Randy Ramnarace — OGILVIE

Randy Ramnarace P Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%21.4%

BB%15.7%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP31

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	30	1	44	211	41	44	3	3%	1.5	14.4%	24.6%	-10.2%	1.8%	3.68	6.02	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	30	1	44	211	41	44	3	3%	1.5	14.4%	24.6%	-10.2%	1.8%	3.68	6.02	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	KC	30	1	44	211	41	44	3	3%	1.5	19.4%	20.9%	-1.4%	1.4%	3.68	4.88	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	43	0	45	191	43	26	6	0%	1.1	22.5%	13.5%	9.0%	2.9%	5.01	4.89	-0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	45	0	47	198	46	24	6	0%	1.0	23.3%	12.0%	11.3%	2.9%	4.76	4.62	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	46	0	48	204	49	23	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.1%	12.8%	2.9%	4.56	4.43	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	46	0	49	206	50	21	6	0%	1.1	24.2%	10.4%	13.8%	2.8%	4.42	4.32	+0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	46	0	49	206	50	21	6	0%	1.1	24.4%	10.4%	14.0%	2.8%	4.35	4.30	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	21	0	22	93	21	13	3	0%	1.0	22.5%	13.5%	9.0%	2.9%	5.01	4.89	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	32	0	34	144	33	17	4	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.0%	11.3%	2.9%	4.76	4.62	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	38	0	40	169	40	19	5	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.1%	12.8%	2.9%	4.56	4.43	+0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	41	0	43	182	44	19	5	0%	1.0	24.2%	10.4%	13.8%	2.8%	4.42	4.32	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	43	0	45	190	46	20	5	0%	1.0	24.4%	10.4%	14.0%	2.8%	4.35	4.30	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		175	0	184	777	185	87	22	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.2%	12.6%	2.9%	4.57	4.08	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	201	95	24	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.2%	12.6%	2.9%	4.57	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		30	1	44	211	30	52	4	3%	1.5	14.4%	24.6%	-10.2%	1.8%	3.68	6.02	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	5	200	959	138	236	18	3%	1.5	14.4%	24.6%	-10.2%	1.8%	3.68	6.02	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Randy Ramnarace (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	21.4%	15.7%	3.0%	—	4.64	23.2%	11.1%	140	-0.66	—	—	—
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	92
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	90
Kyle Hinton R 2018 · 4.17 FIP	21	SU	4.17	23.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.275	5.69	17.7%	-0.7%	75	+1.52	4.17	106	90
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	89
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	89
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.79	29.0%	15.6%	152	-1.12	3.38	209	88
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	88
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	88
Gabriel Ponce R 2021 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	24.4%	16.2%	2.8%	.328	4.54	22.4%	7.7%	110	-0.08	4.45	161	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	87
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	87
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	86
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	86
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	86
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	86
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	86
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	85
Daniel Procopio R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	21	SU	4.33	23.4%	18.8%	1.5%	.283	4.43	20.5%	6.5%	81	+0.10	4.16	103	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	45	23.4%	11.9%	1.12	4.69
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10