Thomas Conrad
P
Wilson Warbirds
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.37
FIP4.37
K%23.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Wilson Warbirds | 18 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 36 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 2.1 | 16.8% | 15.6% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.06 | 5.45 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 64 | 270 | 62 | 32 | 7 | — | — | 22.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.19 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 26 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 206 | 73 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 18 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 27 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 16.8% | 15.6% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.06 | 5.45 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 141 | 132 | 28 | 0% | 2.1 | 16.8% | 15.6% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.06 | 5.45 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Thomas Conrad (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.25 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 28 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 88 |
| Addison Russ R 2028 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 88 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 87 |
| Kai Wynyard R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.41 | 21.1% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .269 | 4.09 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 138 | -0.32 | 3.29 | 240 | 87 |
| Chris Gau R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 87 |
| Michael Gomez R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 87 |
| Enmanuel Marcano R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.32 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 138 | 86 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 86 |
| Kendeglys Virguez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.58 | 22.5% | 10.8% | 3.7% | .260 | 3.26 | 25.7% | 12.2% | 25 | -1.32 | 3.26 | 126 | 85 |
| Matt Walker R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.21 | 24.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | .326 | 3.90 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 178 | +0.69 | 2.42 | 211 | 85 |
| David Garner R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 85 |
| Blake Workman R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.00 | 18.9% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .307 | 3.92 | 23.8% | 19.5% | 105 | -0.08 | 3.34 | 213 | 85 |
| Carlos Campos R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.43 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .304 | 5.57 | 15.3% | 8.1% | 19 | +1.14 | 4.43 | 134 | 85 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2028 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 84 |
| Jhoanbert Cedeno R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.41 | 22.5% | 9.3% | 1.9% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 129 | 84 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.18 | 24.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .342 | 3.15 | 32.7% | 23.4% | 128 | -0.03 | 3.11 | 194 | 84 |
| Jeff Bain R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.13 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.19 | 3.37 | 475 | 83 |
| Osiris German R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.26 | 20.6% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .346 | 3.25 | 26.3% | 15.5% | 59 | -1.01 | 3.11 | 187 | 83 |
| Heath Holder R 2029 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 23.4% | 9.2% | 1.15 | 4.33 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |