Deiker Pineda — OGILVIE

Deiker Pineda P FCL Blue Jays

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 159 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.85

FIP5.85

K%10.5%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%-2.6%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2020

CTRL4040

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	12	7	40	168	25	14	1	58%	3.4	10.1%	10.4%	-0.3%	1.0%	3.57	4.11	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	12	7	40	168	25	14	1	58%	3.4	10.1%	10.4%	-0.3%	1.0%	3.57	4.11	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	12	7	40	168	25	14	1	58%	3.4	14.9%	8.3%	6.5%	0.6%	3.57	3.22	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	19	0	44	196	36	19	9	0%	2.3	13.1%	10.8%	2.3%	5.6%	5.77	6.44	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	19	0	44	196	36	19	9	0%	2.3	13.1%	10.8%	2.3%	5.6%	5.77	6.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	TOR	14	0	33	150	29	13	6	0%	2.4	19.3%	8.7%	10.7%	4.0%	5.73	4.76	—
2026	20	A RAW	TOR	5	0	11	46	7	6	3	0%	2.1	15.2%	13.0%	2.2%	6.5%	5.91	7.05	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TOR	43	0	45	190	25	24	5	0%	1.0	13.3%	12.4%	0.9%	2.9%	5.58	5.50	-0.5
2027	21	MLB CTX	TOR	21	0	22	93	12	12	3	0%	1.0	13.3%	12.4%	0.9%	2.9%	5.58	5.50	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		21	0	22	93	12	12	3	0%	1.1	13.3%	12.4%	0.9%	2.9%	5.58	5.12	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	109	109	27	0%	1.1	13.3%	12.4%	0.9%	2.9%	5.58	5.12	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		31	7	84	364	43	39	13	23%	2.7	11.7%	10.6%	1.1%	3.5%	4.71	5.36	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	17	200	867	102	92	30	23%	2.7	11.7%	10.6%	1.1%	3.5%	4.71	5.36	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Deiker Pineda (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.85	10.5%	13.1%	2.9%	—	5.50	13.3%	0.9%	45	-0.35	—	—	—
Jose Miguel Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.84 FIP	19	SW	4.84	10.3%	11.1%	2.2%	.315	5.19	13.7%	0.7%	36	+0.35	4.84	223	88
Ismael Maldonado R 2016 · 5.87 FIP	20	SU	5.87	9.8%	16.4%	2.8%	.280	6.60	13.5%	-3.6%	89	+0.73	5.87	119	88
Eury Ramos R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	19	SW	5.40	13.0%	14.8%	2.8%	.343	7.19	14.1%	0.6%	29	+1.79	3.33	176	86
Johan Montero R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	19	SU	4.89	13.5%	12.8%	2.4%	.292	3.40	16.5%	5.3%	64	-1.49	2.82	106	83
Rickey Ramirez R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	20	SU	5.00	11.3%	12.9%	2.2%	.267	3.50	17.7%	6.7%	60	-1.50	3.14	164	83
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	83
David Landeta R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	20	SU	5.04	14.5%	15.3%	2.2%	.353	3.86	16.8%	-0.4%	64	-1.18	3.64	111	82
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	282	82
Dariel Polanco R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	17	SU	4.84	6.0%	9.5%	1.9%	.323	5.05	12.6%	6.0%	130	+0.21	3.25	146	81
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	80
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	80
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	80
Zach Mort R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	22	SW	5.01	10.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.240	5.35	17.0%	8.8%	176	+0.34	4.95	237	80
Franly Urena R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	19	SU	6.06	11.2%	12.4%	4.3%	.297	5.67	18.1%	-0.2%	103	-0.39	5.13	122	80
Jeffry Nino R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	20	SW	5.02	10.1%	15.2%	1.6%	.315	3.60	11.4%	-0.2%	26	-1.42	3.60	154	79
Nate Griep R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	21	SW	5.44	11.5%	10.9%	3.5%	.383	3.94	17.2%	4.5%	163	-1.50	2.73	275	79
Johsson Arias R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	22	SW	5.43	8.5%	17.1%	1.6%	.244	3.64	15.9%	4.4%	77	-1.79	3.46	117	79
Alexis Liebano R 2023 · 6.15 FIP	20	SU	6.15	11.8%	24.2%	1.8%	.312	6.00	17.7%	3.8%	112	-0.15	4.80	142	79
Edward Vasquez R 2017 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	9.1%	15.0%	1.0%	.286	3.86	12.4%	1.9%	79	-0.91	3.64	111	79
Sven Schüller R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	20	SU	5.22	10.2%	11.1%	2.9%	.380	4.16	12.1%	1.9%	181	-1.06	3.88	247	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	12.2%	12.7%	1.11	5.68
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10