Louis Marinaro
P
Hickory Crawdads
Age 21
LHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 98108vR 117
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%23.4%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.2%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 23 | 0 | 32 | 140 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 4.73 | 2.82 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 0 | 23 | 95 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 55 | 235 | 66 | 20 | 4 | — | — | 28.2% | 8.4% | 19.8% | 1.6% | 4.55 | 3.43 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 23 | 0 | 24 | 100 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 4.13 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 3.75 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 206 | 69 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 4.20 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 23 | 0 | 32 | 140 | 33 | 13 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 4.73 | 2.82 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 142 | 0 | 200 | 866 | 201 | 80 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 0.9% | 4.73 | 2.82 | +6.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Louis Marinaro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.13 | 24.3% | 15.6% | 24 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 87 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 85 |
| Garvin Alston L 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 84 |
| Denny Bentley L 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.85 | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.8% | .318 | 2.88 | 25.4% | 10.3% | 58 | -1.97 | 2.88 | 175 | 84 |
| Dominic LoBrutto L 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.31 | 21.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | .333 | 3.51 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 84 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 135 | 84 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 83 |
| Marlon Perez L 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.25 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 1.3% | .250 | 4.25 | 22.9% | 12.2% | 103 | +1.00 | 3.25 | 145 | 82 |
| Destin Dotson L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.90 | 22.3% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .288 | 5.84 | 23.0% | 3.1% | 48 | +1.94 | 2.90 | 113 | 82 |
| Jeff Singer L 2027 · 3.23 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.23 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .263 | 3.54 | 22.6% | 10.4% | 174 | +0.31 | 2.83 | 292 | 80 |
| Abdallah Aris L 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.63 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 109 | 80 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.54 | 23.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .259 | 4.09 | 19.9% | 7.5% | 106 | +0.55 | 3.54 | 206 | 80 |
| Harry Gustin L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 80 |
| Easton Lucas L 2029 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 80 |
| Liu Fuenmayor L 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.76 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.29 | 22.5% | 15.5% | 21 | -1.47 | 3.29 | 130 | 80 |
| Manuel Medina L 2026 · 5.31 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.31 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 4.9% | .319 | 2.79 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 78 | -2.52 | 1.26 | 157 | 79 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 79 |
| Ronny Agustin L 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.70 | 22.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.90 | 20.2% | 3.5% | 81 | +0.20 | 3.13 | 158 | 79 |
| Brian Marconi L 2029 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 79 |
| Connor Curlis L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 79 |
| Jerry Vasto L 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.18 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 1.2% | .265 | 3.39 | 23.3% | 12.8% | 147 | +0.21 | 2.84 | 206 | 79 |