Deiker Pineda
P
FCL Blue Jays
Age 20
RHP
6'1" / 159 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 151142vR 133
ERA5.90
FIP5.90
K%10.5%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%-2.9%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 12 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 25 | 14 | 1 | 58% | 3.4 | 10.1% | 10.4% | -0.3% | 1.2% | 3.57 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays Blue | 12 | 7 | 40 | 168 | 25 | 14 | 1 | 58% | 3.4 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 0.6% | 3.57 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 13 | 0 | 31 | 139 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 2.4 | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.17 | 6.44 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TOR | 26 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.5% | 13.4% | -2.9% | 2.9% | 5.90 | 5.90 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.5% | 13.4% | -2.9% | 2.9% | 5.90 | 5.90 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 58 | 252 | 39 | 25 | 9 | — | — | 15.4% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.51 | 6.19 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TOR | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 13.3% | 12.7% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | TOR | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 12.7% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 5.53 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 12.7% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 5.15 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 116 | 101 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 12.7% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 5.62 | 5.15 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 25 | 7 | 72 | 307 | 35 | 30 | 10 | 28% | 2.9 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.27 | 5.24 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 20 | 200 | 857 | 99 | 84 | 29 | 28% | 2.9 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.27 | 5.24 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Deiker Pineda (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.90 | 10.5% | 13.4% | 2.9% | — | 5.53 | 13.3% | 0.6% | 28 | -0.37 | — | — | — |
| Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.84 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 2.2% | .315 | 5.19 | 13.7% | 0.7% | 36 | +0.35 | 4.84 | 223 | 88 |
| Ismael Maldonado R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.87 | 9.8% | 16.4% | 2.8% | .280 | 6.60 | 13.5% | -3.6% | 89 | +0.73 | 5.87 | 119 | 87 |
| Eury Ramos R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.40 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 2.8% | .343 | 7.57 | 14.1% | 0.6% | 29 | +2.17 | 3.25 | 176 | 86 |
| Austin Amaral R 2028 · 5.80 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.80 | 12.1% | 14.4% | 3.4% | .254 | 3.65 | 17.6% | 5.7% | 99 | -2.15 | 3.55 | 122 | 85 |
| Tyler Driver R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.29 | 15.0% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 5.91 | 14.5% | 1.4% | 88 | +0.62 | 5.29 | 180 | 83 |
| Zach Mort R 2028 · 5.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.14 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .240 | 5.35 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 176 | +0.21 | 5.14 | 237 | 82 |
| Edward Vasquez R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.77 | 9.1% | 15.0% | 1.0% | .286 | 3.86 | 12.4% | 1.9% | 79 | -0.91 | 3.64 | 111 | 82 |
| Juan Burgos R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.75 | 15.4% | 13.5% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.43 | 17.7% | 0.8% | 58 | -0.32 | 3.60 | 268 | 82 |
| Joe Barlow R 2026 · 6.15 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.15 | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.9% | .269 | 3.64 | 29.5% | 10.7% | 116 | -2.51 | 3.04 | 354 | 81 |
| David Landeta R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.11 | 14.5% | 15.3% | 2.4% | .353 | 3.86 | 16.8% | -0.4% | 64 | -1.25 | 3.64 | 111 | 81 |
| Nate Griep R 2027 · 5.44 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.44 | 11.5% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .383 | 3.93 | 17.2% | 4.5% | 163 | -1.51 | 2.73 | 275 | 80 |
| Jose Pena Jr. R 2026 · 6.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 6.63 | 13.6% | 25.8% | 2.6% | .292 | 3.75 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 116 | -2.88 | 3.45 | 176 | 80 |
| Johsson Arias R 2028 · 5.43 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.43 | 8.5% | 17.1% | 1.6% | .244 | 3.64 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 77 | -1.79 | 3.46 | 117 | 80 |
| Johan Montero R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 19 | SU | 4.89 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 2.4% | .292 | 3.42 | 16.5% | 5.3% | 64 | -1.47 | 2.82 | 106 | 80 |
| Jeffry Nino R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.02 | 10.1% | 15.2% | 1.6% | .315 | 3.60 | 11.4% | -0.2% | 26 | -1.42 | 3.60 | 154 | 80 |
| Angel Peralta R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.90 | 15.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 105 | 79 |
| Andres German R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.97 | 8.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.04 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 73 | -1.93 | 3.04 | 116 | 79 |
| Rickey Ramirez R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.00 | 11.3% | 12.9% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.47 | 17.7% | 6.7% | 60 | -1.53 | 3.12 | 164 | 79 |
| Adonis De La Cruz R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.84 | 11.0% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 3.12 | 18.8% | 9.8% | 103 | -1.72 | 3.03 | 150 | 79 |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 11.9% | 13.0% | 1.12 | 5.76 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |