%.353 1.93 134 84
Jack Hartman R 2026 · 5.65 FIP 24 SU 5.65 15.1%20.3%2.3%.357 4.02 19.5%8.6%143 -1.63 3.42 161 83
Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP 24 SU 5.51 16.2%15.5%3.3%.312 4.61 11.0%-6.3%79 -0.90 4.29 132 83
Dylan Rheault R 2025 · 5.57 FIP 23 SU 5.57 6.5%14.9%2.1%.288 4.14 14.1%4.8%96 -1.43 3.96 198 83
Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP 24 SU 5.72 18.0%19.6%3.0%.218 4.72 18.7%-2.4%46 -1.00 4.72 102 83
Darvin Garcia R 2026 · 5.93 FIP 24 SU 5.93 13.4%19.6%2.7%.277 4.87 15.5%-3.1%80 -1.06 2.97 212 83
Connor Cooke R 2026 · 5.36 FIP 24 SU 5.36 17.8%19.9%2.3%.253 2.92 103 82
Abel Brito R 2025 · 6.54 FIP 23 SU 6.54 14.0%23.6%3.0%.301 4.13 147 81
Carlos Polanco R 2025 · 5.37 FIP 23 SU 5.37 13.9%20.0%1.7%.267 3.58 276 81
Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP 24 SU 5.45 11.5%14.0%2.8%.300 4.85 13.9%3.6%164 -0.60 3.93 419 81
Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 6.68 FIP 24 SU 6.68 13.5%18.4%4.3%.245 4.87 17.4%4.0%147 -1.81 4.31 164 81
Jake Ehret R 2026 · 5.62 FIP 24 SU 5.62 12.3%15.8%2.9%.311 3.88 173 81
Conner O'Neil R 2026 · 5.58 FIP 24 SU 5.58 12.8%13.6%3.3%.340 7.24 16.4%4.1%26 +1.66 2.90 115 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45715.7%19.0%1.056.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
John Gant ('21)48520.1%12.5%0.793.91
Steven Brault ('21)65718.8%11.3%1.004.77