Marlon Perez — OGILVIE

Marlon Perez P Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 26 LHP 5'10" / 180 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%22.7%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%10.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	28	0	42	170	47	13	2	0%	1.5	20.5%	9.0%	11.4%	1.4%	3.46	3.30	—
2022	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	28	0	42	170	47	13	2	0%	1.5	27.6%	7.6%	20.0%	1.2%	3.46	2.40	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	36	1	70	286	88	20	6	3%	1.9	23.7%	8.0%	15.7%	2.9%	2.97	3.69	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	36	1	70	286	88	20	6	3%	1.9	23.7%	8.0%	15.7%	2.9%	2.97	3.69	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	36	1	70	286	88	20	6	3%	1.9	30.8%	7.0%	23.8%	2.1%	2.97	2.55	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	27	0	34	156	43	22	4	0%	1.2	21.2%	16.2%	5.0%	3.2%	6.15	5.09	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	27	0	34	156	43	22	4	0%	1.2	21.2%	16.2%	5.0%	3.2%	6.15	5.09	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	27	0	34	156	43	22	4	0%	1.2	27.6%	14.1%	13.5%	2.6%	6.15	4.05	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	WSH	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.7%	12.0%	10.6%	3.0%	4.74	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	28	0	30	126	29	15	4	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.72	4.74	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.72	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.72	4.36	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	183	92	18	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.8%	10.9%	3.1%	4.72	4.36	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		91	1	145	612	136	64	16	1%	1.6	22.2%	10.4%	11.8%	2.5%	3.85	3.94	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	1	200	844	187	88	21	1%	1.6	22.2%	10.4%	11.8%	2.5%	3.85	3.94	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marlon Perez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	22.7%	12.0%	3.0%	—	4.74	22.7%	10.9%	30	+0.00	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	85
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.39	18.9%	8.4%	53	+0.12	3.45	165	84
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	83
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	83
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	81
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	81
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	81
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	81
Mason Melotakis L 2017 · 3.58 FIP	26	SU	3.58	21.9%	10.9%	1.8%	.264	5.66	12.0%	0.6%	30	+2.08	3.32	142	80
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	80
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	80
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	80
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	80
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	80
Tom Windle L 2018 · 4.56 FIP	26	SU	4.56	19.0%	11.8%	2.9%	.269	4.37	17.2%	1.8%	74	-0.19	3.68	330	80
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	80
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	79
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	79
James Reeves L 2019 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	22.4%	10.3%	2.2%	.226	5.11	27.0%	10.8%	51	+1.37	2.02	280	79
Hunter Cervenka L 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	12.6%	1.7%	.246	4.02	23.6%	11.4%	121	+0.32	3.08	194	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	22.7%	11.9%	1.17	4.73
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19